Fantasy Baseball Bounce Back Player Of The Week: Jason Bay

Bay had a terrible season last year from two perspectives. He was injured and missed over 60 games, but even when playing his slugging was way down and he finished with his lowest home run total since playing in only 30 games his rookie season. Prior to 2010, Bay had been a borderline great player who you could count on for 30 HR’s and 100 RBI:

Year Games R HR RBI AVG OBP SLG BABIP
2007 145 78 21 84 .247 .327 .418 .292
2008 155 111 31 101 .286 .373 .522 .321
2009 151 103 36 119 .267 .384 .537 .315

These stats show a player who is improving in the power categories and seems to have settled in at about a .260-.270 batting average range. I believe this is the player the Mets were expecting when they signed him to a 4 year, $66 million deal.

In 2010 Bay hit the wall both literally and figuratively:

Year Games R HR RBI AVG OBP SLG BABIP
2010 95 48 6 47 .259 .347 .402 .329

While we saw a steep fall in overall numbers, much of that can be accounted for by the decline in games played due to the concussion Bay suffered last season. However, what can not be accounted for is the drop in slugging. Bay saw a huge decrease in power with only 6 home runs last season in 95 games. I think much of that can be attributed to the pitcher friendly confines of Citi Field. Last season the center field fence was addressed and we saw David Wright bounce back with a 29 homer season. With a return to health and a full season of production, I think we can expect to see a much better stat line from Mr. Bay in 2011. Probably not quite his Red Sox days, but at least starting outfield worthy.

2011 Fantasy Forecast: 90 R, 22 HR, 90 RBI, .260 Avg

 

Previous Bounce Back Selections: Pablo Sandoval, Justin Upton, Jimmy Rollins

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4 responses to “Fantasy Baseball Bounce Back Player Of The Week: Jason Bay

  1. Pingback: 2011 Bounce Back Player of the Week: Russell Martin, New York Yankees « 4TH and HOME: Fantasy Baseball and Football

  2. Pingback: 2011 Fantasy Baseball Bounce Back Player of the Week: Ian Kinsler, Texas Rangers « 4TH and HOME: Fantasy Baseball and Football

  3. Pingback: 2011 Bounce Back Player of the Week: Lance Berkman, St. Louis Cardinals « 4TH and HOME: Fantasy Baseball and Football

  4. Pingback: 2011 Bounce Back Player of the Week: Chris Young, New York Mets « 4TH and HOME: Fantasy Baseball and Football

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