Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 04.21.11

If I slept through Tuesday, woke up and you told me the Twins and Phillies games were both shutouts, I would certainly would have assumed Roy Halladay and Carl Pavano had good nights, but that’s baseball as they say and that’s why they play 162. For the second straight day my alternate pick (Randy Wolf) turned in an excellent start while my main pick got hit around.

For games on Thursday April 21st these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Jeremy Guthrie 39%/32% (BAL) vs. MIN

Kyle Lohse 23%/22% (StL) vs. WAS

Scott Baker 22%/5% (MIN) @ BAL

Josh Tomlin 14%/17% (CLE) @KC

J.A. Happ 14%/6% (HOU) @ NYM

Jeff Niemann 6%/0.4% (TB) vs. CWS

Brandon McCarthy 6%/3% (OAK) @ SEA

My Pick: Scott Baker at Orioles

Alternate: Jeremy Guthrie vs. Twins

Deep League Special: Brandon McCarthy vs. Mariners

Hopefully Baker pitches a whole lot better than teammate Carl Pavano and history says he will as he owns a 5-0 record in 7 starts vs. The Orioles. Baker was my pick in his last start and he turned in a very good start.
After Baker, the pickings are slim because Lohse, Tomlin and Happ all have poor splits against their opponents or are coming off poor outings like Guthrie. But Guthrie is 3-0 lifetime against the Twins and his first two starts this year were good so is still a decent option.  McCarthy is an interesting play in deep leagues against the anemic Mariners lineup.  He has an impressive 7:1 K/BB rate in the early going and only 2 ER in his last 16 IP.

Names to watch the next time through the rotation: Tyler Chatwood (LAA) I’ll be monitoring his tough test against the resurgent BoSox. Mike Leake (CIN) his legal troubles keep me from even considering him this week but he’s worth keeping an eye on in deep leagues.

Results from Tuesday 04.19.11:

Carl Pavano – L, 4.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 3K, 3BB… Pavano just didn’t have it last night as the Orioles hit 6 singles and 2 doubles off him and capitalized on the 3 walks.
Speaking of capitalizing, Randy Wolf took advantage of the Phillies during another of their week long offensive slumps, picking up the W in 6 shutout, 2 hit innings.  LeCure got hammered in our first Deep League Special to the tune of 4 HRs against the DBacks, ouch.  Will be staying away from him.

Season Results:

27 IP, 2-2, 26 H, 16 ER, 25K, 10BB, 5.33 ERA, 1.33 WHIP

Original post on Spot Starting

One response to “Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 04.21.11

  1. Pingback: 04.21.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes « Fantasy Baseball and Football Advice for the Soul

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