Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 04.28.11

Well, after 5 straight quality start picks we were due for a clunker and boy did we get one from Brandon McCarthy last night.  Let’s hope Anibal Sanchez stops the bleeding tonight and that we pick a gem for tomorrow and we have some of our favorite options going.

For games on Thursday April 28th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Kyle McClellan 43% / 42% (StL) @ HOU

Scott Baker 28% / 10% (MIN) vs. TB

Fausto Carmona 18% / 8% (CLE) vs. KC

Livan Hernandez 7% / 6% (WAS) vs. NYM

Jeff Niemann 5% / 1% (TB) @ MIN

Brad Penny 3% / 1% (DET) vs. SEA

Chris Capuano 2% / 0.1% (NYM) @ WAS

My Pick: Scott Baker vs. Rays

Alternate: Kyle McClellan vs. Astros

Deep League Special: Chris Capuano vs. Nationals

Baseball Gods, how can you ask us to choose between two of our favorite sons Scott Baker and Kyle McClellan?  Perhaps your wavier wire will make the choice for you.  In my shallow league, they’re both taken, hmm maybe my opponents have been reading my column.

If I have to choose one, it’s Baker who has been red hot of late, 1 ER in 14 IP, 15K: 2 BB.  He faces the Rays who he faced 2 starts ago when he was our second pick putting up a 7 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 6K, 1 BB line.

McClellan won his last start against the Reds but allowed way too many base runners.  He should have an easier time against a weak Astros lineup.

I’ve always had a soft spot for Capuano so maybe I’m just rooting for him to do well (even if he is a dirty Met now), but I like him in this matchup against the Nats.  He is coming off a very solid performance against the Astros in his last outing.  His xFIP is 3.97 and BABIP is .344 so his numbers will be seeing a positive regression which we started to see in his last outing.  His GB% is also up which bodes well for him going forward.

Results from Tuesday 04.26.11:

Brandon McCarthy: L, 5.1 IP, 14 H, 7 ER, 3 K, 1 BB…McCarthy got absolutely shelled by the Angels who racked up 5 doubles and a triple to go with 8 singles.  On the bright side he only walked one (23:4 K/BB for the season).  I think this is just a bump in the road for him.

Bud Norris: ND, 6 IP, 7H, 0 ER (3 R), 6 K, 2 BB… Norris pitched pretty well except for a 3 run 4th inning that started with an error.  The Astros got him off the hook by coming back to win in the 9th.

Mike Leake: ND, 7 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 6K, 0 BB, 2 HR… Leake turned in another strong outing as he continues to play his way into a full time spot in the Reds rotation.  He made two mistakes that ended up in the seats.

Season Results (my pick only):

65.1 IP, 5-3, 64 H, 30 ER, 52K, 18 BB, 4.13 ERA, 1.26 WHIP

Original post on Spot Starting

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