Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season!
In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th,
2011 for more explanation and tips.
Today’s Games (4/30/11)
Detroit Tigers (-101) @ Cleveland Indians (-109) My Pick: Indians Money Line
Indians prospect Alex White is starting his first MLB game today. I will usually give a team like the Indians an edge in this situation because opposing hitters aren’t familiar with the pitcher’s repertoire. Aside from this, the Indians have only lost twice at home this year and tend to fare well against right-handed starters (11-5 this year). The Tigers have lost four straight while being outscored 43-11 combined.
New York Mets +1.5 (-125) @ Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+105) My Pick: Phillies Run Line
Everything in this matchup favors the Phillies. The Phillies have covered the run line in the past three meetings with the Mets while outscoring them 31-10. Halladay owns the Mets as he is sporting a 5-0 record with a 2.09 ERA and 35 K in his last 5 starts against them. The Mets are also 6-13 versus right-handed starters this year. Neise is taking the hill for the Mets and the Phillies have a 7-1 record versus left-handed starters in 2011. I could go on and on but I don’t want to make Mike and Brian cry.
Results from 4/26/11
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-135): WIN + 74
The game stayed close which is what we wanted.
Seattle Mariners (-119): WIN + 84
King Felix didn’t dominate but we still got the W.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-137): LOSS -100
Clayton Kershaw, you disappointed me again.
Daily Total: +58
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Disagree? Light me up in the comments.