Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

Today’s Games (6/15/11)
Chicago White Sox (-130) @ Minnesota Twins (+120) My Pick: Minnesota Twins Money Line
Yesterday’s game was a PPD due to rain and the only thing that changed was the line… in our favor!
Don’t look now but the Twins are one of the hottest teams in baseball! They have won 9 of their last 11 and have won their last 3 series. As bad as the Twins have been this year, they have still won both games played against the White Sox and are 11-10 versus the division. Pavano has fared well at home this year (2-1, 3.06 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) and against the White Sox in his career (6-3, 3.94 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2 SHO). On the flip side, Gavin Floyd’s career numbers at Target Field aren’t as good (0-2, 6.97 ERA, 2.23 WHIP).
San Francisco Giants (+101) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (-111) My Pick: San Francisco Giants Money Line
Despite Bumgarner’s 2-8 record, he has produced 9 straight quality starts. He also puts up good numbers on the road (2.84 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) and in Chase field for his career (22.2 IP, 2.38 ERA, 19 K, 1.10 WHIP). The Giants are a good road team (19-17) and have only lost 5 games to left-handed starting pitchers. I’ll take an even money bet against Joe Saunders all day.
Boston Red Sox (-130) @ Tampa Bay Rays (+120) My Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Money Line
I know the Red Sox have been crushing the ball but it seems like the only place they can’t score runs is in Tropicana Field. The last time Boston has scored more than 3 runs in Tropicana Field was July 7th 2010 (10 meetings ago). Hellickson’s only career start against Boston was a win, in Fenway and he’s been pretty good at home (2.20 ERA, 0.91 WHIP).
New York Mets (+128) @ Atlanta Braves (-138) My Pick: New York Mets Money Line
Dillon Gee is starting to look like he is for real. In his past 2 starts he has only given up 1 run in 15 IP and he has great career numbers against the Braves (2-1, 1.83 ERA, 1.12 WHIP). The Mets are good on the road (18-17) and against Tim Hudson this year (4 IP, 5 ER). Hudson has looked shaky in his past 4 GS giving  up 16 ER in his last 19.2 IP.
Results from 6/14/11
Minnesota Twins (+118): PPD Due to Rain
Daily Total: 0
*Any information provided by our site is for educational, informational and entertainment purposes ONLY. Use caution if you use our products and / or services and remember that all gambling carries risk and no liability is taken by 4thandHome.com.
Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. No guarantees are given as to the amount you will make from betting. Any liability from following any information given is completely waived by 4thandHome.com, and you are to understand that you follow it completely at your own risk.

Disagree? Light me up in the comments.

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