Monthly Archives: July 2011

NL Waiver Wire Gems

Stats are as of Friday, July 29th.

Ryan Ludwick, OF, San Diego Padres (29% owned Yahoo, 44.5% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .238/41/11/62/1

Nothing impressive except for RBIs, but he could move to a contender in the next few days and not have to deal with Petco. Has an outside shot at 20 hr/100 runs batted in, and no matter the avg., that has value in almost every league. 10 HRs and 35 RBIs the rest of the way are not out of the question.

My Projection (all rest of season): .245/25/9/32/1

Dexter Fowler, OF, Colorado Rockies (22% Yahoo, 32.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .261/45/0/26/6

Fowler has been on fire since returning to the Rox on 7/15. He provides steals and runs even when not hitting around .370 and having multi-RBI games, but now is the time to ride him if he fills a need. Batting near or at the top of the Colorado line up for probably the rest of the season should make him a valuable commodity in all deep leagues, and I think you’ll see him run more in the next two months.

My Projection: .265/35/3/20/13

David Freese, 3b, St. Louis Cardinals (39% Yahoo, 61.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .318/21/6/26/0

Freese slumped hard after coming back from injury at the end of June, but in the last week or so he has picked it back up, slugging 3 HRs and driving in 7 runs. Given the sad state of 3b in the NL, his decent avg/power profile could prove very useful down the stretch in deep leagues; just don’t expect him to be David Wright.

My Projection: .275/20/7/24/1

Josh Collmenter, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks (40% Yahoo, 52.1% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 3.10/.99/63/6-6

Collmenter went through a predictable rough patch in June/beginning of July, but has since rebounded, providing quality starts in three of his last four (Friday, not so much, as he got lit up for 7 H, 5 ER and a HR by the Dodgers). He has survived all year with a low K rate, and usually I hate pitchers who allow too many balls in play, but you can’t argue too much with the 3 era and sub 1 whip, even if it is pretty unsustainable from here on in. Even with the inevitable rise in both, he could be a back end of the rotation asset down the stretch in deep leagues.

My Projection: 4.00/1.25/38/4-3

Mark Melancon, RP, Houston Astros (37% Yahoo, 53% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 3.10/1.30/41/5-3

As a closer, this guy should be owned in many more leagues. Sure, he pitches for a bad team, but so do Joakim Soria, Leo Nunez, and Drew Storen, all much higher owned than this guy. He has had his bumps in the road like most relievers, but only has two blown saves since he became the closer; remember this is his first year in the hotseat. His K rate aint too shabby (41 in 48 innings), and he has cut down on his walks (only 3 in his last 10.1 innings).

My projection: 3.50/1.30/20/1-2/10 (era/whip/ks/w-l/saves)

2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: American League

BOSTON, MA - JULY 27:  Eric Hosmer #35 of the Kansas City Royals rounds first base after he hit a three run homer in the first inning against the Boston Red Sox on July 27, 2011 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)Elsa/Getty Images

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 07.29.11

Happy Friday and welcome back to Spot Starting.  Let’s find that last pick of the week to put your team over the top.

For games on Saturday July 30th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Bartolo Colon 44% /  44% (NYY) vs. BAL

Aaron Harang 37% / 27% (SD) vs. COL

Derek Holland 33% / 22% (TEX) @ TOR

Mike Leake 20% / 10% (CIN) vs. SF

Zach Britton 15% / 21% (BAL) @ NYY

R.A. Dickey 14% /4% (NYM) @ WAS

Jason Marquis 13% / 8% (WAS) vs. NYM

Read more of this post

07.28.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Just a few days left and some big names have yet to move. I picked up Ryan Ludwick because I’m convinced he’ll be a Phillie and if not, being part of the Sawx carries equal fantasy weight.

4th and Home Player of the Day: Desmond Jennings – 3/4, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI, SB…That was fast. Few games into his career and he makes the BSB POD. Yeah, he’s for real. Upton can leave.

The Bats:
Miguel Cabrera
– 2/5, 2 R, HR, RBI…At the end of the day his numbers won’t look like last year’s, but they’ll still be first round quality.

Mark Trumbo – 3/5, 3 R, HR, 5 RBI…Missed the cycle by a single? You’d think the triple would be elusive for the big man!

Erik Aybar – 3/4, R, 2 RBI, SB…Straight up for Reyes (rumor)? No, but closer than you think.

Joey Votto – 2/5, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Three straight with a jack. Must think he’s Billy Butler. What?

Dustin Pedroia – 1/3, R, HR, RBI, SB…BSFU! STILL on fire.

Billy Butler – 1/4, R, HR, 3 RBI…Votto’s biggest fan.

Ryan Braun – 3/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Looks like he’ll come close to matching his 2009 season.

Read more of this post

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 07.28.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting.

For games on Friday July 29th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Gavin Floyd 49% / 29% (CWS) vs. BOS

Erik Bedard 49% / 49% (SEA) vs. TB

Edwin Jackson 41% / 20% (StL) vs. ChC

Dillon Gee 41% / 31% (NYM) @ WAS

Josh Collmenter 38% / 41% (ARI) @ LAD

Randy Wolf 25% / 18% (MIL) vs. HOU

Carlos Carrasco 23% / 14% (CLE) vs. KC

Dontrelle Willis 3% / 2% (CIN) vs. NYM

Read more of this post

07.27.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Colby Rasmus to the Jays, E-Jax to the Cards, Carlos Beltran to the Giants (?) and Felix Hernandez stops the M’s bleeding. What a day!

4th and Home Player of the Day: Ervin Santana – A 10K no-no, although he did give up an unearned run. Simply dominating effort.

The Bats:
Mike Cameron
– 2/5, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI…He’s been – terrible.

Ichiro – 4/5, 2 R, 2 SB…Guess he’s still alive, although he’s fodder IMO.

Dustin Ackley – 3/5, 2 R, 3 RBI…Ackley’s been holding his own and should be a decent option in 2012.

David Wright – 2/4, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI…Batting .429 since being activated.

Jacoby Elssbury – 3/4, 3 R, HR, 2 RBI, SB…BSFU! What else can you say about the kind of year this guy is having? .325/78/17/60/29 through 102 games.

Dustin Pedroia – 3/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Pedroia’s been out of his head too.

Read more of this post

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 07.27.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting.  Looks like I was wrong to be worried about Zito (his start was moved up a day, Phillies touched him up good.  But that’s what it is to be a true Philadelphia fan, never cocky and always ready for the other shoe to drop.

For games on Wednesday July 28th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Matt Harrison 48% / 60% (TEX) vs. MIN

Kevin Correia 45% / 41% (PIT) @ ATL

Derek Lowe 44% / 28% (ATL) vs. PIT

Homer Bailey 17% / 8% (CIN) vs. NYM

Carlos Villanueva 13% / 4% (TOR) vs. BAL

Chris Capuano 13% / 5% (NYM) @ CIN

Read more of this post

07.26.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Brian McCann heads to the DL, so he won’t be the No. 1 Catcher for too much longer. Jose Bautista left another game and Collin Cowgill goes 0/4 with 2 K in his debut.

Onto it!

4th and Home Player of the Day: C.C. Sabathia – 7/1/1/14:3…Sabathia has been so dominant that you have to wonder if he turned it on too fast. I am feeling post-season meltdown out of C.C.

The Bats:
Chase Utley/Ryan Howard
– 4/8, 4 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI…Just like old times.

Greg Dobbs – 3/5, 2 R, HR, 5 RBI…What is this, the all ex and current Phillies BSB?

Derrek Lee – 4/5, 2 R, HR, 5 RBI…5 HR and 17 RBI through July, he looks to have another decent second half. I think I’m buying.

J.J. Hardy – 2/5, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI…What a waiver steal for all you luckies.

Dustin Pedroia – 4/5, 3 R, RBI…Who is the No. 1 Fantasy Second Baseman?

Billy Butler – 3/4, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI…Look out! With 8 HR, Butler is on pace for 30…over 3 seasons. Who told you to take Logan Morrison before Butler? Oh yeah, the same guy who told you to pass on Ellsbury for Gardner!

Read more of this post

Weekly Minor League Recap


Jesus Montero, NYY, C, Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees (#3): Montero picked up the production last week, hitting 2 HR and driving in 9. He was 7 for  23, with 5 extra base hits.

-Dayan Viciedo, CWS, OF, Charlotte Knights (unranked): Viciedo makes his debut on the list as he has had too good a season to ignore any further: .307/.365/.500, with 49 R, 16 HR, and 65 RBIs. He got called up last year to the big club, and acquitted himself quite well, hitting .308 with 5 HR and 13 RBIs in 104 ABs. Viciedo strikes out a healthy amount and doesn’t walk much (70/31 respectively on the season), but if/when he gets the nod, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him provide solid value in deeper leagues. Unfortunately, he has slumped of late (.143/.302/.143), but that shouldn’t erase the fine season he is having.

Devin Mesoraco, CIN, C, Louisville Bats (#64): Mesoraco has also had a very good season, one that probably warranted attention here a while ago; oh well, better late than never. He has been involved in trade talks recently, so who knows where he will end up finishing the season. His bat seems legit: .303/.376/.502 with 47 R, 10 HR, 54 RBI this year. His past ten have been very good as well: .324/.342/.459. As we all know how thin catcher is, if he gets a chance in Cincy or elsewhere, should be worth a look in almost all but the shallowest leagues.

Read more of this post