Monthly Archives: August 2011

08.22.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Handful of games last night. Before we check in on them, don’t forget Killboy and I will be on radio this evening. Check the tab up top or just click HERE.

Onto it!

4th and Home Player of the Day: Cliff Lee – 7/3/0/7:3…Shut down a dreadful Mets team. I mention my team is dreadful?

The Bats:
Ichiro – 3/5, R, HR, RBI…Pulling his Ricky Henderson impression to lead off the game. His 3rd dinger of the year. Look out!

Hunter Pence – 2/3, 4 R, HR, 2 RBI…Now halfway to his Astro HR total in a 1/5 of the games.

Jayson Werth – 2/4, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI…Batting .229 now with 15 HR and 48 RBI. We knew he’d regress, but this is Beltre-like regression.

Ryan Doumit – 2/4, R, HR, 2 RBI…Coming alive. Batting north of .340 this month with 3 homers. Worth a grab.

Corey Hart – 3/6, 2 R, HR, RBI…Not bad a double dipper.

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Weekly Minor League Recap


Jesus Montero, NYY, C, Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees (#3): Montero had a quiet week; no HRs, no RBIs, no extra base hits at all. The boredom of minor league baseball is just too much for him right now. The most anticipated call up of the year (at least in NYC) should be less than 2 weeks away. Unless he goes .350/.450/.650, it will of course be deemed a colossal failure.

-Dayan Viciedo, CWS, OF, Charlotte Knights (unranked): Viciedo had three HRs (two in one game) and 7 RBIs last week, which should make him more attractive to fantasy owners come September. He also only K’ed once; bonus!

Devin Mesoraco, CIN, C, Louisville Bats (#64): Mesoraco was 4 for 17 last week, but with 5 BBs and only 2 Ks. He has a nifty .250/.375/.536 line over his last ten.

Adrian Cardenas, OAK, DH, Sacramento River Cats (unranked): Cardenas had one his best weeks in a while, going 14 for 29 with 6 RBIs and 3 steals. Now back over .300 (.312) for the year, to go with a .378 OBP.

Brandon Guyer, TB, OF, Durham Bulls (unranked): Guyer was 10 for 27 with 5 RBIs and 2 steals last week, and has only 3Ks since returning on 8/13.

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Fantasy MLB Spot Starting 08.22.11

Welcome to another week of Spot Starting.  2 weeks left to go in our league’s regular season – yours may be in its last week depending on your playoff format.  That means every start counts even more.  Time to burn up those moves you have left to put it all on the line.

For games on Tuesday August 23rd these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Bartolo Colon 46% / 44% (NYY) vs. OAK

Bud Norris 40% / 35% (HOU) @ COL

Jonathon Niese 36% /16% (NYM) @ PHL

John Lackey 28% / 18% (BOS) @ TEX

Brandon McCarthy 17% / 8% (OAK) @ NYY

Mike Minor 10% / 6% (ATL) @ ChC

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08.21.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

The 4th and Home League Standing update as Jesse continues his surge!


Onto it!

4th and Home Player of the Day: Yadier Molina – 2/4, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI…He start juicing?

The Bats:
Ryan Braun – 3/5, 2 R, RBI, 2 SB…30/30 well within reach now that he’s at 24/26. And a .330 average to boot? Tasty.

Delmon Young – 2/4, R, HR, 4 RBI…Delmon has been a different person since coming over to the Tigers. Who wouldathunk it?

Johnny Damon – 2/5, R, HR, 4 RBI, SB…Damon breakin’ out the BSFU! First 15/15 season since 2008 is attainable.

Casper Wells – 2/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Casper goes yard every other day it seems.

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2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

Angel Pagan, OF New York Mets ( 49 percent owned in Yahoo, 87.7 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .265 AVG / 51 R / 7 HR / 46 RBI / 26 SB

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2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: American League

Josh Willingham, OF Oakland Athletics ( 35 percent owned in Yahoo, 78.6 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .249 AVG / 51 R / 21 HR / 71 RBI / 4 SB

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Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting 08.19.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting.  Critical weekend for those of us in tight playoff races, one extra good start could make the difference.

For games on Saturday August 20th  these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Edwin Jackson 43% / 20% (StL) @ ChC

Randy Wolf 34% / 40% (MIL) @ NYM

Aaron Harang 34% / 20% (SD) vs. FLA

Freddy Garcia 33% / 25% (NYY) @ MIN

Charlie Morton 19% / 14% (PIT) vs. CIN

Doug Fister 16% / 7% (DET) vs. CLE

Chris Capuano 10% /3% (NYM) vs. MIL

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08.18.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Y’all, I need to come clean. I have bashed Javier Vasquez since pre-season, but with Tommy Hanson making a DL trip – I picked him up and started him last night. I know, I know. Forgive me. I thought last night he would’ve burned me, and it did look that way after the first two innings, but he redeemed himself. Tough match-ups ahead so I’ll probably dump him.

Onto it!

4th and Home Player of the Day: Ricky Romero – 3-hit SHO/6:2…Sick stats for pitching on a bad team in a tough division: 12-9/2.73/1.11/147:63.

The Bats:
Alex Gordon – 2/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Leadoff hitter or not, Gordon has thrived this year. His current line is .297/76/16/64/12.

Paul Goldschmidt – 2/3, R, HR, RBI…B2B games with a blast. Still strikes out way too much. A full season next year could see 200+ K.

Mark Teixeira – 2/3, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…First homer in 10 games. Too bad his average isn’t even over .250.

Colby Rasmus – 3/4, 3 R, HR, 2 RBI…He’s alive. He’s alive! Batting just .253 for the Jays, which is better than his .246 for the Cards. 2012 sleeper. He has something to prove.

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July 2011 “September Star” Review

Don’t want to get ahead of ourselves, but this whole September stuff? We could be onto something here…

It’s time to buy, sell or hold (or monitor) my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:

Drew Stubbs through July:

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:

Research Concern: BABIP
The BABIP dropped in July (.354), but not as much as you might think considering his less-than-stellar counting stat output.

Conclusion: July was a month where he didn’t perform and he pretty much followed his team down that path. As the Reds go, so does Drew. His numbers were decent. He had his highest BB rate and his lowest K rate of the season. His ISO (.096) was pretty low, which could be attributed to his higher than normal GB rate (53%). All in all, guys not getting on base in front of him hurt.

Buy, Sell or Hold? HOLD

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