Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season! Below you will see my picks to win for the week. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Point Spread”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of points. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. A “Point Spread” wager is made on either the favorite (-) or underdog (+) team. A wager on the favored team means that this team must not only win but also win by the specified point spread. A wager on the underdog means that this team may either win or lose, as long as they do no lose by more than the specified point spread. If the game ends on the teams meeting the spread exactly, the wager is a push. Example: If the Cowboys are favored by -3 and win the game by exactly 3 points, the wager is a push.
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (-110) @ Washington Redskins +3 (-110)
My Pick: Washington Redskins Point Spread
Online Sportsbook: Sportsbook, BetOnline, SBGGlobal, Bodog
Everyone continues to overvalue the Eagles and their “Dream team.” Michael Vick has been a turnover machine as he now sits with 7 INT and 7 FUM. I anticipate the ‘Skins to dominate the clock with their running game to keep the Eagles’ dynamic offense off the field. I’ll take +3 for the home team in this heated rivalry.
Buffalo Bills +3 (+105) @ New York Giants -3 (-125)
My Pick: Buffalo Bills Point Spread
Online Sportsbook: Sportsbook, BetOnline, SBGGlobal, BetDSI
The Bills are more than talented enough to move the ball and keep pace with the Giants. The injuries are piling up for New York as Justin Tuck, Chris Snee and Brandon Jacobs are all out. Expect the Bills’ opportunistic defense to win the turnover battle and edge the Giants on the road.
New Orleans Saints -6.5 (-110) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 (-110)
My Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Point Spread
Online Sportsbook: Sportsbook, BetOnline
Everyone is overreacting to last week’s blowout in San Francisco. I realize the Bucs looked dreadful but they also had to travel to the west coast and face one of the best defenses in the NFL. Josh Freeman is at his best when he is not under pressure and the Saints will not pose a threat in that area. I foresee the Bucs to keep pace with Saints and cover the generous spot.
*All lines and stats are current as of 10/15/11, 10:00 PM EST.
Results From Week Five
Minnesota Vikings -3 (-110): WIN + 91
Cincinnati Bengals -1 (-110): WIN +91
New York Jets +7.5 (-110): LOSS -100
Atlanta Falcons +6 (-105): LOSS -100
Total From Week Four: -18
Total For Season: 10-7, +238
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