Category Archives: Fantasy Draft

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 06.17.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting.  We enter Inter League play this weekend so teams aren’t as familiar with the pitchers they face which is usually advantage to the pitcher.

Happy Father’s Day to all the fellow Dads out there.  It is my wish for you that you get to read your Sunday box scores in peace if just for one day.

For games on Saturday June 18th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Brian Matusz  47% /  51% (BAL) @ WAS

Edinson Volquez 41% / 38% (CIN) vs. TOR

Scott Baker 40% / 27% (MIN) vs. SD

Tim Stauffer 39% / 13% (SD) @ MIN

Matt Harrison 32% / 14% (TEX) @ ATL

Randy Wolf 27% / 28% (MIL) @ BOS

Carlos Carrasco 11% / 6% (CLE) vs. PIT

Paul Maholm 8% / 5% (PIT) @ CLE

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05.22.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Interleague play always bring interesting games. Like the Mets being up 3-1 and ready to take the series from the Yanks and then giving up an 8-run inning to lose the game (and series).

Ugh…onto it…

4th and Home Player of the Day: James Shields – SHO, 3 H, 13:1…Big Game James continues to dominate. This start was just nasty!

The Bats:
Asdrubal Cabrera
– 5/5, 2 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI…Wow. He now has 9 HR on the season (most in his career) and is looking to break all of his past single-season records. Yeah, I told you he was juicing.

Michael Brantley – 3/4, 3 R, 2 RBI, SB…Guy continues to produce, mostly since we talked about him on the Show of course.

Joey Votto – 2/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Votto’s been absent for a bit from this piece, so it’s good to see him back. Batting .335 with 6 HR and 28 RBI.

Jay Bruce – 2/4, R, HR, RBI…If Jose Bautista did not exist, we’d be talking about Bruce. He has been ON FIRE. He’s now up to .271 with 11 HR and 27 RBI.

Alex Rodriguez – 4/5, R, RBI…Got the average back up to .284!

Curtis Granderson – 1/4, R, HR, RBI…Number 16. Unreal.

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05.19.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Madison Bumgarner JUST missed a SHO. He’d be on your team if you read my “September Star Series…

Onto it…

4th and Home Player of the Day: Jason Giambi– 3/5, 3 R, 3 HR, 7 RBI…So he juiced before the game I assume?

The Bats:
Jay Bruce
– 3/4, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI…Bruce is starting to heat up as he’s now batting .333 for the past week.

Justin Morneau – 3/5, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Morneau with a nice night to help his disappointing season.

Trevor Plouffe – 1/5, R, HR, 3 RBI…Ok, ok. It’s about time I talk about the Rook. Through nine games he’s batting .286 with 2 HR and 8 RBI.

Howie Kendrick – 3/4, R, HR, RBI…Been quiet lately, but now hitting .322 with 7 HR and 18 RBI.

Allen Craig – 3/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…Holliday-esque in his start!

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Fantasy Baseball 2011 – Wainwright Tommy John Surgery Fallout

Cardinal’s ace Adam Wainwright is likely headed for season ending Tommy John surgery. History has shown this surgery can take 12-18 months to recover from. This will make Wainwright lucky to be ready for opening day 2012.

Fantasy wise this means there is no reason to even waste a late round draft pick on Wainwright unless you are in a keeper league. Keeper league managers will have a difficult dilemma. Do they burn a keeper and a roster spot all season to stash Wainwright for 2012 and beyond? It depends on the number of DL and Bench spots your league allows. If the current owner of Wainwright lets him go, the rest of the managers face a similar dilemma but with more upside. Stashing a top 5 ace with a late round pick could pay dividends next year and beyond. Choose wisely my friends, it could become a game of chicken. Wainwright’s ADP is currently as the #5 SP (37 overall) so move everyone else up a spot and it also increases the value of the elite top tier SPs.

For the Cardinals, the loss of Wainwright could easily amount to 4-5 fewer wins in 2011 and could prove the difference between playing meaningful games in October and planning their golf rounds. The NL Central was looking like one of the better races to watch with the defending champion Reds and the re-tooled Brewers now looking to have an edge over St. Louis. Wainwright might also have pitched his last game for the Cards as his contract options will not vest if he is on the DL at the end of 2011.

2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies: The Position Scarcity Effect

No doubt that all of us who have been playing fantasy baseball for at least a few years have heard of position scarcity. Over the last several seasons I think the popularity of this theory has become even greater. Prior to it getting a cool name, I think most players acknowledged the fact that there were few great shortstops to choose from, but I’m not sure how many people actually factored that into their draft strategy. Well, like many good ideas, once they get into the popular conscience they tend to be overblown and after time settle into a nice useful medium.

The basic premise behind position scarcity is that there are few elite players at some positions and therefore the elite players at those spots should have their value elevated somewhat to account for this fact. I agree with the logic whole-heartedly. Where I think we may have gone slightly astray is in determining the amount these values should be adjusted by versus those elite players at roles that have more depth. For example, when someone tries to convince me that Jose Reyes should be drafted ahead of Adrian Gonzalez because of position scarcity, I think we may have gone too far. While I would tend to classify them both as tier 2 players at their respective positions and admit that short stop is an extremely shallow spot, I don’t see the justification for the move when runs and average will be about a wash and Reyes only gets the edge in steals. Unless you have a dire need in steals, it seems to defy logic. Personally I believe the best available player in the draft will usually be the best player for your team. This won’t always be the case, but about 90% of the time this logic will serve you well.

Now for the 3 most scarce batter positions and their elite players (either tier 1 or 2):

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2011 Fantasy Baseball: How Detroit Tiger Miguel Cabrera’s Drinking Affects Your Draft

(St. Lucie County Sheriff's Dept.)

As many of you have probably heard, Miguel Cabrera was arrested again for an alcohol related incident. And trust me, it gets worse. Following is an excerpt from Yahoo Sports:

Cabrera, 27, was spotted by a deputy in a car that’s engine was smoking alongside a road in Fort Pierce. Inside the vehicle, Cabrera smelled of alcohol, had slurred speech and took a swig from a bottle of scotch in front of a deputy, according to St. Lucie County Sheriff’s Office said. He refused to cooperate and more deputies were called to the scene.

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