Category Archives: Rankings

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: THIRD BASE

Well, I’ve been called a lot of things but our 3B Fantasy Baseball Rankings have now earned me the taunting of being a Homer. Yes, I may be the only one ranking David Wright ahead of Evan Longoria this year, but my own projection system has them so close with a minimal edge given to Wright for 2011. I think their numbers will be similar with Wright getting a slight advantage in SBs. In a keeper, yes, Longoria is the clear #1. Let’s see where everyone else is ranked…

Longoria celebrates his 4th and Home Composite Rankings


RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Evan Longoria – TB 1 2 1 1 1 1.2
2 David Wright – NYM 2 1 3 2 2 2
3 Alex Rodriguez – NYY 4 5 2 3 3 3.4
4 Ryan Zimmerman – WAS 3 4 4 4 4 3.8
5 Kevin Youkilis – BOS 5 3 6 5 5 4.8
6 Jose Bautista – TOR 6 6 5 7 6 6
7 Adrian Beltre – TEX 7 9 7 6 7 7.2
8 Michael Young – TEX 9 12 8 10 8 9.4
9 Aramis Ramirez – CHC 8 13 9 8 12 10
10 Martin Prado – ATL 10 11 12 11 9 10.6
11 Pablo Sandoval – SF 14 8 13 9 11 11
12 Mark Reynolds – BAL 11 7 11 13 13 11
13 Casey McGehee – MIL 12 10 10 14 10 11.2
14 Pedro Alvarez – PIT 13 14 14 15 14 14
15 Scott Rolen – CIN 16 20 18 12 15 16.2
16 Ian Stewart – COL 15 15 16 16 16.6
17 Chris Johnson – HOU 17 18 17 17 18
18 Chone Figgins – SEA 15 16 19 18.4
19 Michael Cuddyer – MIN 16 19 18 19
20 Chase Headley – SD 19 17 19.8

 

PABLO SANDOVAL

Kung Fu Panda is coming off a disappointing season and it seems to given him motivation to get his act in gear this winter.  He’s lost 38 pounds and dropped his body fat percentage by over 10%.  The 5′-11″ third baseman is down to a svelte 240lbs.  He’s also spent some time working on his hitting with Barry Bonds.  Expect his numbers to be closer to his 2009 debut than to 2010’s let down. .305/70/20/80/5

CASEY McGEHEE

McGehee silenced his critics by following up his 2009 career year with a very solid 2010 campaign. McGehee finished 9th among fantasy 3B in 2010 while improving his strike out rate. Expect more of the same from McGehee in 2011 unless Ken Macha moves him to 2nd in the order. This move would hurt his RBI opportunities and slightly diminish his value, but right now I have him at .288/79/21/96/1.

SCOTT ROLEN

Rolen’s career peaked in ’04. 2005 was a lost season, ’06 a bounceback and since a poor ’07 he has steadily improved to fantasy respectability. Call it the career death rattle, but FanGraphs career paths show a consistent spike leading to the Age 37 season – Rolen will be 36 in 2011. Just be sure you milk his production early in the season and sell high as he always fades in the later months. Another season of .280/70/20/80/3 would not be a surprise and it could be higher.

SLEEPER: MARK REYNOLDS

If you listened to The 4th and Home Show this past Saturday, you heard me talk about the drop in home runs across the league. That will not change, so jump on HR before you have to start paying a premium for them via trade. In that O’s lineup, Reynolds will kill the ball – along with your average so make sure you have some .300 hitters on your team. Reynolds is currently being drafted as the 11th 3B off the board (much like the jokers here!) and that is way too late for a guy who has averaged 35HR and 14 SBs the past 3 seasons. I have Reynolds down for .240/85/35/95/10.

BUST: JOSE BAUTISTA

16, 15, 15, 13, 54…which of these numbers don’t belong? He’s a career .244 hitter that had never had more than 16 home runs in a season. Even with his swing adjustments, expect pitchers to figure him out this year and those power numbers to come back to Earth. I think we’re looking at an upside of low 30’s in homers. .250/85/30/95/5

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: SECOND BASE

After everyone agreeing on the #1s for Catcher and First Base, we now run into positions where #1 is debatable. Robinson Cano or Chase Utley? Well, majority rules here so Cano takes our Composite #1. This was Utley’s position until guys like Pedroia and Cano put on MVP campaigns the past few seasons. Pedroia looks to be healthy and rebound, while Cano looks to prove why he should be #1 for the next few years.

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Robinson Cano – NYY 1 2 2 1 1 1.4
2 Chase Utley – PHI 2 1 1 2 2 1.6
3 Dustin Pedroia – BOS 4 3 4 4 3 3.6
4 Ian Kinsler – TEX 3 4 3 5 5 4.0
5 Dan Uggla – ATL 5 5 5 3 4 4.4
6 Brandon Phillips – CIN 6 6 7 7 6 6.4
7 Rickie Weeks – MIL 7 9 9 6 7 7.6
8 Aaron Hill – TOR 9 7 6 9 8 7.8
9 Martin Prado – ATL 8 8 10 10 9 9.0
10 Kelly Johnson – ARI 10 10 11 8 10 9.8
11 Gordon Beckham – CHW 13 11 8 11 15 11.6
12 Brian Roberts – BAL 11 12 12 12 12 11.8
13 Ben Zobrist – TB 12 13 13 13 14 13.0
14 Howie Kendrick – LAA 14 14 16 14 13 14.2
15 Neil Walker – PIT 16 16 14 16 11 14.6
16 Chone Figgins – SEA 15 15 15 15 16 15.2
17 Mike Aviles – KC 17 17 17 19 18.2
18 Omar Infante – FLA 19 18 18 17 18.6
19 Juan Uribe – LAD 20 20 19 18 18 19.0
20 Ty Wigginton – COL 17 20 20.0

DUSTIN PEDROIA

An MVP season in 2008, a great 2009, an injury-riddled 2010, and now in 2011 he is sometimes the 5th 2B off the board? With the revamped lineup in Boston, Pedroia will have another excellent season as he continues to show increased plate discipline. At age 27, don’t be surprised if he is the #1 2B off the board in 2012. (.300-110-20-85-20)

DAN UGGLA

Uggla has established himself as one of the premier 2B in all of baseball and one of the most consistent hitters the past 4 seasons.  His move out of a football stadium and its teal monster and into a better lineup in Atlanta won’t hurt either.  Uggla ended 2010 hitting line drives at almost a 30% clip, reducing his GB%, while also increasing FB% and HR/FB which could signal his best season is yet to come as he comes to the peak of his prime.

SLEEPER: BRIAN ROBERTS

Although derailed by injury last year, expect a return to 2009-type numbers for Roberts in a rejuvenated Baltimore lineup. See here.

BUST: IAN KINSLER

I don’t really get the fascination with this guy.  Yeah, there’s potential for some nice power and speed, but how often does that actually happen?  Aside from the 31 HR, 31 SB season in 2009, in which his batting average plummeted to .253, there’s really not much to write home about.  There’s no way i’m taking this guy in the 2nd round of the draft, which is where he went in TSN’s expert mock draft.

BUST: RICKIE WEEKS

Rickie’s 2010 HR/FB% was 17.3% (13.7% career), BABIP was .332 (.309 career) and K% was 28.3% (26.9% career). In Aug/Sept/Oct of 2010, he hit for a measily .251 AVG, 7 HR, 16 RBI, 4 SB and struck out a whopping 69 times. These numbers coupled with injury concerns, point to regression.

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: FIRST BASE

Is it any surprise that Albert Pujols is our consensus #1? Didn’t think so. Much like the catchers, we all agreed that there is clearly a #1 at the position without question. We may never know Albert’s true age, but one thing is certain, he is getting older and two guys last year made a run at dethroning him: Miguel Cabrera and Joey Votto. In 2011, we may even see Adrian Gonzalez join them in the chase.

(Image: Zuma Press)

Does your Top 10 look like ours?

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Albert Pujols – STL 1 1 1 1 1 1.0
2 Miguel Cabrera – DET 2 2 3 3 2 2.4
3 Joey Votto – CIN 3 4 4 2 3 3.2
4 Adrian Gonzalez – BOS 4 3 2 5 5 3.8
5 Mark Teixeira – NYY 5 6 6 4 6 5.4
6 Prince Fielder – MIL 6 5 5 6 7 5.8
7 Ryan Howard – PHI 7 7 7 7 4 6.4
8 Kevin Youkilis – BOS 8 11 9 9 8 9.0
9 Justin Morneau – MIN 9 9 8 13 11 10.0
10 Kendry Morales – LAA 10 8 14 14 9 11.0
11 Buster Posey – SF 12 13 12 8 10 11.0
12 Adam Dunn – CHW 13 10 10 11 13 11.4
13 Victor Martinez – DET 14 12 11 10 14 12.2
14 Paul Konerko – CHW 11 15 13 15 12 13.2
15 Billy Butler – KC 15 14 16 12 17 14.8
16 Aubrey Huff – SF 17 19 18 17 15 17.2
17 Derrek Lee – BAL 17 15 18 16 17.4
18 Mike Napoli – TEX 16 16 19.0
19 Adam LaRoche – WAS 18 20 20 18 19.4
20 Carlos Pena – CHC 16 20 19.8

 

PAUL KONERKO

Since it’s Valentine’s Day I’m going to come out and say it, I love Paul Konerko.  The 34 year old has averaged 31HR, 95 RBI and a .280 average for the the past 10 seasons, and last year was one of his best (39HR, 111RBI, .312).  The best part about Konerko is that he always slips in drafts, which makes him a middle round bargain to fill out one of your utility spots.

BILLY BUTLER

Billy Butler is one of the best young players you don’t know due to his playing for the woeful Royals.  None of his individual numbers will blow you away but his above average production across all categories (except SB) makes him a valuable fantasy contributor that can be had as a bargain in middle rounds.  He is also a September Star that you’ll want during your playoff run.

IKE DAVIS

My Ike Davis ranking doesn’t show up on our list, but I had him ranked 18th, right behind Derrek Lee. His MiLB career BABIP suggests he has room to grow even from where he was last year (.321), which means his AVG will rise, as will the rest of his counting stats. With a healthy Mets team, I don’t see why Ike can’t go .280-85-23-85-4 (along with 35-40 2B & 80BB if your league counts them). For a 24-year old, that is pretty solid and a low cost option in the later rounds.

SLEEPER: GABY SANCHEZ

First full season in the bigs he hits .273 with 19 HR’s! Only 27 to start the season, I think we can expect bigger things this year from Gaby. Gotta be better than the slim pickings at the bottom of the 1st Base list.

BUST: ADAM LAROCHE

Career high K%(30.7) and BABIP(.330) both suggest major decline. Washington is tougher on lefties with a 94 HR park factor versus Arizona’s 114. Take a chance on a high ceiling guy and don’t waste it on LaDouche.

 

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: CATCHER

THE CATCHERS…Well here we are, finally rolling out the much-anticipated 2011 Positional Rankings starting with the Backstops. To no one’s surprise, Joe Mauer tops our composite rankings as the #1 Catcher for this upcoming season. Mauer could not repeat his 2009 success, but to call his 2010 a bust would be absurd. Mauer looks to rebound and keep his throne.

Photo by Scott A. Schneider/Getty Images

Enjoy and comment as necessary!

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Joe Mauer – MIN 1 1 1 1 1 1.0
2 Victor Martinez – DET 2 3 2 2 3 2.4
3 Buster Posey – SF 3 4 3 3 2 3.0
4 Brian McCann – ATL 4 2 4 4 4 3.6
5 Carlos Santana – CLE 6 6 5 6 5 5.6
6 Geovany Soto – CHC 5 9 6 5 6 6.2
7 Mike Napoli – TEX 10 5 7 8 7 7.4
8 Kurt Suzuki – OAK 7 8 13 7 8 8.6
9 Jorge Posada – NYY 12 11 8 10 9 10.0
10 Miguel Montero – ARI 8 10 9 13 11 10.2
11 Matt Wieters – BAL 11 7 14 9 10 10.2
12 Carlos Ruiz – PHI 9 12 18 11 14 12.8
13 Chris Iannetta – COL 13 16 10 12 13 12.8
14 Russell Martin – NYY 15 13 12 15 12 13.4
15 John Buck – FLA 16 17 11 16 17 15.4
16 A.J. Pierzynski – CHW 17 14 20 17 15 16.6
17 J.P. Arencibia – TOR 16 14 16 17.6
18 Miguel Olivo – SEA 18 15 18 18.6
19 Ryan Doumit – PIT 19 19 17 19 20 18.8
20 Yadier Molina – STL 14 19 19 18.8

MIKE NAPOLI

I am sticking to my words: “Napoli could wind up a Top 5 Catcher.” The guy is in one of the best parks and lineups in all of baseball. 30 bombs is NOT a stretch.

J.P. ARENCIBIA

Last year’s Pacific Coast League MVP is pretty much guaranteed to be the starting catcher in Toronto this year.  He has almost no major league experience but his minor league home run total’s (32HR in 2010) make him worth a flier in the late rounds of the draft.  Expect some growing pains, but Arencibia could be a cheap source for power.

CARLOS RUIZ

Chooch continues to be one of the most under rated players in MLB.  He was the Phillies 2010 MVP for his clutch hitting and handling of their pitching staff.  All projections are calling for him to regress this season – but looking at graphs of his last three seasons he is trending up in all the right categories.  Ruiz could be a tremendous consolation prize if you like to draft your catcher(s) in the later rounds.

SLEEPER: JARROD SALTALAMACCHIA

Salty has + power for a catcher and looks to be the likely starter in Boston. In that lineup you can expect a lot of RBI and Run chances. Only downside potential is the number of AB’s Varitek may steal from him.

BUST: KURT SUZUKI

Weak 260-275 AVG with low double-digit HR totals. Suzuki’s move to the bottom 3rd of a poor Oakland lineup will kill his counting stats. If you wait to draft a catcher, at least draft one with power potential.