Tag Archives: 2011 Fantasy Projections

Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season! Below you will see my picks to win for the week. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Point Spread”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of points. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. A “Point Spread” wager is made on either the favorite (-) or underdog (+) team. A wager on the favored team means that this team must not only win but also win by the specified point spread. A wager on the underdog means that this team may either win or lose, as long as they do no lose by more than the specified point spread. If the game ends on the teams meeting the spread exactly, the wager is a push. Example: If the Cowboys are favored by -3 and win the game by exactly 3 points, the wager is a push.

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2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: American League

David Murphy, OF Texas Rangers ( 36 percent owned in Yahoo, 52.5 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .267 AVG / 40 R / 9 HR / 41 RBI / 8 SB

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2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

James Loney, 1B Los Angeles Dodgers ( 36 percent owned in Yahoo, 56 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .277 AVG / 44 R / 9 HR / 51 RBI / 3 SB

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2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: American League

Eric Hosmer, 1B Kansas City Royals ( 41 percent owned in Yahoo, 87.8 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .281 AVG / 48 R / 15 HR / 61 RBI / 8 SB

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2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

Angel Pagan, OF New York Mets ( 49 percent owned in Yahoo, 87.7 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .265 AVG / 51 R / 7 HR / 46 RBI / 26 SB

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

David Freese, 3B St. Louis Cardinals ( 40 percent owned in Yahoo, 82.4 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .361 AVG / 15 R / 2 HR / 15 RBI / 0 SB

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

Kenley Jansen, RP Los Angeles Dodgers ( 5 percent owned in Yahoo, percent ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 1 W / 1 L / 36 K / 6.14 ERA / 1.59 WHIP / 1 SV

Jansen struggled greatly before he landed on the DL for shoulder inflammation. Aside from the injury, a .375 BABIP, 66 percent strand rate and 13 percent HR/FB percentage, did not help matters. While rehabbing he also worked on his slider and split-finger. The Dodgers don’t have many options for the closer role so expect Jansen to pick up some save opportunities. He may even take over the job full-time.

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

Angel Pagan, OF New York Mets ( 45 percent owned in Yahoo, 74.8 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .242 AVG / 16 R / 1 HR / 13 RBI / 9 SB

Pagan’s season couldn’t have started out much worse. He started the year hitting .159 AVG through April 21st then suffered an oblique injury that caused him to miss more than a month. It seems like the time off just may have been what he needed. Since his return he has hit .339 AVG, 9 R, 7 RBI, 5 SB in 15 games. Right now he is hitting in the five-spot but a move to leadoff is possible if the Mets move Jose Reyes.

Projection: .275 AVG / 53 R / 7 HR / 47 RBI / 25 SB

Todd Helton, 1B Colorado Rockies ( 41 percent owned in Yahoo, 61.4 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .322 AVG / 28 R / 8 HR / 28 RBI / 0 SB

Todd Helton seems to be having a bounce back year. He has been slowed the past few years with injuries to his back but when he has been in the lineup, he has produced. As recently as ’09 he went .329 AVG, 79 R, 15 HR, 86 RBI. Helton has never been the “sexy” pick but I can’t understand this ownership level.

Projection: .318 AVG / 70 R / 17 HR / 72 RBI / 0 SB

Anthony Rizzo, 1B San Diego Padres ( 23 percent owned in Yahoo, 40.5 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .429 AVG / 2 R / 1 HR / 1 RBI / 0 SB

Before getting the call to San Diego, Rizzo was crushing the PCL. He put up a line of .365 AVG, 42 R, 16 HR, 63 RBI prior to the call. For those of you who don’t know, the PCL is extremely hitter friendly and Petco Park is the worst for left-handed batters. Rizzo is here to be the Padres 1B everyday.

Projection: .255 AVG / 37 R / 11 HR / 40 RBI / 2 SB

Dee Gordon, SS Los Angeles Dodgers ( 15 percent owned in Yahoo)

Current Stat Line: .304 AVG / 4 R / 0 HR / 0 RBI / 2 SB

Dee Gordon has stepped in nicely as the everyday SS and leadoff hitter for the Dodgers. He doesn’t project as a power threat but he has stolen 22 bases in the minors this year. The team does not have any better options because Furcal has been out since June 4 with an oblique injury.

Projection: .279 AVG / 50 R / 1 HR / 20 RBI / 26 SB

Tim Stauffer, SP San Diego Padres ( 39 percent owned in Yahoo, 17.8 percent in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 2 W / 4 L / 63 K / 3.58 ERA / 1.31 WHIP

Tim Stauffer has pitched better than what his surface numbers would indicate. He currently owns a 7.27 K/9 and 2.31 BB/9 to go along with a xFIP of 3.07. He looked stellar against the Rockies and he gets the Nationals today so get him while you can!

Projection: 9 W / 10 L / 150 K / 3.50 ERA / 1.30 WHIP

2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: American League

J.J. Hardy, SS Baltimore Orioles (23% owned in Yahoo, 37.1% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .288 AVG / 19 R / 6 HR / 19 RBI / 0 SB

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

Danny Espinosa, 2B Washington Nationals (33% owned in Yahoo, 55.5% in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .219 AVG / 29 R / 10 HR / 33 RBI / 5 SB

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