Tag Archives: Adam Dunn

2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

SAN DIEGO, CA - JULY 16:  Jesus Guzman #15 of the San Diego Padres hits a three-run homer during the first inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants at Petco Park on July 16, 2011 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)Denis Poroy/Getty Images

AL Waiver Wire Gems

J. P. Arencibia, C, Toronto Blue Jays (47% owned Yahoo, 42.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .216/25/12/37/0 (avg/runs/hrs/rbis/sbs)

J.P. should bash around 25 home runs before the year is out. Not many catchers can match that power production. You will take a big average hit – I think Arencibia has bottomed out though – but that is pretty standard at this traditionally thin – and even thinner this year – position. He is basically Mike Napoli with more at bats (Ron Washington seems like he has finally come around on playing Napoli every day, finally). If Naps is owned in your league, which he should be, J.P. is a decent consolation prize.

My Projection (rest of season): .235/32/13/35/1

Gordon Beckham, 2B, Chicago White Sox (46% Yahoo, 51.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .241/34/7/24/2

Becks raised his average almost 50 points last year in the 2nd half, and has shown some signs of life lately; I wouldn’t get too excited about him, but at one of the weaker positions in a line-up that is due to bust out, he should outperform the 1st half numbers pretty easily. The former #1 pick should produce solid MI stats the rest of the way.

My Projection (rest of season): .275/37/10/36/3

Rajai Davis, OF, Toronto Blue Jays (38% Yahoo, 55.2% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .243/34/1/23/24

Davis went through a brutal cold streak which dropped his average from .288 to .224, prompting me to drop him along the way.  Of course, now he has turned it back on, stealing 6 bases and raising his average 20 points in the last week. Might as well get back on the Rajai Train while he’s hot, as he can single handedly win you steals and help big time in runs any given week. But be prepared for big gaping holes of production from time to time.

My Projection (rest of season):  .260/34/3/25/25

Edwin Jackson, SP, Chicago White Sox (37% Yahoo, 30% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 4.30 ERA/1.44 WHIP/92 Ks/5-7 W/L

All Sox and Jays so far. Jackson’s numbers look horrible, but lately he has been better, even if the ERA and WHIP haven’t gone down much.  In his last four starts, he has K’ed 27 and walked just 4, while giving up a manageable 26 hits in 26.2 IP.  We all know Jackson has the talent and stuff to go on a useful fantasy run for you, and now might be a good time to test him out, as his xFIP is 1 run lower than his ERA and he has been pretty unlucky, dealing with a .341 BABIP.  I’d be worried about using him against Detroit post-All Star break if he gets a start in that series, but against KC or Cleveland, I’d give him a whirl.

My Projection (rest of season): 4.05 ERA/1.30 WHIP/80 Ks/7-6 W/L

Mark Trumbo, 1B, Los Angeles Angels (30% Yahoo, 52.9% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .256/32/15/38/8

Trumbo continues to put up respectable power numbers, and has even stolen 8 bases thus far, a nice little bonus from a first baseman. He has two HRs in his last three games, and could flirt with 30 by year’s end, which isn’t too shabby for any player, let alone a back up 1B. He won’t walk, and his average probably will not get any higher than it is now, but if you are still holding onto Adam Dunn (cough, cough, like myself), you might want to consider swapping him out for Trumbo, especially if its desperation time in your league.

My Projection (rest of season): .250/30/13/35/5

05.11.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Well, some of you might’ve been burned by the A’s/Rangers postponement. I know I was. My opponent, Brian, had Gio going so to have his stats wiped out really, really stinks. Anyway, onto it…

4th and Home Player of the Day: Eric Hosmer – 1/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…First MLB HR as he now sports a line of .250/3/1/3/1 through his first 5 games. Who else would be our player of the day?

The Bats:
Ryan Ludwick
– 3/6, R, HR, 3 RBI…Still batting under .200. At this point I think you just forget about him. “Fuhgetabout’em!”

Cameron Maybin – 4/6, 2 R, 2 RBI…Now batting .252 he has greatly increased his BB% (and decreased his K%) this season which is a great sign for a “young” hitter. Yes, young. He is still only 24. Remember, they brought him up when he was 8? Anymahoo, keep an eye on him. Or two. No, just one for now.

Jason Kubel – 2/3, R, HR, 4 RBI…Kubel is batting a sizzling .355 and looks to be back to the player he was two years ago. He might only hit 20 HR, but he has a good shot at driving in 90-100.

Victor Martinez – 3/4, R, HR, 3 RBI…V-Mart continues to rake since his activation. Plug him. Play him.

Drew Stubbs – 2/5, R, HR, RBI, SB…Box score filler-upper (BSFU)!

Curtis Granderson – 2/5, R, HR, 2 RBI, SB….BSFU! Now with 12 dingers to lead all highlanders.

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05.01.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Add another 3B to the scrap pile as David Freese broke a bone in his hand. Be sure to look at Brian and Killboy’s suggestions as possible corner infield substitutes until he comes back.
Carlos Lee
had a nasty collision with Killboy-favorite Angel Sanchez that might have looked worse than it actually was. He was carted off the field, but preliminary x-rays revealed no broken bones in his chest. This after blasting a 3-run HR.

Anyway, here’s what else I saw:

The Bats:
Matt Holliday 
– 2/3, R, 2 RBI, BB…Matty Ho continues to rake as his average is still above .400 at a cool .418.

Curtis Granderson – 3/4, R, HR, 3 RBI…His 8th homer and better yet his average is up to .281. THRIVING in the jackhole (two-hole).

Garrett Jones – 2/4, 3 RBI, BB…Pick him up yet?

Matt Joyce – 3/3, R, RBI, BB, SB…Pick HIM up yet? C’mon! New readers excused.

Hanley Ramirez – 1/5, R, HR, 2 RBI…His first homer. It’s a start!

Mike Aviles – 3/5, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI, SB…Box score filler-upper! Look out as Aviles is heating up and doing his best to prove me right.

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Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

04.06.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Some injury news to bat lead-off todayUbaldo Jimenez was placed on the 15-day DL, but should be ready to go as soon as he’s eligible. His cut cuticle was not allowing him to grip the ball correctly. As a Ubaldo owner, the injury and he are “questionable” (not that there’s anything wrong with that) but I hope this explains his terrible Opening Day start…The battered Cubs lost both Randy Wells (strained forearm) and 2008 first-rounder Andrew Cashner (stiff shoulder) to the DL. Matt Garza, Big Z and Ryan Dempster (who has looked like garbage) will have to carry this team in hopes that they don’t fall 10 games back of the Redlegs before May 1st. The Cashner injury seems to be more serious than the Wells injury, so we’ll see what happens in the next two weeks but “stiff” and “shoulder” are not words you want to hear regarding a pitcher’s injury.

Adam Dunn, like Matt Holliday, needed an emergency appendectomy. If his recovery is anything like Holliday’s, he should be back within a week or so.

I had Joel Hanrahan ranked as my #17 closer this year (Brian had him at #18) and he already has 4 saves for the Pirates. He did give up a run, but with the Pirates he should approach 30 saves with a decent ERA and WHIP.

Pirate co-ace Kevin Correia out-dueled Chris Carpenter allowing 7 baserunners, zero runs and striking out 3 in 7. Don’t go molesting your waiver wire for this guy.

Dan Haren was fantastic against the Rays and now sits at (1-0) with a 1.23 ERA and 0.68 WHIP after his first two starts. He hurled 7.2 innings of 4 hit ball, allowing just 4 hits (2 to Sam Fuld) and a HR. He struck out 6, walked none and now sports a 12:0 ratio through 14.2 innings. This year, Haren’s back. I think he might be top 10 even though we had him at 19 in our rankings.

Jeremy Hellickson took his first loss as a major leaguer, but not after flashing why he’s a top prospect. Hellboy struck out 10 over 5.2 innings, but was done in by 3 runs on 6 hits (one of which was a HR) and 2 walks. His next start is at Fenway, but as an owner I’d be starting him against the ’27 Yankees.

Alfonso Soriano keeps hitting. He hit his 3rd home run in his last 4 games. 30 HR? Eh, still skeptical.

Check the rankings. I told you to stay away from Chad Billingsley. After 2 games he now has a 8.00 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Sure, April has always been one of his worst months, but I don’t trust him.

My goodness Carlos Quentin keeps raking. 2 more doubles. That gives him 5. 3 more RBI. Now he has 10. Oh, he’s also batting .500. If he keeps it up, I’ll be telling you to sell high.

Buster Posey, thanks for joining us: 3-5, HR, 4 RBI.

Tim Lincecum, you ARE the biggest freak! Timmy was just awesome, striking out 13 Friars over 7 innings and allowing just 3 hits and a run. I’ll take that.

Red Sox…you are now (0-5). Haha! I hate Phillie fans, I hate Yankee fans (I even hate Jersey Met fans), but Sawx fans are the worst! Ok, seriously. I figured the Tribe would get stomped once the Sawx bats woke up, but no. Adrian Gonzalez did go yard, but it wasn’t enough as Dice-K and the bullpen were throwing BP out there. Don’t panic Sawx fans, you’ll still win the East.

Mike Pelfrey and Joe Blanton, it makes me sick to watch either of you. Last night was the perfect storm. Met fans rejoice, “Big Pelf is our ace!”

Logan Morrison watch: 0-2 with 3 more walks. He now has an 8:4 BB:K ratio.

Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes from 04.01.11

The Phightins got off in phine phashion, not so much for nearly losing a Doc Halladay start, but for scoring three in the bottom of the ninth to beat the ‘stros. Roy Halladay struck out 6 over 6, giving up 5 hits and a run. Brett Myers didn’t record a strike out, but went 7 giving up just 3 hits and a run. Jimmy Rollins debuted in the 3-hole and recorded 2 hits, 2 runs and a stolen base. Chase who?

Fausto Carmona…got…ROCKED. 10 runs and 11 hits in 3 innings. If you started him, you lost ERA and WHIP this week. On the bright side, he K’d 5 and only walked 1.

“Say hello to my lil’ friend!” That’s what Adam Dunn said in his ChiSox debut, delivering a 2-run homer and 2-run double. 50 HR this year for Big Donkey, Killboy? You may be right. I may be crazy…

Carlos Santana‘s knee is fine. Love this guy. He’s gonna be a monster for years. Santana had 3 hits, 1 being a 2-run bomb.

Gordon Beckham had 3 hits and 3 runs in the 2-hole. He is going to score a lot of runs this year. A  lot.

Carlos Quentin had 3 hits and 5 RBI as he went yard.

My God…are we done with the Bears/Browns highlights yet?

Neil Walker hit a granny against the Cubbies. Why was he going so late?

Bucs #3 hitter Andrew McCutchen went yard and doubled. He’s good. I might email Brian everytime he gets a hit this year.

Ian Kinsler homers in his first at bat and then…strands 5 runners, going 0-4 the rest of the game. If you’ve ever owned him, you know he does this a lot. Makes you think you’re in for a monster night. Still, he’s healthy so enjoy it.

Nelson Cruz also looked healthy as he homered as well- and a walk to boot!

Jon Lester looked like he usually does in April. Few more starts and then barage your league’s Lester-owner with trade requests. Me no like Lester in April.

Carl Crawford went 0-4 with 3 K in his Sawx debut. He’s pressing!

Ublado Jimenez gave up 4 doubles and 2 homers. Ugh. Thanks, dude. One strike out? My #2 dropped a #2 on my WHIP.

Justin Upton homered. 29 more are-a-comin’.

Jose Bautista and Adam Lind homered. Think they can hit 70 between them this year? I do.

Ricky Romero looked solid giving up just 1 run over 6.1 innings, striking out 7 vs. the Twinkies.

As if the Mets could not push my buttons any more then they already have leading up to today, they were getting no-hit by Josh Johnson through 6 innings. Johnson didn’t last too much longer and was removed after just 93 pitches, giving up 2 runs to the Mess. If healthy, Johnson is gonna be stellar this year.

Hmm, David Price gave up 4 runs and 5 hits to Boog Powell and the O’s. Did I know this was coming?

Quick, get to the wire! Kila Ka’aihue hit a walk-off! Relax. He’s a Royal. He also struck out twice.

Mike Aviles is now 2-8 with a HR and SB thorugh 2 games. Who told you to grab this guy? Who!? 80/80 this year, baby! 40/40 is nothin’!

Ok, Matt Kemp is on a mission. Went to steal 2nd, Loney swung and tapped it to 3rd. Kemp rounded 2nd and advanced to 3rd as Loney was thrown out at 1st. Kemp later scored on a sac fly. Davey Lopes is doing wonders just after two games with the young stud.

Brandon Belt hit a 3-run blast off Chad Billingsley. He looks so skinny, but he powered it over the center field fence.

Jonathan Sanchez K’d 8 Dodgers, but his defense let him down and gave him a loss. The World Champs are now 0-2 to start the season.

Ichiro stole 2 bases against Kurt Suzuki as King Felix pitched the first CG of the season giving up just 2 runs on 5 hits while striking out 5.

Trevor Cahill‘s pitch count got him removed from the game after 4.2 innings, but not before K-ing 8. He took a ND as his bullpen (which I thought was one of the best) imploded.

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: DESIGNATED HITTER

Short and sweet, here are our DH rankings…

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Adam Dunn 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 Vladimir Guerrero 2 2 2 2 2 2
3 Michael Young 3 3 3 3 3 3
4 David Ortiz 4 5 4 5 5 4.6
5 Adam Lind 4 5 4 4 4.6

Killin’ the Odds & A.L. Futures

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & AL Futures! It’s real simple, I analyze odds to win the 2011 World Series and tell you who to take. Now on with it!

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Killboy’s 2011 MLB Predictions

No real surprises here. I like the Rays to fall off and the White Sox to win the Central. The Brewers will knock off the Reds but the Reds will still beat out the Dodgers and Braves for the Wild Card. I think the loss of Bobby Cox will hurt the Braves. Read more of this post