Tag Archives: Adam Wainwright

Killin’ the Odds & NL Futures


Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & NL Futures! It’s real simple, I analyze odds to win the 2011 World Series and tell you who to take. Now on with it! Read more of this post

National League Central Previews: Cardinals

Today’s Focus: St. Louis Cardinals

2010 Record: 86-76, 2nd Place NL Central

This will more than likely be the Cardinals last season without the best player in baseball, Albert Pujols. After the 2011 season, his 11th as a cardinal, Mr. Pujols will be a free agent and is apparently seeking a $300 million dollar, 10 year deal.  The Cards were not able to work out a deal before spring training, so all negotiations will be off until the season ends.  If Pujols leaves, so will the Cards chances of competing in this division in the years to come.
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Fantasy Baseball 2011 – Wainwright Tommy John Surgery Fallout

Cardinal’s ace Adam Wainwright is likely headed for season ending Tommy John surgery. History has shown this surgery can take 12-18 months to recover from. This will make Wainwright lucky to be ready for opening day 2012.

Fantasy wise this means there is no reason to even waste a late round draft pick on Wainwright unless you are in a keeper league. Keeper league managers will have a difficult dilemma. Do they burn a keeper and a roster spot all season to stash Wainwright for 2012 and beyond? It depends on the number of DL and Bench spots your league allows. If the current owner of Wainwright lets him go, the rest of the managers face a similar dilemma but with more upside. Stashing a top 5 ace with a late round pick could pay dividends next year and beyond. Choose wisely my friends, it could become a game of chicken. Wainwright’s ADP is currently as the #5 SP (37 overall) so move everyone else up a spot and it also increases the value of the elite top tier SPs.

For the Cardinals, the loss of Wainwright could easily amount to 4-5 fewer wins in 2011 and could prove the difference between playing meaningful games in October and planning their golf rounds. The NL Central was looking like one of the better races to watch with the defending champion Reds and the re-tooled Brewers now looking to have an edge over St. Louis. Wainwright might also have pitched his last game for the Cards as his contract options will not vest if he is on the DL at the end of 2011.