Tag Archives: Brian Matusz

July 2011 “September Star” Review

Don’t want to get ahead of ourselves, but this whole September stuff? We could be onto something here…

It’s time to buy, sell or hold (or monitor) my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:
 .255/90/25/75/30

Drew Stubbs through July:
.257/72/13/36/26

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:
.257/108/20/54/39

Research Concern: BABIP
The BABIP dropped in July (.354), but not as much as you might think considering his less-than-stellar counting stat output.

Conclusion: July was a month where he didn’t perform and he pretty much followed his team down that path. As the Reds go, so does Drew. His numbers were decent. He had his highest BB rate and his lowest K rate of the season. His ISO (.096) was pretty low, which could be attributed to his higher than normal GB rate (53%). All in all, guys not getting on base in front of him hurt.

Buy, Sell or Hold? HOLD

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June 2011 “September Star” Review

Ok, I am getting back on track here. Some interesting developments with our “Stars”. Listen, we can’t get them all right, but the approach will shine light on some potential bargains and studs as you head into your draft each year. I’ve laid the foundation and showed you what to look for so next year you can ignore my articles. Kidding! Keep coming back, Mom and Dad!

It’s time to buy, sell or hold my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:
 .255/90/25/75/30

Drew Stubbs through June:
.255/55/11/32/23

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:
.255/110/22/64/46

Research Concern: BABIP
Again his BABIP rose, this time to .375. It does concern me, because a July, August or September swoon could really devastate his batting average and counting stats.

Conclusion: This guy’s numbers are all over the place, but somehow his counting stats are very close to what was predicted back in the pre-season. His K% jumped to 40.6%. Yuck! His HR/FB jumped to 18.2%, which shows us he was all or nothing (which I’ve said many times) when looked at with his K%. It was nice to see him get his LD% back up, but the 13.6 IFFB% shows that he can get his average up if he starts driving the ball more and being more selective at what pitches to take yard.

Buy, Sell or Hold? HOLD

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May 2011 “September Star” Review

Long overdue to get this May article out. I’ve let my two readers down (my parents). Lo siento! Get your recap from April (here).

It’s time to buy, sell or hold my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:
 .255/90/25/75/30

Drew Stubbs through May:
.258/39/7/23/16

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:
.258/117/21/69/48

Research Concern: BABIP
Stubbs had a BABIP of .361 in May, which is a bit above his carer average. His batting average was right in line with April’s.

Conclusion: Stubbs HR/FB came back to earth in May, so right now he is on pace for a 20/40 season. Seems I was low on his SB potential

Buy, Sell or Hold? BUY

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Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 06.29.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting, sorry about the no post hiccup yesterday.  On to it..

For games on Thursday June 30th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Brian Matusz 37% / 28% (BAL) vs. StL

Matt Harrison 35% / 23% (TEX) @ HOU

Randy Wolf 34% / 34% (MIL) @ NYY

Jeff Karstens 23% / 17% (PIT) @ TOR

Mike Pelfrey 6% / 2% (NYM) @ DET

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04.03.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Ian Kinsler, Nelson Cruz, and Mark Teixeira all went yard again. That makes 3 in 3 games for each of them.

Miguel Cabrera, Jorge Posada, Howie Kendrick (3 in 4 games) and sleeper catcher Ryan Hanigan each belted two home runs.

Brennan Boesch went 4-4 with a HR and 4 RBI.

Max Scherzer and Phil Hughes both looked terrible giving up 6 home runs between them. Better days are ahead for Scherzer, but Hughes’ velocity was down. Monitor him.

Matt Harrison shut the Sawx down, striking out 8 over 7 innings allowing 7 base runners and one run.

Javier Vazquez, welcome to the American Lea….wait a tick. Ok, so league matters no more to Vazquez. His velocity scared me off in the pre-season, so I wouldn’t go near him in drafts and now it’s still around where he was for the Yanks. Owners be scared. Vazquez was lit up by the AAAA Mets lineup, serving up 2 homers and 5 walks in 2.1 innings.

R.A. Dickey shut down the Fish over 6 innings, allowing 8 base runners and striking out 7.

The ChiSox offered John Danks no run support as he lost to the Tribe. Turned in a great outing nonetheless, giving up just 2 runs on 6 hits while K-ing 8.

Tim Hudson shut the Nats down going 7 strong allowing only 3 hits while striking out 5.

Roy Oswalt beat his old team striking out 6, allowing 2 runs on 5 hits.

Ryan Howard stayed hot going 3-5 with a home run and 4 RBI.

Rookie Zach Britton was great in his first MLB start for the O’s, striking out 6 Rays in 6 innings and giving up just 1 run on 3 hits. Speculative grab!

Jaime Garcia was masterful against the Padres, shutting them out and allowing just 6 base runners while striking out 9. I do not think this will be the norm, but if you have him you’ll take it.

Starlin Castro went 3-4 and is now hitting .615. He will hit .300, but he needs more counting stats to be elite.

Bobby Abreu reached base SEVEN times, going 5-5 with 2 BB and a HR. Wow. Didn’t think the old man had it in ’em!

Gio Gonzalez shut the M’s down, although he did allow 6 hits and 4 walks in 7 innings. Is it possible he finishes 2011 with an ERA lower than his WHIP?

EDIT…

Disbaled List: Evan Longoria, Jair Jurrjens, and Brian Matusz were all placed on the 15-day DL. Longoria will be out three weeks with a strained oblique. Matusz will be sidelined at LEAST three weeks, maybe six, with a strained intercostal muscle. Jurrjens (side) was also placed on the 15-day DL, but is expected to make his debut on April 16th.

2011 Fantasy Baseball “September Stars” Series: Brian Matusz

This week we take a look at our final “September Star”: Brian Matusz.

Matusz was a 2010 pre-season fantasy sleeper as he lit up the opposition in spring training. As most will point out, don’t place too much stock into March heroes. In his first full season, he compiled a line of 10-12/4.30/1.34/143 in 175+ innings for the Orioles. From August on, though, he looked every bit the ace many were hoping he’d become.

Let’s look at those final two months and decide if he is ready to turn in a full season of magic…

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Preview: Part 1

8 home runs in a month? Coming right up (AP Photo/John Dunn)

Every year, highly regarded prospects with little to no previous MLB exposure are hyped as possible fantasy studs for the upcoming season.  It may not surprise anyone that, for the most part, first year players struggle to live up to expectations for a myriad of reasons: injury, lack of roster space/position blocking, regression at the high A level, financial reasons (read: arbitration eligibility deferral).  But this doesn’t stop us in the fantasy world from dreaming that we will draft the next Jason Heyward or Ryan Braun or pick up the next Mike Stanton, Kevin Maas or Shane Spencer off of waivers (Yes, I am a Yankee fan; I am enlightened) – and hopefully avoid the next Alex Gordon or Brandon Wood.

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