Tag Archives: Carlos Pena

2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

I know, we should have told you that Jesse owned Roy Oswalt before your draft. Our bad. I will now offer a few NL waivers to help compensate for your loss.

Jason Bourgeois, OF Houston Astros (19% owned in Yahoo, 40.9% ESPN)  

Current Stat Line: .407 AVG / 9 R / 0 HR / 7 RBI / 12 SB                              

I was worried about his playing time dwindling when Carlos Lee returned to the lineup but, it looks like the Astros are finding creative ways to get Bourgeois at bats. Bourgeois started at second base last night because of Bill Hall’s struggles at the plate. He has played second base for a few innings in each of the last couple years and he should also serve as a sub in all three outfield spots. He will continue to hit in either the first or second spot in the order and he is swiping bases at a unbelievable rate.

My Projection: .269 AVG / 78 R / 1 HR / 50 RBI / 39 SB

Carlos Pena, 1B Chicago Cubs (46% owned in Yahoo, 43% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .196 AVG / 7 R / 3 HR / 9 RBI / SB 0

For those of you who drafted Carlos Pena and decided to hold onto him through his struggles in April, you have been rewarded in May. Since May 1, Pena has hit .316 AVG / 5 R / 3 HR / 4 RBI with a fantastic BB:K ratio of 5:5. Grab him while you can, Wrigley Field in the summer months is a hitter’s paradise.

My Projection: .220 AVG / 65 R / 32 HR / 85 RBI / 0 SB

Bud Norris, SP Houston Astros (47% Owned in Yahoo, 66.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 2 W / 2 L / 3.16 ERA / 52 K / 1.27 WHIP 

Bud Norris’ 52 K on the year, ranks him seventh in all of baseball. He has put up at least 6 K during every single outing this season. His first two outings of the year were a little shaky but since then he has a 1.65 ERA with 39 K in only 32.2 IP. This sounds more like a 90% owned pitcher.

My Projection: 13 W / 10 L / 4.05 ERA / 201 K / 1.29 WHIP

Brandon Beachy, SP Atlanta Braves (46% owned in Yahoo, 74.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 1 W / 1 L / 2.98 ERA / 45 K / 0.97 WHIP

Beachy is still flying under the radar and I’m not sure why. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff (91.6 average fastball) but he has been striking batters out at an impressive rate (9.57 K/9) and he is a control freak (2.34 BB/9). I would like to see him induce more ground balls (30.5) and a few more fly balls could have left the park (7.7 HR/FB rate) but, this kid is for real.

My Projection: 10 W / 8 L / 3.45 ERA / 149 K / 1.20 WHIP

Vicente Padilla, SP/RP Los Angeles Dodgers (28% owned in Yahoo, 36.7% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 0 W / 0 L / 1.50 ERA / 5 K / 0.83 WHIP /  1 S

Vicente Padilla has been named the closer for the Los Angeles Dodgers while Jonathan Broxton is out. In many leagues, all closers should be owned. In leagues that require two or more starting pitchers daily, he is very useful because you can plug him in a SP slot when your thin. I have been known for chasing down the relief pitchers with SP eligibility who may get an opportunity to pick up saves. In the past four years I have owned Koji Uehara, Franklin Morales, Joel Hanrahan, and Kevin Gregg. Don’t be afraid to cut bait when Kuo or Broxton get back into the mix though.                                        

My Projection: 2 W / 2 L / 2.69 ERA / 55 K / 1.12 WHIP / 12 S

05.07.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

The big news of the day of course was Justin Verlander’s no hitter in Toronto.  He faced the minimum with his only blemish a walk to to J.P. Arencibia erased on a DP.  On the other side of the spectrum we saw the end of Andre Ethier’s hitting streak against last minute replacement starter Dillon Gee.  Lots of zeros, ones and twos on the scoreboards as the Arms beat the Bats today across the league.

Here’s what else I saw:

The Bats:
Andre Ethier – 0/4, BB… The Streak is over at 30.  One shy of the team record.  Andre must have heard he wasn’t getting paid anymore.

Matt Kemp – 1/4… Mr. April only hitting .250 in May which is historically his 2nd worst month.

Jose Reyes – 2/5, RBI… Picked off first base day dreaming of playing for another team.  Now hitting .329.

The Blue Jays – 0/26, BB, 4 K… wonder how many times a team has had fewer than 27 ABs in a game.

Jhonny Peralta – 2/5, R, 2 RBI, HR… The Tigers 9 run attack to back Verlander was pretty evenly distributed but Peralta did hit his 2nd HR and his average is up to .273.

Ryan Howard – 1/4, R, RBI, HR… Ryan reads this article and it inspired him to go deep for his 7th.  Now at 30 RBI.

Kosuke Fukudome – 3/4, RBI, BB… Not just any RBI – walk off style.  Raise your hand if you knew he was still batting .360 as he’s cooled off.  Still, the platoon suits him.

Carlos Pena – 3/4, R, RBI, HR… 3rd home in 4 games and nearing the Mendoza line.

Jacoby Ellsbury – 2/5, R, 2 RBI, SB… Nice box score filling day for Ellsbury – his 9th SB and up to 17 ribbies out of the lead off spot.

Evan Longoria – 2/4, R, 4 RBI, HR… Longoria finally gets off the shnide hitting his first of the year and collecting his first 4 RBI after missing so much time on the DL.

Ben Zobrist – 4/5, 3 R… Zobrist collected 4 hits in a game the Rays score 8 runs but yet got no RBI – Rays 8,9,1 hitters went 0/13.  Zobrist should be hitting 5th where he has 16 RBI, come on Joe Maddon.

Read more of this post

05.02.11 Fantasy Baseball Hot & Cold List

Have a player who’s playing out of his mind or drastically underachieving? Keep reading right here and get our advice on some of the hottest and coldest players in the majors.

HOT

Jose Bautista

Last 7 games: .350 Avg, 6 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 2 SB

Call: Buy

Repeat performer here on hot and cold. I may not be a fan, but the man is putting up stats! If you’re a lucky owner, hold on and enjoy the production.

Read more of this post

2011 Fantasy Baseball Busts: David Price

At the young age of 25, David Price has already started in an All-Star game, pitched in the World Series and finished runner-up  in the 2010 Cy Young voting. In 2010, he posted a 2.72 ERA with 19 wins and 188 strikeouts in 208.2 innings. Those numbers look outstanding but, the numbers under the surface paint a different picture.

Read more of this post

National League Central Previews: Cubs

Today’s Focus: Chicago Cubs

2010 Record:  75-87, 5th Place NL Central

The Cubs look a lot different than they did on opening day of the 2010 season.  Derek Lee and Mike Fontenot were traded during the season, manger Lou Pinella resigned, and Ryan Theriot and Ted Lilly were gone after the season ended.  The Team picked up Matt Garza, Kerry Wood and Carlos Pena in the offseason but that’s not enough to get this cursed team into the playoffs.
Read more of this post

2011 Fantasy Baseball Sleeper: Derrek Lee

Derrek Lee had a down year in 2010. Lee’s 19 home runs marked his lowest total since 1998 (min. 250 PA). His 80 runs were his lowest total since 2000. His 80 RBI were his lowest total since 2001.

I suppose saying he had a “down year” is a bit of an understatement. From 2007-2009 Lee averaged 26 home runs, 92 runs, 94 RBI, .304 AVG and a .340 BABIP. So what gives?

A closer look at Derrek Lee’s peripherals suggests serious unluckiness. Lee’s 2010 BABIP of .309 is his lowest since 2004 and doesn’t match his .322 career mark. The huge dip in his BABIP doesn’t jive with his 22.5 percent line-drive rate and career-low 1.3 percent infield fly-ball rate. All of Lee’s other peripherals are fairly similar to his career.

The Orioles offense looks very strong for 2011. Lee will be batting third behind Brian Roberts and Nick Markakis who get on base at a decent clip. Vladimir Guerrero, Luke Scott and Mark Reynolds will be batting behind him. Lee is hitting in a much-improved lineup and looks to have the perfect setup. Derrek Lee will have boatloads of opportunities to score and drive in runs.

Camden Yards has a 126 home run index for right-handed hitters. Compare that to Turner Field (92) and Wrigley Field (102).

Derrek Lee’s current ADP is 273. He is being taken after Adam Lind (182.1), Adam LaRoche (182.6), Carlos Pena (197.3), Gabby Sanchez (210.9) and Ike Davis (228.9). Adam LaRoche put up the best line of the five listed with .261/75/25/100. Those numbers are certainly obtainable.

It’s no guarantee that Lee will outperform all these guys but, the value is certainly there. Why even waste a pick on Paul Konerko (70.8), Billy Butler (84.1) or Aubrey Huff (107.2) when you can draft Derrek Lee 140-185 picks later?

2011 Projection: .291 AVG, 85 R, 27 HR, 93 RBI, 1 SB

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: FIRST BASE

Is it any surprise that Albert Pujols is our consensus #1? Didn’t think so. Much like the catchers, we all agreed that there is clearly a #1 at the position without question. We may never know Albert’s true age, but one thing is certain, he is getting older and two guys last year made a run at dethroning him: Miguel Cabrera and Joey Votto. In 2011, we may even see Adrian Gonzalez join them in the chase.

(Image: Zuma Press)

Does your Top 10 look like ours?

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Albert Pujols – STL 1 1 1 1 1 1.0
2 Miguel Cabrera – DET 2 2 3 3 2 2.4
3 Joey Votto – CIN 3 4 4 2 3 3.2
4 Adrian Gonzalez – BOS 4 3 2 5 5 3.8
5 Mark Teixeira – NYY 5 6 6 4 6 5.4
6 Prince Fielder – MIL 6 5 5 6 7 5.8
7 Ryan Howard – PHI 7 7 7 7 4 6.4
8 Kevin Youkilis – BOS 8 11 9 9 8 9.0
9 Justin Morneau – MIN 9 9 8 13 11 10.0
10 Kendry Morales – LAA 10 8 14 14 9 11.0
11 Buster Posey – SF 12 13 12 8 10 11.0
12 Adam Dunn – CHW 13 10 10 11 13 11.4
13 Victor Martinez – DET 14 12 11 10 14 12.2
14 Paul Konerko – CHW 11 15 13 15 12 13.2
15 Billy Butler – KC 15 14 16 12 17 14.8
16 Aubrey Huff – SF 17 19 18 17 15 17.2
17 Derrek Lee – BAL 17 15 18 16 17.4
18 Mike Napoli – TEX 16 16 19.0
19 Adam LaRoche – WAS 18 20 20 18 19.4
20 Carlos Pena – CHC 16 20 19.8

 

PAUL KONERKO

Since it’s Valentine’s Day I’m going to come out and say it, I love Paul Konerko.  The 34 year old has averaged 31HR, 95 RBI and a .280 average for the the past 10 seasons, and last year was one of his best (39HR, 111RBI, .312).  The best part about Konerko is that he always slips in drafts, which makes him a middle round bargain to fill out one of your utility spots.

BILLY BUTLER

Billy Butler is one of the best young players you don’t know due to his playing for the woeful Royals.  None of his individual numbers will blow you away but his above average production across all categories (except SB) makes him a valuable fantasy contributor that can be had as a bargain in middle rounds.  He is also a September Star that you’ll want during your playoff run.

IKE DAVIS

My Ike Davis ranking doesn’t show up on our list, but I had him ranked 18th, right behind Derrek Lee. His MiLB career BABIP suggests he has room to grow even from where he was last year (.321), which means his AVG will rise, as will the rest of his counting stats. With a healthy Mets team, I don’t see why Ike can’t go .280-85-23-85-4 (along with 35-40 2B & 80BB if your league counts them). For a 24-year old, that is pretty solid and a low cost option in the later rounds.

SLEEPER: GABY SANCHEZ

First full season in the bigs he hits .273 with 19 HR’s! Only 27 to start the season, I think we can expect bigger things this year from Gaby. Gotta be better than the slim pickings at the bottom of the 1st Base list.

BUST: ADAM LAROCHE

Career high K%(30.7) and BABIP(.330) both suggest major decline. Washington is tougher on lefties with a 94 HR park factor versus Arizona’s 114. Take a chance on a high ceiling guy and don’t waste it on LaDouche.

 

American League East Previews – Rays

Today’s focus: Tampa Bay Rays


Coming off a division winning season, you would think the prospects would be sunny for the Rays. However, losing Carl Crawford, Rafael Soriano, Matt Garza, Grant Balfour, Carlos Pena, Randy Choate, Joaquin Benoit and Jason Bartlett probably changes the thinking just a smidgen.

Joe Maddon still believes Tampa’s goal is to defend last year’s division title. I think that’s an admirable goal, but has about as good a chance of happening as I do of whooping Chuck Liddell in a street fight. While picking up big names in Johnny Damon and Manny Ramirez gives the look of a team trying to compete, realistically these are two players who are way past their respective primes. Damon last season in over 500 at bats hit .271 with 8 HR’s, 51 RBI and 81 runs scored. Manny adds to that with 285 at bats last season producing a respectable .298 average, but only 9 HR’s, 42 RBI and 38 runs scored. You could be optimistic about Manny lasting a full season, but to put it into perspective, Crawford alone last year accounted for a .307 average with 19 HR’s, 90 RBI and 110 runs scored. Basically their offensive stats combined.

Notable Losses Include: Half their team as noted above

Notable Pick Ups: Manny Ramirez, Johnny Damon and not enough else

The Rays have done a good job the last few years with a tight payroll compared to the players in their division. This one definitely looks to be a rebuilding year though and they will be in a fight with Toronto to see who takes the last spot in the division this season.