Tag Archives: Casual Sabermetrician

The Casual Sabermetrician – First Half 2011 analysis

Welcome back to the Casual Sabermetrician.  It’s July, Summer is in full swing, and we’re at the half way point of the season.  We again look back on our pre-season exercise  and First Quarter Analysis of looking at tERA vs. ERA to find out which pitchers are pitching above their heads and which have been unlucky so far.  For fantasy purposes this translates to who we can sell high on and conversely who we might be able to buy low on.

Again, our method involves extracting tERA and ERA stats from Fangraphs into a spreadsheet and creating a formula to view tERA-ERA.  We can also look and see if the guys we looked at 7 weeks ago have regressed to the mean or not.
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Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 07.05.11

Welcome to the last week of the first half of the season, hope you all had a fun and safe 4th.  Look out for my Casual Sabermetrician update on Starting Pitchers at the mid way point, should be out tomorrow.  I’ll also be guest co-hosting The 4th and Home Show tonight with Mike.  I’m sure we’ll talk about the outlook for the 2nd half of the season.

For games on Wednesday July 6th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Phil Hughes 40% /  28% (NYY) @ CLE

Edwin Jackson 37% / 15% (CWS) vs KC

Bronson Arroyo 34% / 37% (CIN) @ StL

Jonathon Niese 33% / 12% (NYM) @ LAD

Josh Collmenter 31% / 17% (ARI) @ MIL

Jason Vargas 22% / 24% (SEA) @ OAK

Charlie Morton 21% / 11% (PIT) vs. HOU

Jeremy Guthrie 17% / 6% (BAL) @ TEX

Wade Davis 15% / 27% (TB) @ MIN

Tom Gorzelanny 5% / 1% (WAS) vs. ChC

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Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 07.01.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting, can you believe it’s July – the baseball season is already half over!  It’s going so quickly.  Look out for my Casual Sabermetrician update on Starting Pitchers at the mid way point.  And now for spot starts to kick off your July 4th weekend…

For games on Saturday July 2nd these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Bartolo Colon 41% / 29% (NYY) @ NYM

Kyle McClellan 32% / 17% (StL) @ TB

Jake Arrieta 27% / 14% (BAL) @ ATL

Carl Pavano 26% / 10% (MIN) vs. MIL

Derek Holland 25% / 12% (TEX) vs. FLA

Homer Bailey 21% / 11% (CIN) vs. CLE

Chris Narveson 15% / 10% (MIL) @ MIN

Carlos Villanueva 14% / 6% (TOR) @ PHL

Joe Saunders 3% / 2% (ARI) @ OAK

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