Tag Archives: Chicago Cubs

2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

I know, we should have told you that Jesse owned Roy Oswalt before your draft. Our bad. I will now offer a few NL waivers to help compensate for your loss.

Jason Bourgeois, OF Houston Astros (19% owned in Yahoo, 40.9% ESPN)  

Current Stat Line: .407 AVG / 9 R / 0 HR / 7 RBI / 12 SB                              

I was worried about his playing time dwindling when Carlos Lee returned to the lineup but, it looks like the Astros are finding creative ways to get Bourgeois at bats. Bourgeois started at second base last night because of Bill Hall’s struggles at the plate. He has played second base for a few innings in each of the last couple years and he should also serve as a sub in all three outfield spots. He will continue to hit in either the first or second spot in the order and he is swiping bases at a unbelievable rate.

My Projection: .269 AVG / 78 R / 1 HR / 50 RBI / 39 SB

Carlos Pena, 1B Chicago Cubs (46% owned in Yahoo, 43% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .196 AVG / 7 R / 3 HR / 9 RBI / SB 0

For those of you who drafted Carlos Pena and decided to hold onto him through his struggles in April, you have been rewarded in May. Since May 1, Pena has hit .316 AVG / 5 R / 3 HR / 4 RBI with a fantastic BB:K ratio of 5:5. Grab him while you can, Wrigley Field in the summer months is a hitter’s paradise.

My Projection: .220 AVG / 65 R / 32 HR / 85 RBI / 0 SB

Bud Norris, SP Houston Astros (47% Owned in Yahoo, 66.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 2 W / 2 L / 3.16 ERA / 52 K / 1.27 WHIP 

Bud Norris’ 52 K on the year, ranks him seventh in all of baseball. He has put up at least 6 K during every single outing this season. His first two outings of the year were a little shaky but since then he has a 1.65 ERA with 39 K in only 32.2 IP. This sounds more like a 90% owned pitcher.

My Projection: 13 W / 10 L / 4.05 ERA / 201 K / 1.29 WHIP

Brandon Beachy, SP Atlanta Braves (46% owned in Yahoo, 74.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 1 W / 1 L / 2.98 ERA / 45 K / 0.97 WHIP

Beachy is still flying under the radar and I’m not sure why. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff (91.6 average fastball) but he has been striking batters out at an impressive rate (9.57 K/9) and he is a control freak (2.34 BB/9). I would like to see him induce more ground balls (30.5) and a few more fly balls could have left the park (7.7 HR/FB rate) but, this kid is for real.

My Projection: 10 W / 8 L / 3.45 ERA / 149 K / 1.20 WHIP

Vicente Padilla, SP/RP Los Angeles Dodgers (28% owned in Yahoo, 36.7% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 0 W / 0 L / 1.50 ERA / 5 K / 0.83 WHIP /  1 S

Vicente Padilla has been named the closer for the Los Angeles Dodgers while Jonathan Broxton is out. In many leagues, all closers should be owned. In leagues that require two or more starting pitchers daily, he is very useful because you can plug him in a SP slot when your thin. I have been known for chasing down the relief pitchers with SP eligibility who may get an opportunity to pick up saves. In the past four years I have owned Koji Uehara, Franklin Morales, Joel Hanrahan, and Kevin Gregg. Don’t be afraid to cut bait when Kuo or Broxton get back into the mix though.                                        

My Projection: 2 W / 2 L / 2.69 ERA / 55 K / 1.12 WHIP / 12 S

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.
 
Today’s Games (4/10/11)
 
Florida Marlins (-114) @ Houston Astros (+104) My Pick: Marlins Money Line
I still like the Marlins lineup better than the Astros lineup even though Hanley Ramirez is out. You have to love the discount due to the injury. J.A. Happ was garbage in his first outing. 
 
Chicago Cubs +1.5(-135) @ Milwaukee Brewers -1.5(+115) My Pick: Brewers Run Line
Gallardo pitched a shutout the last time he pitched but the score still came out to 1-0. What swayed me here was the fact that the Brewers offense have been putting up a few more runs recently and all their wins have come at home.
 
New York Yankees -1.5(+140) @ Boston Red Sox +1.5(-160) My Pick: Yankees Run Line
It took me a while to pull the trigger on this one because Josh Beckett is on my fantasy team and I really need him today. But when you’re in a rut, you need to take advantage of every edge you can. Everyone knows of Beckett’s struggles versus the Yankees in his career (6.26 ERA, 1.56 WHIP) and he is going up against CC Sabathia.
 
Saturday’s Results
 
New York Yankees: WIN +134
I never thought I would say this, “THANK GOD FOR THE YANKEES!”
 
(Game 1) Texas Rangers: LOSS -100
It looks like I should have picked game 2.
 
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants (Over/Under): Loss -100
I will take the over on 6.5 runs almost every time.
 
Daily Total: -66
 
Brian “Killboy” Kilpatrick is currently up +302 imaginary dollars in 2011.
 
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Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. No guarantees are given as to the amount you will make from betting. Any liability from following any information given is completely waived by 4thandhome.com, and you are to understand that you follow it completely at your own risk.

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Killin’ the Odds & NL Futures

 

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & NL Futures! It’s real simple, I analyze odds to win the 2011 World Series and tell you who to take. Now on with it! Read more of this post

2011 National League West Previews: Giants

Today’s Focus: San Francisco Giants

2010 Record: 92-70, World Series Champions

The San Francisco Giants scratched and clawed through a division that was pretty evenly matched in 2010. The Giants were 38-34 against the NL West, the Padres were also 38-34, the Rockies were 37-35, and the Dodgers bested them all going 40-32. They limited their injuries to Mark DeRosa, Freddy Sanchez and Edgar Renteria. Their pitching got them to the playoffs and their offense caught fire at the right time for them to win it all. Read more of this post

National League Central Previews: Cubs

Today’s Focus: Chicago Cubs

2010 Record:  75-87, 5th Place NL Central

The Cubs look a lot different than they did on opening day of the 2010 season.  Derek Lee and Mike Fontenot were traded during the season, manger Lou Pinella resigned, and Ryan Theriot and Ted Lilly were gone after the season ended.  The Team picked up Matt Garza, Kerry Wood and Carlos Pena in the offseason but that’s not enough to get this cursed team into the playoffs.
Read more of this post

The Most Awesome Baseball Quote Ever

Just had to share this one. An excerpt from a recent Dusty Baker interview discussing his last season with the Cubs.

From Fox Sports:

“At the very end, somebody took a dump right where I stood in the dugout every day,” Baker said Monday morning. “That was the low point. The grounds crew guy cleaned it up. He said, ‘Oh, I think it’s dog crap.’ I said, ‘No it ain’t. That’s human crap.'”

Baker said Monday’s interview was the first time he had discussed the incident publicly. He doesn’t know who the perpetrator was.

Who knew Dusty was such a poop connoisseur? No, seriously, I hope the perp turns himself in after learning that this incident still haunts Dusty all these years later.

Remember When…….

Remember When is a series of articles on nostalgia really. Something to whisk you to way back when you had that favorite player who was destined to be the greatest of all time, but something strange happened along the trip to Cooperstown.

This week, remember when….Alfonso Soriano was the most coveted second baseman in fantasy baseball? Not a slightly better than average outfielder saddling the Cubs with a $20 million dollar a year contract?? Just imagine if you will, a second baseman hitting .280 with 35+ HR’s, over 100 RBI and stealing as many as 43 bases in a single season! This is the kind of production fantasy managers generally only get in their dreams. But for 1 lucky manager in your league it was a reality from 2002-2005.

Year     Team  Runs     HR       RBI      SB         Avg

2002    NYY    128      39        102      41         .300

2003    NYY    114      38        91        35         .290

2004    TEX     77        28        91        18         .280

2005    TEX     102      36        104      30        .268

Then, Alfonso went to Washington, where all good things go to die. Suddenly defense became an issue and the outfield became the cure. That first season still seemed great, how can you complain about 46 home runs? But the eligibility definitely caused his value to take a hit. Then Soriano signed that fateful deal with the most cursed team in baseball, the Chicago Cubs. Now they’re paying all that money for this type of production:

Year    Team  Runs     HR       RBI      SB       Avg

2010    CHC    67        24        79        5          .258

I don’t know who I feel worse for, the Cubs, Soriano or those poor fantasy owners who thought they were in for a 10 year run of greatness…..