Tag Archives: Drew Stubbs

July 2011 “September Star” Review

Don’t want to get ahead of ourselves, but this whole September stuff? We could be onto something here…

It’s time to buy, sell or hold (or monitor) my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:
 .255/90/25/75/30

Drew Stubbs through July:
.257/72/13/36/26

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:
.257/108/20/54/39

Research Concern: BABIP
The BABIP dropped in July (.354), but not as much as you might think considering his less-than-stellar counting stat output.

Conclusion: July was a month where he didn’t perform and he pretty much followed his team down that path. As the Reds go, so does Drew. His numbers were decent. He had his highest BB rate and his lowest K rate of the season. His ISO (.096) was pretty low, which could be attributed to his higher than normal GB rate (53%). All in all, guys not getting on base in front of him hurt.

Buy, Sell or Hold? HOLD

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07.24.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Here are your updated 4th and Home Standings:
Me         12-4
Killboy  11-4-1
Eric        10-6
Chris     7-7-2
Jesse     6-10
Brian    6-10

4th and Home Player of the Day: Brett Cecil – 4-hit SHO/7:2…I guess AAA helped? Monitor him. Not ready to push all of my chips into the middle for him just yet, but I’ve always been intrigued by him.

The Bats:
Mike Stanton
– 2/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…Some think he has a 40/20 season in him. I sure hope so!

David Wright – 3/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…To say he’s been hot since his DL-activation would be an understatement.

Colby Rasmus – 2/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…Upping his price tag?

Hideki Matsui – 5/5, R, RBI…How does a 3-hole hitter produce little when getting 5 hits? Oh, when you’re an Athletic.

Nick Markakis – 3/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…Been hot this month, but the overall line is still garbage. Still glad I dropped him.

Torii Hunter – 3/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Hunter batting .237. That’s about his age too!

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June 2011 “September Star” Review

Ok, I am getting back on track here. Some interesting developments with our “Stars”. Listen, we can’t get them all right, but the approach will shine light on some potential bargains and studs as you head into your draft each year. I’ve laid the foundation and showed you what to look for so next year you can ignore my articles. Kidding! Keep coming back, Mom and Dad!

It’s time to buy, sell or hold my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:
 .255/90/25/75/30

Drew Stubbs through June:
.255/55/11/32/23

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:
.255/110/22/64/46

Research Concern: BABIP
Again his BABIP rose, this time to .375. It does concern me, because a July, August or September swoon could really devastate his batting average and counting stats.

Conclusion: This guy’s numbers are all over the place, but somehow his counting stats are very close to what was predicted back in the pre-season. His K% jumped to 40.6%. Yuck! His HR/FB jumped to 18.2%, which shows us he was all or nothing (which I’ve said many times) when looked at with his K%. It was nice to see him get his LD% back up, but the 13.6 IFFB% shows that he can get his average up if he starts driving the ball more and being more selective at what pitches to take yard.

Buy, Sell or Hold? HOLD

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May 2011 “September Star” Review

Long overdue to get this May article out. I’ve let my two readers down (my parents). Lo siento! Get your recap from April (here).

It’s time to buy, sell or hold my “September Stars”.

Drew Stubbs
My Projection:
 .255/90/25/75/30

Drew Stubbs through May:
.258/39/7/23/16

Drew Stubbs extrapolated 2011:
.258/117/21/69/48

Research Concern: BABIP
Stubbs had a BABIP of .361 in May, which is a bit above his carer average. His batting average was right in line with April’s.

Conclusion: Stubbs HR/FB came back to earth in May, so right now he is on pace for a 20/40 season. Seems I was low on his SB potential

Buy, Sell or Hold? BUY

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06.05.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Now (8-1) after another clobbering this week of a ghost team. This week I face Eric who is always tough and then Killboy who is the reigning Champ. Not getting any easier! How’s everyone doing in their leagues?

Vamanos!

4th and Home Player of the Day: Adam Lind – 4/4, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI…Is he back to 2009 Lind? The average sure does look good and he has 9 bombs now.

The Bats:
Drew Stubbs
– 2/5, 2 R, HR, RBI, SB…BSFU! He is the King of filling up the box score this year.

Matt Kemp – 2/3, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Three walks to boot! Kemp had a big weekend and now has 16 HR and 14 SB. He’s pretty much halfway to the 30/30 club and we’re barely into June. I ranted about Kemp in a pre-season radio program that if I had to pick one player that was a lock for the 30/30 club it was him.

Chad Billingsley – 2/2, R, HR, 3 RBI…Huh? Yeah, that’s right. Chad was ok in his pitching line (5/8/4/3:3), but was mighty with the stick!

Elvis Andrus – 2/3, R, HR, RBI…Still on pace for 100+ runs and 50+ steals. Who wudda thunk it?

Rickie Weeks – 2/5, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI…Weeks has a real good shot of going 25/25 this year.

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04.28.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Ok, so if it isn’t bad enough for Killboy that he owns Gallardo and Liriano, I was perusing match-ups tonight and came across his pitching for the night. I see Ryan Dempster’s ERA at 189.00 and WHIP at 24.00.
HOW IS THAT EVEN POSSIBLE?!?!!?
Shazam that has to be a record. I have never seen anything like that before in fantasy baseball. It’s the craziest thing I’ve seen since I had Clinton Portis go off for 200+ yards and 5 TDs! Mind-boggling.

Anyway, here’s what else I saw:

That's right, Jesse does love you.

The Bats:
Ben Zobrist – 7/10, 5 R, 2 HR, 10 RBI, SB…If you can believe it, Jesse did NOT have him on his bench. Simply one of the best fantasy game(s) you could ask for. He more than filled the box score in game one alone.

Ian Desmond – 2/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…New daddy belts a homer and raises his average to .220! Makin’ baby proud!

Elvis Andrus – 2/4, R, 3 SB…Now up to 7 SB and is on pace for 40+. Still, I was hoping for 50 this year. Andrus stinks.

Travis Snider – 1/4, K…Batting .184 this year will not cut it for the greatest team in baseball. It gets you sent to AAA.

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04.27.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

The Bats:
Joey Votto – 2/4, R, HR, 4 RBI, 2 BB…Just another day at the ballpark.

Drew Stubbs – 2/5, 3 R, HR, RBI, BB…Walks up, Ks down and less streakiness for this “September Star”.

Jeff Francoeur – 2/4, R, HR, RBI…Frenchy continues to rake and the only noticeable change in his peripherals is that he’s hitting a lot more ground balls than ever before. Uhm, regression is coming.

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04.25.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

The Bats:
Chris Coghlan – 3/4, 3 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI, BB…”The Mighty Kong has awoken!” Must have had a Freaky Friday experience with Mike Stanton. Switch back already!

Jerry Sands – 3/4, RBI, SB…4 doubles in 8 games? That is like 80 doubles in a full season! (And 40 steals to boot) So I like the Sandsman. Sue me.

Jose Bautista – 1/2, R, HR, RBI, 2 BB…Why even pitch to this guy? He’s up to 8 ding dongs and I think 40 is in the bag.

Ryan Braun – 2/5, R, HR, RBI, SB…Again filling up the box score. 8 HR and torching pitching right now.

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2011 MLB Spring Training Review: Week of March 27th

SPRING TRAINING QUICK HITS

Nyjer Morgan was traded to the Brewers. How do you get cut by the Nationals? That is pretty bad. In Milwaukee, Nyjer will be bottling beer with Laverne and Shirley and hope to share playing time with Carlos Gomez, to form the *biting palm* Lenny and Squiggy Duo Part Deux. Avoid.

Here’s what else happened this week…

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2011 Fantasy Baseball “September Stars” Series: Brian Matusz

This week we take a look at our final “September Star”: Brian Matusz.

Matusz was a 2010 pre-season fantasy sleeper as he lit up the opposition in spring training. As most will point out, don’t place too much stock into March heroes. In his first full season, he compiled a line of 10-12/4.30/1.34/143 in 175+ innings for the Orioles. From August on, though, he looked every bit the ace many were hoping he’d become.

Let’s look at those final two months and decide if he is ready to turn in a full season of magic…

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