Tag Archives: Fantasy Baseball Draft

Fantasy Baseball Bounce Back Player Of The Week: Pablo Sandoval

 

Panda is coming off a year in which he took a considerable step backwards. Through his first 2 seasons in the big leagues he had consistently performed offensively:

Year Games R HR RBI AVG OBP SLG BABIP
2008 41 24 3 24 .345 .357 .490 .356
2009 153 79 25 90 .330 .387 .556 .350

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies: The Position Scarcity Effect

No doubt that all of us who have been playing fantasy baseball for at least a few years have heard of position scarcity. Over the last several seasons I think the popularity of this theory has become even greater. Prior to it getting a cool name, I think most players acknowledged the fact that there were few great shortstops to choose from, but I’m not sure how many people actually factored that into their draft strategy. Well, like many good ideas, once they get into the popular conscience they tend to be overblown and after time settle into a nice useful medium.

The basic premise behind position scarcity is that there are few elite players at some positions and therefore the elite players at those spots should have their value elevated somewhat to account for this fact. I agree with the logic whole-heartedly. Where I think we may have gone slightly astray is in determining the amount these values should be adjusted by versus those elite players at roles that have more depth. For example, when someone tries to convince me that Jose Reyes should be drafted ahead of Adrian Gonzalez because of position scarcity, I think we may have gone too far. While I would tend to classify them both as tier 2 players at their respective positions and admit that short stop is an extremely shallow spot, I don’t see the justification for the move when runs and average will be about a wash and Reyes only gets the edge in steals. Unless you have a dire need in steals, it seems to defy logic. Personally I believe the best available player in the draft will usually be the best player for your team. This won’t always be the case, but about 90% of the time this logic will serve you well.

Now for the 3 most scarce batter positions and their elite players (either tier 1 or 2):

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2011 Fantasy Baseball: How Detroit Tiger Miguel Cabrera’s Drinking Affects Your Draft

(St. Lucie County Sheriff's Dept.)

As many of you have probably heard, Miguel Cabrera was arrested again for an alcohol related incident. And trust me, it gets worse. Following is an excerpt from Yahoo Sports:

Cabrera, 27, was spotted by a deputy in a car that’s engine was smoking alongside a road in Fort Pierce. Inside the vehicle, Cabrera smelled of alcohol, had slurred speech and took a swig from a bottle of scotch in front of a deputy, according to St. Lucie County Sheriff’s Office said. He refused to cooperate and more deputies were called to the scene.

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Fantasy Finds: Top 3 Underrated Second Basemen

The purpose of Fantasy Finds is to point out some names that have not been getting the attention they deserve on draft day. The focus of this article will be finding value at a thin position, second base.

1. Dan Uggla – Currently ranked #34 by Yahoo Fantasy Baseball


Last Season’s Statistics:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.287 100 33 105 4

Very impressive stat line for Uggla last year which left him at number 18 in Yahoo’s 2010 rankings. In addition to his finish last year, he has now moved into the Braves lineup where he should thrive. Plan on a finish closer to last year’s 18 than the 34 Yahoo has tagged him with this season.

2. Kelly Johnson – Currently ranked #98 by Yahoo Fantasy Baseball


Last Season’s Statistics:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.284 93 26 71 13

I think Johnson is getting a raw deal even from Yahoo. When it comes down to it, fantasy is all about offense. And the stats Johnson put up last year were very solid, especially for second base. The fact that he has his defensive liabilities, while soon to frustrate Diamondback fans on a regular basis, have not impact from a fantasy perspective as long as he keeps his job.

3. Brian Roberts – Currently ranked #104 by Yahoo Fantasy Baseball


Last Season’s Statistics:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.278 28 4 15 12

Admittedly, those stats are probably deserving of a much lower ranking. However, Roberts was injured much of last season and only played in 59 games. Coming into this season healthy and with an upgraded lineup around him, it’s not unreasonable to expect a stat line more along the lines of his 2009 season:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.283 110 16 79 30

Those numbers were strong enough to find him ranked as the 47th best player in Yahoo. Not bad for a player you will likely be able to grab as late as the 10th round of your draft.