Tag Archives: Hanley Ramirez

05.18.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

It was a “night” dominated by the pitchers. Killboy had his wonderkids going in Dempster and Gallardo. Dempster blew it, but how did Gallardo do?

Anyway, onto it…

4th and Home Player of the Day: Jake Peavy – SHO, 3 H, 8:0…Uhm, where did this come from? You know people had him stashed on their DL for this one. Now they will activate him and he will implode.

The Bats:
Alex Rodriguez
– 4/7, 2 R…Two straight appearances in this column. Perhaps he is heating up.

Hanley Ramirez – 2/5, 2 R, HR, RBI, SB…BSFU! Nice to see HanRam make an appearance here.

Matt Joyce – 1/3, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…He also had two walks and he is not slowing down. I’ve had him plugged in since I picked him up. Against righties, he is mashing.

Elliot Johnson – 2/3, R, 3 RBI…In his last 3 starts: 5/10, 3 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI. Maddon said he’d play him while he’s hot.

Eric Hosmer – 1/5, R, HR, RBI…Game-tying solo shot off Neftali Feliz to send it to extra innings. After the game, Boras told the Royals they could lock him up now for a 10 yr/100MM contract.

Read more of this post

05.11.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Well, some of you might’ve been burned by the A’s/Rangers postponement. I know I was. My opponent, Brian, had Gio going so to have his stats wiped out really, really stinks. Anyway, onto it…

4th and Home Player of the Day: Eric Hosmer – 1/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…First MLB HR as he now sports a line of .250/3/1/3/1 through his first 5 games. Who else would be our player of the day?

The Bats:
Ryan Ludwick
– 3/6, R, HR, 3 RBI…Still batting under .200. At this point I think you just forget about him. “Fuhgetabout’em!”

Cameron Maybin – 4/6, 2 R, 2 RBI…Now batting .252 he has greatly increased his BB% (and decreased his K%) this season which is a great sign for a “young” hitter. Yes, young. He is still only 24. Remember, they brought him up when he was 8? Anymahoo, keep an eye on him. Or two. No, just one for now.

Jason Kubel – 2/3, R, HR, 4 RBI…Kubel is batting a sizzling .355 and looks to be back to the player he was two years ago. He might only hit 20 HR, but he has a good shot at driving in 90-100.

Victor Martinez – 3/4, R, HR, 3 RBI…V-Mart continues to rake since his activation. Plug him. Play him.

Drew Stubbs – 2/5, R, HR, RBI, SB…Box score filler-upper (BSFU)!

Curtis Granderson – 2/5, R, HR, 2 RBI, SB….BSFU! Now with 12 dingers to lead all highlanders.

Read more of this post

05.08.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Thanks to Jesse for getting me caught up on baseball over the weekend. Was a nice read after being in the car seven hours. I can’t believe New York drivers get such a bad wrap, because Massachusetts drivers are by far the worst!

4th and Home Player of the Day: Derek Jeter – 4/6, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI, SB…Box score filler-upper! Nearly won Jesse his game over future bro-in-law Chris, but no-can-do.

Here’s what else I saw:

The Bats:
Hanley Ramirez
– 1/5, R, RBI, SB…Still batting under .200 and as we’re well into May, his season is reminding me of David Wright’s 2009.

Gaby Sanchez – 4/4, 3 R, HR, 3 RBI, BB…Gaby is up to .328 with 4 HR and 20 RBI as the Fish’s clean-up hitter. In OBP leagues he is the MAN!

Andre Ethier – 2/4, R, HR, 2 RBI…A one-game hit streak is ALIVE!

B.J. Upton – 2/4, 4 RBI…Upton is racking up the ribbies. He might break Hack Wilson’s record if he faces the Orioles weekly.

Jacoby Ellsbury – 3/5, R, SB…17-game hit streak and hitting close to .300 now thanks to a .371 May.

Adrian Gonzalez – 3/5, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…A-Gonz is heating up.

Kevin Youkilis – 2/4, 4 R…The Youka! or The Greek Gawd of Waks! if you will. Didn’t know he had the legs to get 4 runs in a game. First time since July 11th, 2009.

Read more of this post

05.01.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Add another 3B to the scrap pile as David Freese broke a bone in his hand. Be sure to look at Brian and Killboy’s suggestions as possible corner infield substitutes until he comes back.
Carlos Lee
had a nasty collision with Killboy-favorite Angel Sanchez that might have looked worse than it actually was. He was carted off the field, but preliminary x-rays revealed no broken bones in his chest. This after blasting a 3-run HR.

Anyway, here’s what else I saw:

The Bats:
Matt Holliday 
– 2/3, R, 2 RBI, BB…Matty Ho continues to rake as his average is still above .400 at a cool .418.

Curtis Granderson – 3/4, R, HR, 3 RBI…His 8th homer and better yet his average is up to .281. THRIVING in the jackhole (two-hole).

Garrett Jones – 2/4, 3 RBI, BB…Pick him up yet?

Matt Joyce – 3/3, R, RBI, BB, SB…Pick HIM up yet? C’mon! New readers excused.

Hanley Ramirez – 1/5, R, HR, 2 RBI…His first homer. It’s a start!

Mike Aviles – 3/5, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI, SB…Box score filler-upper! Look out as Aviles is heating up and doing his best to prove me right.

Read more of this post

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

Today’s Games (4/26/11)
  
San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+115) @ Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-135) My Pick: Pirates Run Line
Anytime you see a home team underdog with a run line of +1.5 at -140 or better, you should take a closer look. The Giants are 13th in the National League in runs and Matt Cain has started the year slowly. Andrew McCutchen and Neil Walker have put together a few solid games at the plate. I also think a change of scenery will do Brandon Wood some good. Either way, I think this game will remain close.
 
Seattle Mariners (-119) @ Detroit Tigers (+109) My Pick: Mariners Money Line
It’s hard to argue against Felix Hernandez but it’s even harder to argue against Felix Hernandez when he’s playing the Tigers. In his past 5 starts against the Tigers, King Felix is 4-0 with a 1.87 ERA and 39:5 K:BB in only 33.2 IP. The Tigers are not great versus right-handed starters because their lineup is mostly right-handed. The last time Phil Coke has pitched against the Mariners was exactly one week ago and he gave up  6 ER in only 3.2 IP. King Felix will have to go a long way in this one but he is due.
 
 Los Angeles Dodgers (-137) @ Florida Marlins (+127) My Pick: Dodgers Money Line
It’s no wonder why the Marlins are trotting around with a 14-7 record. Any lesser record would be a disappointment after facing teams like the Mets, Nationals, Astros, and Pirates. With Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers coming to town, it is time for them to come back to Earth. Kershaw’s last start in Sun Life Stadium was stellar with 7 innings of one-hit ball. Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp are still on a roll plus, Juan Uribe is expected back today. Volstad has given up 14 R in 15 IP this year. Hanley Ramirez is still slumping and Logan Morrison is still on the DL.
*Any information provided by our company is for educational, informational and entertainment purposes ONLY. Use caution if you use our products and / or services and remember that all gambling carries risk and no liability is taken by 4thandhome.com.
Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. No guarantees are given as to the amount you will make from betting. Any liability from following any information given is completely waived by 4thandhome.com, and you are to understand that you follow it completely at your own risk.

Disagree? Light me up in the comments.

2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems – National League

Everyone knows you need to make a few moves throughout the season and it’s not all about the draft. This post is designed to help you rule the waivers! So when your league-mates are in an 11 team race to see who will acquire the next Willie Bloomquist, you can take your pick and laugh all the way to a fantasy championship!

Logan Morrison, OF Florida Marlins (38% owned in Yahoo, 37% in ESPN)

Current Stat Line – .333 AVG/ 5 R/ 2 HR/ 5 RBI

Morrison was penciled in at the 3-spot in the order with Hanley Ramirez out. He is the team’s best hitter right now as 5 of his 10 hits have gone for extra bases and he’s rockin’ a snappy 8:6 BB:K ratio. We could easily see a line of .280 AVG / 70 R / 20 HR / 80 RBI by season’s end.

Ben Francisco, OF Philadelphia Phillies (42% owned in Yahoo, 54% in ESPN)

Current Stat Line – .333 AVG/ 7 R / 2 HR / 7 RBI / 1 SB 

Everyone seems to forget his time in Cleveland but he put up some useful numbers. He hit 15 HR in 447 AB in 2008. In the time split between CLE and PHI in 2009, he hit 15 HR and stole 14 bases in only 405 AB. I would like to see Ben Francisco batting 5th behind Ryan Howard. If he obtains at least 500 AB this season, we could see a line of .269 AVG / 70 R / 20 HR / 83 RBI / 10 SB. 

Danny Espinosa, 2B Washington Nationals (10% owned in Yahoo, 6% in ESPN)

Current Stat Line – .304 AVG / 5 R / 1 HR / 5 RBI

Last year with the Nationals, Espinosa hit six home runs in 103 at bats. He has also shown an interesting combination of power and speed in the minors. In his last 955 minor league at bats he hit 40 home runs and stole 54 bases. That’s pretty fancy even though I don’t expect the .304 AVG to stick. My projection: .260 AVG / 69 R / 19 HR / 72 RBI / 12 SB

 Chase Headley, 3B San Diego Padres (27% owned in Yahoo)

Current Stat Line – .280 AVG / 3 R / 1 HR / 7 RBI

Currently Headley’s BB:K ratio is 5:5 and he is hitting in an RBI friendly spot in the order. He has shown a bit more power in the minors so I suspect his low home run totals may be a product of Petco or maybe he is still adjusting to the majors. I still expect his home run total to increase and he also stole 17 bases in 2010. He could finish with a .270 AVG / 65 R /16 HR / 70 RBI / 14 SB.

Chris Narveson, SP Milwaukee Brewers (11% owned in Yahoo)

Current Stat Line – 1 W / 0 L / 0.0 ERA / 14 K / 1.00 WHIP

I’m not condoning you drop guys like Cole Hamels or Ryan Dempster for Chris Narveson but he could fit in nicely as an injury replacement. If he puts together a few more solid starts, he is someone you could also sell high on. Aside from the Reds, the NL Central has had some issues scoring runs as of late. With the Astros, Nationals and Pirates on the schedule for April, he should be a good option for a spot start or two. My Projection: 11 W / 11 L / 3.85 ERA / 165 K / 1.30 WHIP

 

2011 Fantasy Baseball Bust: Rickie Weeks

 

Rickie Weeks dominated in 2010.

His final stats of 112/29/83/11 and triple slash line of .269/.366/.464 were impressive to say the least.

Read more of this post

2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies: The Position Scarcity Effect

No doubt that all of us who have been playing fantasy baseball for at least a few years have heard of position scarcity. Over the last several seasons I think the popularity of this theory has become even greater. Prior to it getting a cool name, I think most players acknowledged the fact that there were few great shortstops to choose from, but I’m not sure how many people actually factored that into their draft strategy. Well, like many good ideas, once they get into the popular conscience they tend to be overblown and after time settle into a nice useful medium.

The basic premise behind position scarcity is that there are few elite players at some positions and therefore the elite players at those spots should have their value elevated somewhat to account for this fact. I agree with the logic whole-heartedly. Where I think we may have gone slightly astray is in determining the amount these values should be adjusted by versus those elite players at roles that have more depth. For example, when someone tries to convince me that Jose Reyes should be drafted ahead of Adrian Gonzalez because of position scarcity, I think we may have gone too far. While I would tend to classify them both as tier 2 players at their respective positions and admit that short stop is an extremely shallow spot, I don’t see the justification for the move when runs and average will be about a wash and Reyes only gets the edge in steals. Unless you have a dire need in steals, it seems to defy logic. Personally I believe the best available player in the draft will usually be the best player for your team. This won’t always be the case, but about 90% of the time this logic will serve you well.

Now for the 3 most scarce batter positions and their elite players (either tier 1 or 2):

Read more of this post

2011 Fantasy Baseball “September Stars” Series: Drew Stubbs

Last week we looked at the September Star phenomenon and how an astute eye could have forecasted a Jose Bautista 2010 breakout. This week we take a look at our first nominee, Drew Stubbs, to determine if he’s destined for 2011 stardom.

Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images North America

Before we get into Stubbs’ prospects, let’s examine the last 5 years of 20-30 players:

Read more of this post