Tag Archives: J.P. Arencibia
At this point, you will want to monitor all of the AAA, and some of the more impressive AA guys (minus SPs who have reached innings limits) to see if they get called up on 9/1 or thereafter. Many a fantasy championship has been won on the backs of super propects, especially ones who play for teams either completely out of it, or teams who are comfortably ahead and are looking to rest regulars.
–Jesus Montero, NYY, C, Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees (#3): This is the week people were waiting for all year: 4 HRs, 11 RBIs, 11 for 24 in his last five. Montero’s season line is resembling more and more what he did last year (identical batting avg., 4 less HRs, similar OBP), so it is safe to say the kid is ready as he will ever be for his MLB debut in September. The Yankees sure could use a dependable DH bat to cement a playoff spot – their pitching is now looking like it is what we thought it was.
-Dayan Viciedo, CWS, OF, Charlotte Knights (unranked): Viciedo got the call this past week after Carlos Quentin went down with an injury. He was going to be a 40 man roster add anyway. He finished up his minor league season with a bang; 4 HRs and 10 RBIs in his last ten, with only 4 Ks. And, in his first action, he went 2 for 3 with a HR and 3 RBIs (I picked him up to replace Quentin, and of course had him on my bench for monitoring purposes…story of my season).
–Devin Mesoraco, CIN, C, Louisville Bats (#64): Mesoraco went 6 for 24 with 2 HRs and 8 RBIs – both HRs and 5 ribbies came in one game. With the Bats eliminated from playoff contention, he is certainly a candidate to get called up after September 1; curiously though, he is not on the 40 man roster.
J. P. Arencibia, C, Toronto Blue Jays (47% owned Yahoo, 42.3% ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .216/25/12/37/0 (avg/runs/hrs/rbis/sbs)
J.P. should bash around 25 home runs before the year is out. Not many catchers can match that power production. You will take a big average hit – I think Arencibia has bottomed out though – but that is pretty standard at this traditionally thin – and even thinner this year – position. He is basically Mike Napoli with more at bats (Ron Washington seems like he has finally come around on playing Napoli every day, finally). If Naps is owned in your league, which he should be, J.P. is a decent consolation prize.
My Projection (rest of season): .235/32/13/35/1
Gordon Beckham, 2B, Chicago White Sox (46% Yahoo, 51.3% ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .241/34/7/24/2
Becks raised his average almost 50 points last year in the 2nd half, and has shown some signs of life lately; I wouldn’t get too excited about him, but at one of the weaker positions in a line-up that is due to bust out, he should outperform the 1st half numbers pretty easily. The former #1 pick should produce solid MI stats the rest of the way.
My Projection (rest of season): .275/37/10/36/3
Rajai Davis, OF, Toronto Blue Jays (38% Yahoo, 55.2% ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .243/34/1/23/24
Davis went through a brutal cold streak which dropped his average from .288 to .224, prompting me to drop him along the way. Of course, now he has turned it back on, stealing 6 bases and raising his average 20 points in the last week. Might as well get back on the Rajai Train while he’s hot, as he can single handedly win you steals and help big time in runs any given week. But be prepared for big gaping holes of production from time to time.
My Projection (rest of season): .260/34/3/25/25
Edwin Jackson, SP, Chicago White Sox (37% Yahoo, 30% ESPN)
Current Stat Line: 4.30 ERA/1.44 WHIP/92 Ks/5-7 W/L
All Sox and Jays so far. Jackson’s numbers look horrible, but lately he has been better, even if the ERA and WHIP haven’t gone down much. In his last four starts, he has K’ed 27 and walked just 4, while giving up a manageable 26 hits in 26.2 IP. We all know Jackson has the talent and stuff to go on a useful fantasy run for you, and now might be a good time to test him out, as his xFIP is 1 run lower than his ERA and he has been pretty unlucky, dealing with a .341 BABIP. I’d be worried about using him against Detroit post-All Star break if he gets a start in that series, but against KC or Cleveland, I’d give him a whirl.
My Projection (rest of season): 4.05 ERA/1.30 WHIP/80 Ks/7-6 W/L
Mark Trumbo, 1B, Los Angeles Angels (30% Yahoo, 52.9% ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .256/32/15/38/8
Trumbo continues to put up respectable power numbers, and has even stolen 8 bases thus far, a nice little bonus from a first baseman. He has two HRs in his last three games, and could flirt with 30 by year’s end, which isn’t too shabby for any player, let alone a back up 1B. He won’t walk, and his average probably will not get any higher than it is now, but if you are still holding onto Adam Dunn (cough, cough, like myself), you might want to consider swapping him out for Trumbo, especially if its desperation time in your league.
My Projection (rest of season): .250/30/13/35/5
15. Lonnie Chisenhall, Cle, 3b – Chisenhall is by no means a lock to even make it past triple A this year, but because Cleveland’s infield is in shambles, especially at the hot corner (Jayson Nix anyone?), I like his chances of being brought along by mid-season to man that position. Chisenhall put up very versatile, if not amazing, numbers in AA last year: 81/17/84/.278 in 117 games. Plus his strikeout rate was under 17% while his BABIP was .297, a solid sign that he wasn’t just getting lucky. He showed less power than in high A ball in ‘09, but it wasn’t too drastic of a drop-off. He will start the year in double or triple A no doubt, but if Nix is replacement level or worse as expected, don’t be surprised to see him called up early. 3b isn’t that deep in fantasyland, so keep an eye on Lonnie Chiz during spring training; he might not be draftable, but he should be um, pickupable later in the year. Some of the previous prospects may make an earlier impact, but Chisenhall has the potential to provide a bigger boost to your team when it counts.
THE CATCHERS…Well here we are, finally rolling out the much-anticipated 2011 Positional Rankings starting with the Backstops. To no one’s surprise, Joe Mauer tops our composite rankings as the #1 Catcher for this upcoming season. Mauer could not repeat his 2009 success, but to call his 2010 a bust would be absurd. Mauer looks to rebound and keep his throne.
Enjoy and comment as necessary!
|1||Joe Mauer – MIN||1||1||1||1||1||1.0|
|2||Victor Martinez – DET||2||3||2||2||3||2.4|
|3||Buster Posey – SF||3||4||3||3||2||3.0|
|4||Brian McCann – ATL||4||2||4||4||4||3.6|
|5||Carlos Santana – CLE||6||6||5||6||5||5.6|
|6||Geovany Soto – CHC||5||9||6||5||6||6.2|
|7||Mike Napoli – TEX||10||5||7||8||7||7.4|
|8||Kurt Suzuki – OAK||7||8||13||7||8||8.6|
|9||Jorge Posada – NYY||12||11||8||10||9||10.0|
|10||Miguel Montero – ARI||8||10||9||13||11||10.2|
|11||Matt Wieters – BAL||11||7||14||9||10||10.2|
|12||Carlos Ruiz – PHI||9||12||18||11||14||12.8|
|13||Chris Iannetta – COL||13||16||10||12||13||12.8|
|14||Russell Martin – NYY||15||13||12||15||12||13.4|
|15||John Buck – FLA||16||17||11||16||17||15.4|
|16||A.J. Pierzynski – CHW||17||14||20||17||15||16.6|
|17||J.P. Arencibia – TOR||–||–||16||14||16||17.6|
|18||Miguel Olivo – SEA||–||18||15||–||18||18.6|
|19||Ryan Doumit – PIT||19||19||17||19||20||18.8|
|20||Yadier Molina – STL||14||–||19||–||19||18.8|
I am sticking to my words: “Napoli could wind up a Top 5 Catcher.” The guy is in one of the best parks and lineups in all of baseball. 30 bombs is NOT a stretch.
Last year’s Pacific Coast League MVP is pretty much guaranteed to be the starting catcher in Toronto this year. He has almost no major league experience but his minor league home run total’s (32HR in 2010) make him worth a flier in the late rounds of the draft. Expect some growing pains, but Arencibia could be a cheap source for power.
Chooch continues to be one of the most under rated players in MLB. He was the Phillies 2010 MVP for his clutch hitting and handling of their pitching staff. All projections are calling for him to regress this season – but looking at graphs of his last three seasons he is trending up in all the right categories. Ruiz could be a tremendous consolation prize if you like to draft your catcher(s) in the later rounds.
SLEEPER: JARROD SALTALAMACCHIA
Salty has + power for a catcher and looks to be the likely starter in Boston. In that lineup you can expect a lot of RBI and Run chances. Only downside potential is the number of AB’s Varitek may steal from him.
BUST: KURT SUZUKI
Weak 260-275 AVG with low double-digit HR totals. Suzuki’s move to the bottom 3rd of a poor Oakland lineup will kill his counting stats. If you wait to draft a catcher, at least draft one with power potential.
As Napoli gets passed around like the village bicycle once again, what does this mean for all parties involved?
Mike Napoli IMO rockets up the C rankings. Why? This guy can hit HR on the Moon and now he heads to the friendly confines of Rangers Ballpark. He might even bat higher than .260 this year too. To go along with 30 bombs and the opp to get tons of R and RBI in that lineup, Napoli could wind up being a Top 5 Catcher. Yeah, I said it. TOP 5 CATCHER!
Neftali Feliz I believe is locked in now as the closer. Silence the crowd that wants him in the rotation. Feliz will be elite once again.
Yorvit Torrealba will back Napoli up – well, he’ll be oohing and ahhing watching from the bench.
Frank Francisco heads to Minimal Fantasy Valueville in Toronto. I guess Frank Frank could get a shot to close, but I’m not banking on it.
J.P. Arencibia is relevant once again. He’s Napoli-lite, but will have to fight off the other-other Molina. Take a flier on him – he could be Napoli, or he could be Iannetta…