Tag Archives: Jason Bay

NL Waiver Wire Gems

Sorry its a day late folks, but here are some hidden gems in the NL who I think can provide some help for the stretch run:

Danny Espinosa, 2B, Washington Nationals (45% Yahoo/59.2% ESPN)

Current Line: .225/55/17/55/12

Espy has not hit a home run since July 17th, and has seen his average drop 23 points, but he is likely due for one last surge here at the end of the season. Not too many second basemen available out there in over half of yahoo leagues can match his potential power/rbi/speed output. Gordon Beckham and Aaron Hill are owned in more yahoo leagues, which seems criminal. I think 20/15 is a lock, and 25/17 is not too far-fetched.

My Projection (all rest of season): .235/23/7/25/4

Jason Bay, OF, NY Mets (49% Yahoo/70.8% ESPN)

Current Line: .248/47/9/42/10

Bay has been a colossal disappointment to Mets fans everywhere since joining the team in 2010, and has also pretty much been a fantasy bust. However, if you are making a playoff run these last few weeks, all you care about is a player’s production this last month and a half (assuming you are in a redraft league). Bay has been very good the last two weeks: .311/11/3/6/1, and I think he will provide decent spot starter OF numbers the rest of the way. This is a guy who used to average 30/100 through 2009, so he has not completely forgotten how to hit, citifield notwithstanding. Bay did clear waivers today, according to ESPN NY, but anyone think a team might take on the rest of his 66 million dollar contract? Well, anyone but the White Sox?

My Projection: .255/20/6/20/5

Jose Tabata, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (41% Yahoo/18.8% ESPN)

Current Line: .265/39/3/15/14

Tabata was a trendy pick this year, and unfortunately for me, I went along with this trend. He started the season red-hot, then fizzled, then got hurt, out since the end of June with a strained quad. Tabata is due to return to the Pirates this week, and, if his legs are fully healed, could be a big run/speed contributor. He should even be a plus average bat. If the Bucs use him at the top of the order, Tabata could be a Michael Bourne Light the rest of the way.

My Projection: .275/22/3/12/10

Jason Barlett, SS, San Diego Padres (21% Yahoo/17% ESPN)

Current Line: .254/50/2/33/22

Bartlett has been hot of late, and that is half of what gets a low owned player mentioned here, since being hot in Mid-August could be enough to stay hot into September. He is hitting .300 with a HR and 10 RBIs the past two weeks, and we know from his 2009 season that he is capable of going on ridiculous runs (even though that season was a huge outlier, to say the least). Given the dearth of production at SS in both leagues, Bartlett is worth a flier for his speed and average. Not saying he will save your team from extinction, but he should be better than Ryan Theriot, Darwin Barney, and Ian Desmond, all who are owned in more yahoo leagues.

My Projection: .265/16/1/17/10

Javier Vazquez, SP, Florida Marlins (37% Yahoo/15.5% ESPN)

Current Line: 4.68/1.39/104/7-10

Vasquez is much maligned, but lately, he’s been very useful. He has struck out 18 in his last 20 innings, with a 2.25 ERA and .90 WHIP. Go back even further, to June 16, and his ERA has dropped over two runs since then. Javy has San Diego at Petco coming up this week, so a perfect time to add him.

My Projection: 3.95/1.25/40/2-3

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Fantasy Baseball Bounce Back Player Of The Week: Jason Bay

Bay had a terrible season last year from two perspectives. He was injured and missed over 60 games, but even when playing his slugging was way down and he finished with his lowest home run total since playing in only 30 games his rookie season. Prior to 2010, Bay had been a borderline great player who you could count on for 30 HR’s and 100 RBI:

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: OUTFIELD

Ryan Braun or Carlos Gonzalez at #1? That was the debate, though one guy even ranked Carl Crawford as his #1. Madness!

Ryan Braun: Ready to tee off in 2011

And…Ryan Braun takes home our #1 OF ranking, but it was close. You could definitely make an argument for either, but the composite sided with the guy who has done it more than once before. You’ll notice our individual rankings are all over the place, showcasing our different views. When compiled, it’s a pretty safe list with hidden gems when compared to the latest ADP data. There is lots and lots of value late in the draft, so if you miss out on top-tier guys while stockpiling other positions you can always get a proven vet in the 30s and 40s.

Onto the Rankings…

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Ryan Braun – MIL 1 2 2 1 1 1.4
2 Carlos Gonzalez – COL 2 3 1 2 2 2
3 Carl Crawford – BOS 3 1 3 4 3 2.8
4 Josh Hamilton – TEX 5 5 4 5 4 4.6
5 Matt Holliday – STL 4 6 5 3 5 4.6
6 Shin-Soo Choo – CLE 6 10 6 6 8 7.2
7 Matt Kemp – LAD 7 4 7 18 6 8.4
8 Nelson Cruz – TEX 22 9 9 7 7 10.8
9 Andrew McCutchen – PIT 9 11 8 14 12 10.8
10 Hunter Pence – HOU 13 12 13 11 9 11.6
11 Jason Heyward – ATL 10 13 15 9 11 11.6
12 Andre Ethier – LAD 15 14 12 12 16 13.8
13 Justin Upton – ARI 8 8 11 32 10 13.8
14 Jose Bautista – TOR 17 22 10 10 13 14.4
15 Jacoby Ellsbury – BOS 19 7 18 26 15 17
16 Alex Rios – CHW 20 17 16 13 23 17.8
17 Ichiro Suzuki – SEA 12 41 14 8 14 17.8
18 Jayson Werth – WAS 11 15 27 19 17 17.8
19 Jay Bruce – CIN 14 16 19 34 18 20.2
20 Corey Hart – MIL 16 31 20 29 26 24.4
21 Shane Victorino – PHI 28 25 21 35 20 25.8
22 Aubrey Huff – SF 25 26 25 15 39 26
23 Delmon Young – MIN 21 18 28 42 24 26.6
24 Drew Stubbs – CIN 23 21 30 41 19 26.8
25 Nick Markakis – BAL 18 24 36 25 31 26.8
26 Mike Stanton – FLA 24 37 31 28 21 28.2
27 Chris Young – ARI 33 27 22 39 25 29.2
28 Torii Hunter – LAA 30 30 41 17 37 31
29 Nick Swisher – NYY 45 29 33 23 29 31.8
30 Martin Prado – ATL 26 28 32 52 22 32
31 Juan Pierre – CHW 36 32 39 21 34 32.4
32 Curtis Granderson – NYY 32 40 23 36 33 32.8
33 Brett Gardner – NYY 27 20 40 38 44 33.8
34 B.J. Upton – TB 41 38 17 58 27 36.2
35 Colby Rasmus – STL 40 23 29 28 36.2
36 Carlos Lee – HOU 50 43 24 27 40 36.8
37 Bobby Abreu – LAA 42 46 34 22 42 37.2
38 Vernon Wells – LAA 35 58 43 20 36 38.4
39 Adam Jones – BAL 37 33 46 40 38 38.8
40 Angel Pagan – NYM 34 36 45 45 46 41.2
41 Jason Bay – NYM 31 56 35 51 35 41.6
42 Jose Tabata – PIT 47 19 48 46 56 43.2
43 Ben Zobrist – TB 52 50 16 41 44
44 Grady Sizemore – CLE 39 42 51 32 45
45 Michael Cuddyer – MIN 53 47 53 24 51 45.6
46 Carlos Beltran – NYM 38 35 56 57 47 46.6
47 Luke Scott – BAL 60 57 26 44 48 47
48 Ryan Raburn – DET 29 48 37 47.2
49 Magglio Ordonez – DET 45 44 30 58 47.6
50 Michael Bourn – HOU 56 50 47 47 45 49
51 Carlos Quentin – CHW 43 38 43 49.2
52 Manny Ramirez – TB 48 44 42 59 57 50
53 Austin Jackson – DET 52 55 59 55 30 50.2
54 Andres Torres – SF 54 52 37 49 50.6
55 Rajai Davis – TOR 44 39 60 50 50.8
56 Denard Span – MIN 53 58 31 54 51.4
57 Coco Crisp – OAK 34 55 54.4
58 Alfonso Soriano – CHC 49 49 52 54.4
59 Desmond Jennings – TB 33 55.4
60 Ryan Ludwick – SD 51 55 49 55.4

 

JUSTIN UPTONUpton is coming off a year in which he took a considerable step backwards. Through his first 3 seasons in the big leagues he had consistently improved his statistics as his playing time increased, expect a bounce back this year. For more, continue reading (here).

JACOBY ELLSBURY Remember this guy?  He’s a season removed from stealing 70 bases, scoring 94 runs, and batting .301.  Ellsbury was a wasted pick for lot of fantasy owners last year, when he missed all but 18 games, but now he’s healthy and ready to go.  I’ve seen this guy ranked all over the place (including our individual rankings) but he has the potential to be a top 10 outfielder.  Don’t wait too long to grab him. .295/90/7/55/60

B.J. UPTON…Even though BJ Upton hit .237 last year, he still finished the season ranked as the 29th fantasy outfielder in Yahoo. His speed is too good to repeat his .304 BABIP and his career mark is .334.The 26 year old is fully healthy so his power should be back to stay. Other than Carl Crawford, he is the best candidate to go 20/40. .259/78/20/73/45

SLEEPER: JOSE TABATA…Most forget Jose Tabata was a touted Yankee prospect, but certainly remember his estranged wife. After his June call-up, Tabata went .321/53/3/31/14 in July/August/September. Extrapolate that and he goes .321/106/6/62/28 in a season. At only 22 he has plenty of time to develop into a double-digit HR hitter and the speed is real. Currently the #51 OF off the board. I have him at #19 with a projected 2011 line of .300/90/10/60/30.

BUST: MATT KEMP…Fantasy Managers have been waiting for the great Matt Kemp break out for the past couple seasons and I’m here to say they shouldn’t hold their breath.  His unsustainably high BABIP, high K% and low BB% really caught up to him in 2010.  He also forgot how to steal bases being caught almost half the time.  Questions about his desire and makeup all spell reasons to stay away as other managers continue to way over pay for Kemp taking him as early as #16 overall.  .278/85/25/85/25

National League East Previews: Mets

Today’s focus: New York Mets


2010 Record: 79-83, 4th Place NL East (10th in NL)

The Mets off-season made news for all the wrong reasons as the headlines have been filled, not with big name free agent signings, but with talk of Madoff, lawsuits, massive debt, plans to sell off team shares, and loans from MLB. This all coming on the heals of fun news items like closer Francisco Rodriguez’s assault arrest that also led to season ending surgery on his thumb and ace Johan Santana’s sexual assault charges and season ending rotator cuff surgery that will keep him out until June at the earliest. All-Star Centerfielder Carlos Beltran has combined for only 145 games the past two years on his surgically repaired knees and has just told the team that he needs to move to Rightfield to reduce wear and tear. Not exactly a ringing endorsement of health going into 2011.

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