Tag Archives: jason hammel

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.
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Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

Today’s Games (5/25/11)

St. Louis Cardinals (-112) @ San Diego Padres (+102) My Pick: Cardinals Money Line
Absolute no-brainer here. Chris Carpenter hasn’t been as sharp as he’s been in the past but, he also hasn’t been as bad as his numbers have indicated. Look for Carpenter to get back on track in Petco as the Padres are 8-20 at home and 12-24 against right-handed starters. The Pads’ have lost 5 straight (all at home) and the Cards’ have won 4 straight (all on the road).
Arizona Diamondbacks (+113) @ Colorado Rockies (-123) My Pick: Diamondbacks Money Line
Get ’em while there hot! The DBacks have been on fire as of late winning 7 of their last 8. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Rockies have been “Rockie Mountain Cold” while losing 4 of their last 5. Jason Hammel has been bad at home this year (5.17 ERA 1.37 WHIP) and Ian Kennedy has been superb on the road (1.78 ERA 1.07 WHIP). CarGo and Tulo are a combined 6 for 30 against Kennedy in their respective careers.

Results from 5/21/11

Washington Nationals (+142): LOSS -100
I would do it again in a heartbeat! If you were to take five bets at around +150 and only win two of them, you still break even.

Daily Total: -100
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Disagree? Light me up in the comments.

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 05.05.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting, due to being under the weather we were away for a few extra days, so let’s get right back to finding some waiver wire spot start gems.

For games on Thursday May 5th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Brandon Beachy 35% / 46% (ATL) vs. MIL

Bruce Chen 12% / 11% (KC) vs. BAL

Homer Bailey 7% / 0.2% (CIN) vs. HOU

Rick Porcello 5% / 4% (DET) vs. NYY

Joel Pineiro 5% / 10% (LAA) @ BOS

Jason Hammel 3% / 3% (COL) @ ARI

My Pick: Brandon Beachy vs. Brewers

Alternate: Rick Porcello vs. Yankees

Deep League Special: Jason Hammel @ D Backs

Beachy is the pretty clear choice here.  He has 3 straight quality starts including 19Ks in 19 IP.  His excellent K/BB rate has led him to have a sparkling 0.99 WHIP the first month of the season.  His last start against the Brewers was his first of the season and he pitched well enough to win but got a ND with a 6 I, 4 H, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB line. Read more of this post