Tag Archives: Jonathan Broxton

NL Waiver Wire Gems

Nyjer Morgan, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (17% owned Yahoo, 24.2% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .331/29/3/20/6

Morgan has very low ownership, partly due to him being in a platoon with Carlos Gomez, but he seems to have gotten the bulk of the starts of late. Nyjer boasts superior plate discipline and comparable fielding prowess to his centerfield counterpart, and has hit safely in 10 of his last 11 games, with 1 HR, 6 RBIs, and a steal (yea, need to see more of those).   Even if he gives up some playing time to Gomez going forward – Morgan will probably sit against lefties – if he can hover around .280-.290 the rest of the year, steal 13-17 bases, and score close to 30 runs, all legit outcomes in the vaunted Brewer lineup, you have yourself a sale rack star.

My Projection (all rest of season): .290/30/2/18/14

Raul Ibanez, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (40% Yahoo, 61.8% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .247/42/13/48/2

Ibanez isn’t one of those exciting waiver wire adds, i.e. the hot young prospect or the buzzy top of the lineup out of nowhere star, but he has been ridiculously productive of late: 4 HR and 14 RBIs in his last 7. Of course this torrid stretch won’t last much longer, but even when he levels off, he should be a solid run/hr/rbi man as your 4th OF/bench option.

My Projection: .265/35/9/39/1

Domonic Brown, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (20% Yahoo, 10.7% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .247/22/5/16/3

It would be an understatement to say that Brown has been a disappointment thus far. First the hand injury, then a generally mediocre June, which ended with him hitting .214. He has raised his average over 30 points since July 1, and has a nifty 18/25 Walk/K ratio, so a big 2nd half could be forthcoming. Could produce similarly to Ibanez, with a better average and more SBs, plus the added bonus of youth and upside, if you are in a keeper league.

My Projection: .270/30/9/28/7

Chris Iannetta, C, Colorado Rockies (22% Yahoo, 10.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .219/33/10/34/3

Iannetta doesn’t hit for average, like most catchers, but he provides some pop and great plate discipline: .372 OBP, 52/63 BB/K ratio. If he ends up close to 65 R, 20 HR, 70 RBIs, with a near .800 OPS, could you really complain about that from your backstop?

My Projection: .230/29/8/30/2

Bud Norris, SP, Houston Astros (55% Yahoo, 71.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 3.59/1.28/118/5-6 (ERA/WHIP/K/W-L)

Norris is owned in the majority of leagues, but just barely in Yahoo leagues. His number should be closer to 75%, and should definitely be above the likes of Ricky Nolasco (72%), A.J. Burnett (63%), and – good god – Jonathan Broxton (really, 58% of you think he’s worth holding onto?!). He has come down some after his terrific start, but this is still a guy who Ks over 9 per 9, and who has brought his walks down this year as well. He has an xFIP of 3.42, so he isn’t just getting lucky. Yeah, he probably will not end up with a 3.5 ERA and a 1.2 WHIP, but the way he misses bats is more valuable than what the pitchers mentioned above do IMO (you could make an argument for Nolasco, but how long is he going to be “due” to bust out?). Go and get him if he’s still around.

My projection: 4.10/1.35/76/5-5

2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

I know, we should have told you that Jesse owned Roy Oswalt before your draft. Our bad. I will now offer a few NL waivers to help compensate for your loss.

Jason Bourgeois, OF Houston Astros (19% owned in Yahoo, 40.9% ESPN)  

Current Stat Line: .407 AVG / 9 R / 0 HR / 7 RBI / 12 SB                              

I was worried about his playing time dwindling when Carlos Lee returned to the lineup but, it looks like the Astros are finding creative ways to get Bourgeois at bats. Bourgeois started at second base last night because of Bill Hall’s struggles at the plate. He has played second base for a few innings in each of the last couple years and he should also serve as a sub in all three outfield spots. He will continue to hit in either the first or second spot in the order and he is swiping bases at a unbelievable rate.

My Projection: .269 AVG / 78 R / 1 HR / 50 RBI / 39 SB

Carlos Pena, 1B Chicago Cubs (46% owned in Yahoo, 43% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .196 AVG / 7 R / 3 HR / 9 RBI / SB 0

For those of you who drafted Carlos Pena and decided to hold onto him through his struggles in April, you have been rewarded in May. Since May 1, Pena has hit .316 AVG / 5 R / 3 HR / 4 RBI with a fantastic BB:K ratio of 5:5. Grab him while you can, Wrigley Field in the summer months is a hitter’s paradise.

My Projection: .220 AVG / 65 R / 32 HR / 85 RBI / 0 SB

Bud Norris, SP Houston Astros (47% Owned in Yahoo, 66.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 2 W / 2 L / 3.16 ERA / 52 K / 1.27 WHIP 

Bud Norris’ 52 K on the year, ranks him seventh in all of baseball. He has put up at least 6 K during every single outing this season. His first two outings of the year were a little shaky but since then he has a 1.65 ERA with 39 K in only 32.2 IP. This sounds more like a 90% owned pitcher.

My Projection: 13 W / 10 L / 4.05 ERA / 201 K / 1.29 WHIP

Brandon Beachy, SP Atlanta Braves (46% owned in Yahoo, 74.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 1 W / 1 L / 2.98 ERA / 45 K / 0.97 WHIP

Beachy is still flying under the radar and I’m not sure why. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff (91.6 average fastball) but he has been striking batters out at an impressive rate (9.57 K/9) and he is a control freak (2.34 BB/9). I would like to see him induce more ground balls (30.5) and a few more fly balls could have left the park (7.7 HR/FB rate) but, this kid is for real.

My Projection: 10 W / 8 L / 3.45 ERA / 149 K / 1.20 WHIP

Vicente Padilla, SP/RP Los Angeles Dodgers (28% owned in Yahoo, 36.7% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 0 W / 0 L / 1.50 ERA / 5 K / 0.83 WHIP /  1 S

Vicente Padilla has been named the closer for the Los Angeles Dodgers while Jonathan Broxton is out. In many leagues, all closers should be owned. In leagues that require two or more starting pitchers daily, he is very useful because you can plug him in a SP slot when your thin. I have been known for chasing down the relief pitchers with SP eligibility who may get an opportunity to pick up saves. In the past four years I have owned Koji Uehara, Franklin Morales, Joel Hanrahan, and Kevin Gregg. Don’t be afraid to cut bait when Kuo or Broxton get back into the mix though.                                        

My Projection: 2 W / 2 L / 2.69 ERA / 55 K / 1.12 WHIP / 12 S

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: CLOSERS

It was very close, but Neftali Feliz edged out Carlos Marmol as our #1 Closer here at 4th and Home. You’ll notice Marmol was the only closer to get (2) #1 votes, but it wasn’t enough. Quite honestly, I don’t see how you go wrong with any of those top 5 guys and our Composite Ranking shows just how close they really were. Of course, if Feliz joins the rotation and Andrew Bailey has additional meetings with Dr. James Andrews, these rankings will shake up a bit. And yes, I am expecting Kimbrel to close for the Braves…I could be dead wrong.

Lots of value throughout these rankings, so waiting on a closer is always advised unless the top tier guys fall into your lap.

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Neftali Feliz – TEX 1 5 4 3 2 3
2 Carlos Marmol – CHC 4 1 5 5 1 3.2
3 Joakim Soria – KC 5 4 3 1 3 3.2
4 Brian Wilson – SF 3 3 1 7 4 3.6
5 Heath Bell – SD 6 2 2 4 5 3.8
6 Mariano Rivera – NYY 2 8 6 2 6 4.8
7 Andrew Bailey – OAK 9 7 10 8 7 8.2
8 Jonathan Papelbon – BOS 8 15 7 6 10 9.2
9 John Axford – MIL 10 10 14 10 8 10.4
10 Francisco Rodriguez – NYM 11 13 8 12 12 11.2
11 Matt Thornton – CHW 7 12 12 9 16 11.2
12 J.J. Putz – ARI 12 16 9 14 9 12
13 Huston Street – COL 13 11 11 14 14
14 Joe Nathan – MIN 15 6 16 15 19 14.2
15 Chris Perez – CLE 16 11 18 16 13 14.8
16 Jonathan Broxton – LAD 14 18 13 11 15.4
17 Brad Lidge – PHI 19 14 15 19 17 16.8
18 Craig Kimbrel – ATL 17 9 20 18 17
19 Jose Valverde – DET 13 20 15 18
20 Ryan Franklin – STL 20 17 18 19.4

NEFTALI FELIZ…Our #1 ranked closer now may not even be a closer at all – this is a topsy-turvy world we live in!  The 2010 AL Rookie of the Year racked up 40 saves last year to propel himself to the tops of fantasy rankings.  His peak value in fantasy is at closer this year but as a starter he is still going to rack up the Ks big time.  The question is whether he can get stretched out and develop a 3rd pitch to pair with his devastating fastball and curve.  Fantasy owners should hope Texas keeps him in the pen. 2.70/1.00/80/36 as Closer…10-7/3.30/1.25/166 as Starter

BRIAN WILSON…Rising K rate (11.21 per 9) and dropping BB rate (3.13 per 9) suggests he is only getting better. He will continue to get loads of opportunities in pitcher friendly AT&T Park. He also led the league in saves last year with 48. 2.25/1.15/96/45

JOHN AXFORD…Last season John Axford proved that he was ready to take over the closer role in Milwaukee.  After a May call up, he stole the closer job from Trevor Hoffman and saved 24 games while racking up 76 K’s  in 58 innings.  The Brewers will give Axford plenty of opportunities for saves this year, and the strikeouts are an added bonus. 2.85/1.25/88/35

SLEEPER: JOE NATHAN…Hey, you! Remember this guy? Since 2004 he’s been the #3 Closer (on average) in all of baseball and now he’s the #21 Closer off the board? So you’re a little nervous about his past TJ surgery? Don’t be. Lots of success stories where guys came back stronger (Josh Johnson, Francisco Liriano…) and Nathan will be no different. He’s already throwing as hard as he did before the injury and you will pay nothing for his services this year. By year’s end you will be happy because you heeded my advice. 2.25/1.00/80/35

BUST: FRANCISCO RODRIGUEZ…Coming off of thumb surgery, serious personal problems that led to his arrest and playing for a Mets team my colleague has predicted for a 71 win season, drafting Rodriguez as a top 10 closer is an extremely risky proposal. With the Mets potentially looking to shed dollars in season, 71 wins may be difficult and that translates to a lack of opportunities for a closer. K-Rod may be ready, but I just don’t see the Mets being willing and able this year. 3.00/1.14/50/26

2011 National League West Previews: Dodgers

Today’s Focus: Los Angeles Dodgers

2010 Record: 80-82, 4th NL West

In 2010 the Dodgers struggled to an 80-82 overall record but they were 40-32 against the NL West. The Dodgers ended 2009 in first place but, in 2010 they finished in 4th place even though they had nearly the same team. Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, and Jonathan Broxton were arguably their best players in 2009 but they struggled mightily at times in 2010. Will they be able to rebound in 2011? Read more of this post