Tag Archives: Jordan Zimmermann

The Casual Sabermetrician – First Half 2011 analysis

Welcome back to the Casual Sabermetrician.  It’s July, Summer is in full swing, and we’re at the half way point of the season.  We again look back on our pre-season exercise  and First Quarter Analysis of looking at tERA vs. ERA to find out which pitchers are pitching above their heads and which have been unlucky so far.  For fantasy purposes this translates to who we can sell high on and conversely who we might be able to buy low on.

Again, our method involves extracting tERA and ERA stats from Fangraphs into a spreadsheet and creating a formula to view tERA-ERA.  We can also look and see if the guys we looked at 7 weeks ago have regressed to the mean or not.
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Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 05.17.11

Welcome to another week of Spot StartingEvery week of picks should start off this easy as you’ll see below.

For games on Tuesday May 17th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Jordan Zimmermann 49% / 51% (WAS) vs. PIT

Tim Stauffer 39% / 7% (SD) @ ARI

John Lackey 30% / 16% (BOS) vs. BAL

Randy Wolf 28% / 26% (MIL) @ LAD

Matt Harrison 26% / 13% (TEX) @ CWS

Rick Porcello 10% / 11% (DET) vs. TOR

Charlie Morton 8% / 8% (PIT) @ WAS

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

Cameron Maybin, OF San Diego Padres (22% owned in Yahoo, 27.8% in ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .280 AVG / 23 R / 5 HR / 13 RBI / 6 SB

I have already mentioned Maybin here but his ownership increased by only 4% in Yahoo leagues. If you extrapolate his current numbers to 600 AB you get, .280 AVG / 97 R / 21 HR / 55 RBI / 25 SB. He has been batting .714 with 2HR in the past 3 games so make the add.

Projection:.276 AVG / 82 R / 16 HR / 69 RBI / 20 SB

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The Casual Sabermetrician – First Quarter 2011 analysis

Welcome back to the Casual Sabermetrician.  It’s hard to believe, but after this weekend we’ll be at the Quarter poll of the season with all teams playing around 40 games and most (healthy) starting pitchers having made 8 starts out of their 32-33 for the year.  This affords us a great excuse to look back on our pre-season exercise of looking at tERA vs. ERA to find out which pitchers are pitching above their heads and which have been unlucky so far.  For fantasy purposes this translates to who we can sell high on and conversely who we might be able to buy low on.

Again, our method involves extracting tERA and ERA stats from Fangraphs into a spreadsheet and creating a formula to view tERA-ERA.  They already have this for ERA-FIP, I would imagine them adding ERA-xFIP and ERA-tERA in the near future as I believe these are a much more telling stat when evaluating who is do for regression.
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Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 05.12.11

Welcome back to Spot Starting.  Small slate of games on Thursday as per usual, so we need to dig deep, let’s see what we can find out there.  Many are day games, so set your rosters early then enjoy some afternoon baseball at work, what could be better?

For games on Thursday May 12th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Jordan Zimmermann 48% / 49% (WAS) @ ATL

Jon Garland 10% / 6% (LAD) @ PIT

Ivan Nova 8% / 5% (NYY) vs. KC

Charlie Morton 6% / 4% (PIT) vs. LAD

Jason Vargas 3% / 0.3% (SEA) @ BAL

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