Tag Archives: Josh Freeman

Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season! Below you will see my picks to win for the week. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Point Spread”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of points. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. A “Point Spread” wager is made on either the favorite (-) or underdog (+) team. A wager on the favored team means that this team must not only win but also win by the specified point spread. A wager on the underdog means that this team may either win or lose, as long as they do no lose by more than the specified point spread. If the game ends on the teams meeting the spread exactly, the wager is a push. Example: If the Cowboys are favored by -3 and win the game by exactly 3 points, the wager is a push.

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WR Waiver Gems – Week 5

This being the first bye week, it will be even tougher to find a low-owned WR that could bring you a decent return on Sunday. But, there are still a few I think could perform at WR3/flex play levels:

Malcolm Floyd, San Diego Chargers, 58% (@ DEN): Denver has given up 9 TDs and 275 passing yards/game thus far, and Antonio Gates should be out again. Even though Floyd has had a very weak first month, I like him to provide a complement to Vincent Jackson, Ryan Mathews, and Mike Tolbert, and envision him finally having a decent fantasy game in single coverage, including his first TD catch of the year: 50 yards, TD.

Nate Burleson, Detroit Lions, 47% (CHI): Burleson has been quiet the last two weeks, with 4 catches for 28 yards combined. However, he gets to face Chicago’s weak pass defense (301 yards per game) in week 5. With all attention going to Megatron no doubt, Stafford should find Nate and the rest of the receiving corps (see: Titus Young, Brandon Pettigrew) running free early and often: 80 yards receiving.

Preston Parker, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 19% (@ SF): Throw out week 3 against Atlanta, and Parker has been a solid WR3. He had his first TD catch last week, to go with 70 yards. This week, Tampa faces a 49er squad giving up 284 yards passing/game. With Mike Williams and Kellen Winslow struggling, Josh Freeman has looked in Parker’s direction more and more, and I can see that continuing this week: 75-85 yards receiving.

Kevin Walter, Houston Texans, 11% (OAK): With Andre Johnson out, Walter should get a few more looks from Matt Schaub, which should translate into several red zone targets as Houston moves up and down the field on the Raiders. Oakland is good for 2 TD passes against per week so far, and I think Walter grabs one of at two, maybe three in a Houston romp: 40 yards, TD.

NFL Week 1 recap

Here is the first installment of the weekly game result rundown, complete with a brief recap of the offensive (minus kickers, ’cause, who cares?) fantasy highlights and injury updates from the just-finished week. Yea, its long, but one stop shopping!

Packers v. Saints: This game was an aerial fantasy bonanza, as expected. Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees were the men: Rodg was good (312, 3 TDs), Drew Brees was better, fantasy-wise (419, 3 TDs). GB’s receiving corp was led by perennial elite Greg Jennings (7 catches for 89 yards, 1 TD), with budding WR2 Jordy Nelson (6 for 77, 1 TD) making his presence known. Jermichael Finley was solid; just the tip of the iceberg for the big fella (3 for 53). Rookie WR darling Randall Cobb caught and ran back kicks for TDs. James Starks was the main back for the Pack: 57 yards, 1 TD. As usual, Brees spread the ball around: Devery Henderson caught 6 for 100 with a TD to lead the way, but Robert Meachem (5 for 70, TD), Darren Sproles (7 for 75), Marques Colston (6 for 81), and Jimmy Graham (4 for 54, TD) all were heavily involved. Colston broke his collarbone though at the end of the game, so he will be out for at least a month. RBs Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas had about a 70/30 carry split in Ingram’s favor, with neither making much of an impact, partly due to New Orleans playing from behind all game.

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Killin’ the Odds & 2012 NFL Futures

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds! Below you will find my five selections to win Super Bowl XLVI. I do not consider any of these teams a lock,  I just feel that they present the best value. Now on with it!

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