Tag Archives: Matt Harrison
Welcome back to the Casual Sabermetrician. It’s July, Summer is in full swing, and we’re at the half way point of the season. We again look back on our pre-season exercise and First Quarter Analysis of looking at tERA vs. ERA to find out which pitchers are pitching above their heads and which have been unlucky so far. For fantasy purposes this translates to who we can sell high on and conversely who we might be able to buy low on.
Again, our method involves extracting tERA and ERA stats from Fangraphs into a spreadsheet and creating a formula to view tERA-ERA. We can also look and see if the guys we looked at 7 weeks ago have regressed to the mean or not.
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Welcome back to Spot Starting, can you believe it’s July – the baseball season is already half over! It’s going so quickly. Look out for my Casual Sabermetrician update on Starting Pitchers at the mid way point. And now for spot starts to kick off your July 4th weekend…
For games on Saturday July 2nd these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:
Bartolo Colon 41% / 29% (NYY) @ NYM
Kyle McClellan 32% / 17% (StL) @ TB
Jake Arrieta 27% / 14% (BAL) @ ATL
Carl Pavano 26% / 10% (MIN) vs. MIL
Derek Holland 25% / 12% (TEX) vs. FLA
Homer Bailey 21% / 11% (CIN) vs. CLE
Chris Narveson 15% / 10% (MIL) @ MIN
Carlos Villanueva 14% / 6% (TOR) @ PHL
Joe Saunders 3% / 2% (ARI) @ OAK
Welcome back to Spot Starting, sorry about the no post hiccup yesterday. On to it..
For games on Thursday June 30th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:
Brian Matusz 37% / 28% (BAL) vs. StL
Matt Harrison 35% / 23% (TEX) @ HOU
Randy Wolf 34% / 34% (MIL) @ NYY
Jeff Karstens 23% / 17% (PIT) @ TOR
Mike Pelfrey 6% / 2% (NYM) @ DET
Welcome to another week of Spot Starting! Every week of picks should start off this easy as you’ll see below.
For games on Tuesday May 17th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:
Jordan Zimmermann 49% / 51% (WAS) vs. PIT
Tim Stauffer 39% / 7% (SD) @ ARI
John Lackey 30% / 16% (BOS) vs. BAL
Randy Wolf 28% / 26% (MIL) @ LAD
Matt Harrison 26% / 13% (TEX) @ CWS
Rick Porcello 10% / 11% (DET) vs. TOR
Charlie Morton 8% / 8% (PIT) @ WAS
Welcome to Spot Starting. As the bigger names continue to pitch gems let’s keep digging for those waiver wire pick ups of names that have fallen off your radar. Some of the go to names we’ve had the past couple weeks are now above 50% so we have to keep digging deeper, some like Scott Baker continue to be there for us.
For games on Friday May 6th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:
Matt Harrison 39% / 29% (TEX) vs. NYY
Tim Stauffer 37% / 5% (SD) vs. ARI
Scott Baker 31% / 17% (MIN) @ BOS
Daisuke Matsuzaka 21% / 17% (BOS) vs. MIN
Jonathon Niese 9% / 1% (NYM) vs. LAD
Phil Humber 6% / 4% (CWS) @ SEA
My Pick: Tim Stauffer vs. D Backs
Alternate: Scott Baker vs. Red Sox
Deep League Special: Phil Humber
I’ve picked Baker in his past 3 starts and he has not disappointed giving us a line of 1-0 20.1 IP, 16 H, 3 ER, 17 K, 3 BB 1.33 ERA, 0.93 WHIP. He’s the clear choice then, right? Not so fast.
Stauffer is on a mini tear lately and has great lifetime numbers against the D Backs, albeit only 1 start, but adding in the relief appearances he has 20 IP against them with 17Ks and a 1.80 ERA. His peripherals are right in line if not even more encouraging (.311 BABIP, 2.66 FIP, 3.10 xFIP). He is an extreme GB pitcher right now and it’s helping him pitch quality games. The D Backs rely on home runs to win games and it’s not likely they’ll get them off Stauffer. Read more of this post