Tag Archives: michael bourn

08.14.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Our league has just 3 H2H weeks left. Here are the standings of the nuts you know:

Me……….13-5-1
Killboy…13-5-1
Eric……..11-8
Chris……8-9-2
Jesse……8-11

4th and Home Player of the Day: Albert Pujols – 3/4, R, HR, 2 RBI…Here for one reason.

The Bats:
Brandon Belt – 2/4, 2R, 2 HR, 2 RBI…Not a bad return from AAA!

Jay Bruce – 1/4, R, HR, 3 RBI…Well, I said it before but if Bruce is heating up now he’ll most likely go cold for your H2H playoffs.

Michael Bourn – 3/4, R, 2 RBI, 2 SB…What the Braves needed. Killboy’s love affair continues.

Nick Markakis – 3/5, R, HR, 4 RBI…Still not upset I dropped his @ss two months ago. BORING!

Matt Kemp – 2/4, R, HR, 2 RBI, SB…BSFU! 2 HR to go for the 30/30 club.

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Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

National League Central Previews: Astros

Today’s Focus:  Houston Astros

2010 Record:  76-86, 4th Place NL Central

After trading away long time Astros, Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman, last summer, Houston is looking to the next generation to lead this team.  Hunter Pence becomes the de facto leader of the team with 3 full seasons of solid play under his belt.  The Stro’s are also hoping their young corner infielders Brett Wallace and Chris Johnson can develop into productive major leaguers.  Johnson seems to be up for the challenge, he posted strong numbers after his 2010 call up, but Wallace may not be ready for prime time yet.

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2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: OUTFIELD

Ryan Braun or Carlos Gonzalez at #1? That was the debate, though one guy even ranked Carl Crawford as his #1. Madness!

Ryan Braun: Ready to tee off in 2011

And…Ryan Braun takes home our #1 OF ranking, but it was close. You could definitely make an argument for either, but the composite sided with the guy who has done it more than once before. You’ll notice our individual rankings are all over the place, showcasing our different views. When compiled, it’s a pretty safe list with hidden gems when compared to the latest ADP data. There is lots and lots of value late in the draft, so if you miss out on top-tier guys while stockpiling other positions you can always get a proven vet in the 30s and 40s.

Onto the Rankings…

RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Ryan Braun – MIL 1 2 2 1 1 1.4
2 Carlos Gonzalez – COL 2 3 1 2 2 2
3 Carl Crawford – BOS 3 1 3 4 3 2.8
4 Josh Hamilton – TEX 5 5 4 5 4 4.6
5 Matt Holliday – STL 4 6 5 3 5 4.6
6 Shin-Soo Choo – CLE 6 10 6 6 8 7.2
7 Matt Kemp – LAD 7 4 7 18 6 8.4
8 Nelson Cruz – TEX 22 9 9 7 7 10.8
9 Andrew McCutchen – PIT 9 11 8 14 12 10.8
10 Hunter Pence – HOU 13 12 13 11 9 11.6
11 Jason Heyward – ATL 10 13 15 9 11 11.6
12 Andre Ethier – LAD 15 14 12 12 16 13.8
13 Justin Upton – ARI 8 8 11 32 10 13.8
14 Jose Bautista – TOR 17 22 10 10 13 14.4
15 Jacoby Ellsbury – BOS 19 7 18 26 15 17
16 Alex Rios – CHW 20 17 16 13 23 17.8
17 Ichiro Suzuki – SEA 12 41 14 8 14 17.8
18 Jayson Werth – WAS 11 15 27 19 17 17.8
19 Jay Bruce – CIN 14 16 19 34 18 20.2
20 Corey Hart – MIL 16 31 20 29 26 24.4
21 Shane Victorino – PHI 28 25 21 35 20 25.8
22 Aubrey Huff – SF 25 26 25 15 39 26
23 Delmon Young – MIN 21 18 28 42 24 26.6
24 Drew Stubbs – CIN 23 21 30 41 19 26.8
25 Nick Markakis – BAL 18 24 36 25 31 26.8
26 Mike Stanton – FLA 24 37 31 28 21 28.2
27 Chris Young – ARI 33 27 22 39 25 29.2
28 Torii Hunter – LAA 30 30 41 17 37 31
29 Nick Swisher – NYY 45 29 33 23 29 31.8
30 Martin Prado – ATL 26 28 32 52 22 32
31 Juan Pierre – CHW 36 32 39 21 34 32.4
32 Curtis Granderson – NYY 32 40 23 36 33 32.8
33 Brett Gardner – NYY 27 20 40 38 44 33.8
34 B.J. Upton – TB 41 38 17 58 27 36.2
35 Colby Rasmus – STL 40 23 29 28 36.2
36 Carlos Lee – HOU 50 43 24 27 40 36.8
37 Bobby Abreu – LAA 42 46 34 22 42 37.2
38 Vernon Wells – LAA 35 58 43 20 36 38.4
39 Adam Jones – BAL 37 33 46 40 38 38.8
40 Angel Pagan – NYM 34 36 45 45 46 41.2
41 Jason Bay – NYM 31 56 35 51 35 41.6
42 Jose Tabata – PIT 47 19 48 46 56 43.2
43 Ben Zobrist – TB 52 50 16 41 44
44 Grady Sizemore – CLE 39 42 51 32 45
45 Michael Cuddyer – MIN 53 47 53 24 51 45.6
46 Carlos Beltran – NYM 38 35 56 57 47 46.6
47 Luke Scott – BAL 60 57 26 44 48 47
48 Ryan Raburn – DET 29 48 37 47.2
49 Magglio Ordonez – DET 45 44 30 58 47.6
50 Michael Bourn – HOU 56 50 47 47 45 49
51 Carlos Quentin – CHW 43 38 43 49.2
52 Manny Ramirez – TB 48 44 42 59 57 50
53 Austin Jackson – DET 52 55 59 55 30 50.2
54 Andres Torres – SF 54 52 37 49 50.6
55 Rajai Davis – TOR 44 39 60 50 50.8
56 Denard Span – MIN 53 58 31 54 51.4
57 Coco Crisp – OAK 34 55 54.4
58 Alfonso Soriano – CHC 49 49 52 54.4
59 Desmond Jennings – TB 33 55.4
60 Ryan Ludwick – SD 51 55 49 55.4

 

JUSTIN UPTONUpton is coming off a year in which he took a considerable step backwards. Through his first 3 seasons in the big leagues he had consistently improved his statistics as his playing time increased, expect a bounce back this year. For more, continue reading (here).

JACOBY ELLSBURY Remember this guy?  He’s a season removed from stealing 70 bases, scoring 94 runs, and batting .301.  Ellsbury was a wasted pick for lot of fantasy owners last year, when he missed all but 18 games, but now he’s healthy and ready to go.  I’ve seen this guy ranked all over the place (including our individual rankings) but he has the potential to be a top 10 outfielder.  Don’t wait too long to grab him. .295/90/7/55/60

B.J. UPTON…Even though BJ Upton hit .237 last year, he still finished the season ranked as the 29th fantasy outfielder in Yahoo. His speed is too good to repeat his .304 BABIP and his career mark is .334.The 26 year old is fully healthy so his power should be back to stay. Other than Carl Crawford, he is the best candidate to go 20/40. .259/78/20/73/45

SLEEPER: JOSE TABATA…Most forget Jose Tabata was a touted Yankee prospect, but certainly remember his estranged wife. After his June call-up, Tabata went .321/53/3/31/14 in July/August/September. Extrapolate that and he goes .321/106/6/62/28 in a season. At only 22 he has plenty of time to develop into a double-digit HR hitter and the speed is real. Currently the #51 OF off the board. I have him at #19 with a projected 2011 line of .300/90/10/60/30.

BUST: MATT KEMP…Fantasy Managers have been waiting for the great Matt Kemp break out for the past couple seasons and I’m here to say they shouldn’t hold their breath.  His unsustainably high BABIP, high K% and low BB% really caught up to him in 2010.  He also forgot how to steal bases being caught almost half the time.  Questions about his desire and makeup all spell reasons to stay away as other managers continue to way over pay for Kemp taking him as early as #16 overall.  .278/85/25/85/25