Tag Archives: Michael Pineda

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.
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Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 04.22.11

Welcome to the Earth Day edition of Spot Starting.  We’ll have you know that no trees are cut down to make this blog and our carbon footprint is pretty darn low.  After two shaky showings, we’re back on track after picks Wade Davis and Bartolo Colon delivered good starts last night.  Let’s keep things rolling in the right direction with a bunch of potentially good spot starts for Friday.

For games on Friday April 22nd these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo! or ESPN) with percent owned Yahoo/ESPN, (team), and opponent:

Kyle McClellan 37% / 20% (StL) vs. CIN

Derek Holland 33% / 18% (TEX) vs. KC

Clayton Richard 31% / 8% (SD) vs. PHL

Anibal Sanchez 29% / 39% (FLA) vs. COL

Fausto Carmona 21% / 9% (CLE) @ MIN

Mark Buehrle 18%/18% (CWS) @ DET

Brian Duensing 18% / 7% (MIN) vs. CLE

My Pick: Kyle McClellan

Alternate: Clayton Richard

Deep League Special: Mark Buehrle

If you’ve been following 4th and Home.com and listening to The 4th and Home Show – you know we love us some Kyle McClellan, especially Mike.  He was my alternate pick in his last start which he won against the Dodgers 7IP, 6H, 1ER, 2K, 0BB.  He’s held the Reds to a .217 BAA in over 18IP for his career with 16Ks.

Clayton Richard is an interesting play, as any Lefty is against the Phillies, especially in pitcher heaven Petco Park.  Mark Buehrle is our Deep League Special based on his career dominance of the Tigers 16-8, 3.01 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, .249 BAA and he has just as good numbers at Comerica Park.

Michael Pineda was our pick five days ago and based on his solid outing is now up to 56/63% owned, if he is still unowned in your league – pounce NOW!


Results from Wednesday 04.20.11:

Wade Davis – W, 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2K, 2BB… Solid outing for Davis

R.A. Dickey – L, 8 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 4 K, 2 BB – live by the knuckler, die by the knuckler

Bartolo Colon – W, 6.2 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 7K, 2 BB – if you picked up Colon you have to love this line

Season Results (my pick only):

34 IP, 3-2, 32 H, 17 ER, 27 K, 12 BB, 4.50 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Original post on Spot Starting

Fantasy MLB Spot Starting: 04.17.11

Welcome to the 3rd edition of  Spot Starting, if you missed our first couple posts, read herefor the explanation of how this works.  We also now have results from my first picks from Friday night, I’ll be keeping tabs on how my picks worked at below, and so far so good.

For games on Sunday April 17th these selected pitchers might be had in your league (less than 50% owned in Yahoo) with percent owned, team, and opponent:

Michael Pineda 46% (SEA) @ KC

Alexi Ogando 45% (TEX) @ NYY

Chris Young 34% (NYM) @ ATL  Likely to be scratched

Clayton Richard 32% (SD) @ HOU

Mark Buerle 19% (CWS) vs. LAA

Brian Duensing 18% (MIN) vs. TB

Fausto Carmona 17% (CLE) vs. BAL

My Pick: Michael Pineda at the Royals

Alternate: none

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04.05.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

David Wright had 4 hits against the Phillies in a rout. Cole Hamels was lit up and I even got a message from Jesse during the game saying “Hamels is hurt, book it.  He’ll be on the DL before the month is out.”

Chris Young, in his first start as a Metropolitan, struck out 7, walked 4, and allowed 5 hits and a run in 5.1 innings. Remember, his pitch counts get high real fast (1 CG in 135 career starts), so don’t count on him to go deep into games. Monitor and be ready to pounce. Really, really like him in Citi. If healthy, a great pick-up.

Another game, another home run for Mark Teixeira. That makes 4 in 5 games, same as Nelson Cruz. Did you know: The most home runs Teix has ever hit in April was 6? He’s done that once. Giddy up!

C.C. Sabathia pitched a gem, only to see Rafael Soriano blow it by giving up 4 runs. Sabathia threw 7, 2-hit innings, striking out 6 and walking 1 in a ND. Remember this game when Sabathia finishes a win shy of 20.

Jered Weaver was fantastic against the Rays, going 6.2 and striking out 6 while allowing just 6 baserunners and 1 run. Weaver now sports a 0.69 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through two starts. Tasty.

After being named the new Angels closer, Jordan Walden closed Weaver’s game out. As I mentioned on The 4th and Home Show last night, it’s time to grab Walden if he’s available.

I mentioned during Spring Training that Aaron Harang was worth monitoring pitching in PETCO. In his first start as a Padre in San Diego, he struck out 6 Giants in 6 innings, allowing just 8 baserunners and 1 run. Keep him on your watch list.

And…the Sawx fall to 0-4. You would’ve thought win #1 would’ve come against the Tribe, but Josh Beckett allowed 5 hits, 4 walks and 3 runs in 5 innings to take the L.

Carl Crawford went 0-4 with a K in the 2-hole. He is now 2-15 on the year.

After looking like garbage all Spring, Mike Leake turned in a very nice outing against the Astros. Over 6 innings he allowed just 5 baserunners and 2 runs while striking out 4. Not sure how long he’s going to be in the rotation, but he’s on my watch list.

Making their first MLB starts, Michael Pineda and Alexi Ogando turned in decent performances. Pineda allowed 6 baserunners and 3 runs over 6 innings. He struck out 4. I watched part of this game and he looked pretty darn good, especially if you remove the 2-run 6th. Ogando simply shut the M’s down. Pulled after just 90 pitches, he allowed just 4 baserunners and struck out 4. Monitor him. He was great out of the bullpen last year and can strike guys out.

Yovani Gallardo was brilliant against a good-hitting Braves team. He completely shut them down as the Braves could only muster 2 hits and 2 walks against him. He  struck out just 2 and I have to wonder about Gallardo’s 6:5 ratio over 15 innings so far this year. Where da Ks? Guess you can’t complain too much when he’s sporting a 1.20 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.

Look out. Logan Morrison now has 2 bombs. Remember, I said if his HR/AB rate hit 3%, he could hit 20 HR. Small sample size alert: Right now he’s at 14%.

If you don’t remember the above, do you remember my sleeper alert about Kyle McClellan? McClellan shut the Pirates down, allowing 7 base runners and 2 runs over 6 innings while striking out 7. Season ERA = 3.00. Yeah, yeah…small smaple size.

Jhoulys Chacin beat Clayton Kershaw, Killboy, and Vegas on Tuesday night. He turned in a solid performance against the Dodgers, allowing just 5 hits, 2 walks and 0 runs in 7 innings. He struck out 4. I’m sure he was drafted in your league, but if he somehow slipped through the cracks, grab him now.

2011 MLB Spring Training Review: Week of March 27th

SPRING TRAINING QUICK HITS

Nyjer Morgan was traded to the Brewers. How do you get cut by the Nationals? That is pretty bad. In Milwaukee, Nyjer will be bottling beer with Laverne and Shirley and hope to share playing time with Carlos Gomez, to form the *biting palm* Lenny and Squiggy Duo Part Deux. Avoid.

Here’s what else happened this week…

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Post Draft Pick Ups

The season hasn’t started yet but it’s not too soon to take a look at the waiver wire and see what kind of talent is available.   Chances are you didn’t have the perfect draft and your team has some holes that need to be filled.  The following guys are available in at least 50% of Yahoo leagues and could help you replace an injured player, give you a boost in weak stat category, or add some depth to your roster.
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections: Assembling a Team After Pick 250

ADP data can be one of the most useful items of information you can have with you at your draft. Not only will you afford yourself the knowledge of knowing who you can  and can’t grab later, but you’ll also find hidden gems that the rest of the fantasy baseball community are letting slip too far. It is these gems we will focus on in this article as I lay out my All Forgotten Team

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Fantasy Prospect Preview: Part Deux

 

Lonnie Chisenhall (Chuck Crow/Cleveland Plain Dealer)

15. Lonnie Chisenhall, Cle, 3b – Chisenhall is by no means a lock to even make it past triple A this year, but because Cleveland’s infield is in shambles, especially at the hot corner (Jayson Nix anyone?), I like his chances of being brought along by mid-season to man that position.  Chisenhall put up very versatile, if not amazing, numbers in AA last year: 81/17/84/.278 in 117 games.  Plus his strikeout rate was under 17% while his BABIP was .297, a solid sign that he wasn’t just getting lucky.  He showed less power than in high A ball in ‘09, but it wasn’t too drastic of a drop-off.   He will start the year in double or triple A no doubt, but if Nix is replacement level or worse as expected, don’t be surprised to see him called up early.  3b isn’t that deep in fantasyland, so keep an eye on Lonnie Chiz during spring training; he might not be draftable, but he should be um, pickupable later in the year.  Some of the previous prospects may make an earlier impact, but Chisenhall has the potential to provide a bigger boost to your team when it counts.

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2011 American League West Previews: Mariners

Today’s Focus: SEATTLE MARINERS


2010 Record: 61-101 (Last in Division; Last in AL)

2010 saw 24 fewer wins than in 2009 and 2009 saw 24 more wins than in 2008. So what gives? Well, Cliff Lee only pitched 13 games for them, Erik Bedard was a no-show, the ever-consistent Jose Lopez had his worst season, Milton Bradley played terrible WHEN he played, newcomer Chone Figgins stole some bases but little else, and Casey Kotchman was dreadful. Oh, and the M’s were just 17-40 vs. the AL West. But 2010 wasn’t all that bad in Seattle – Felix Hernandez won the Cy and the Mariners avoided having the worst record in baseball! (Go Pirates!)

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