Tag Archives: miles austin

WR Waiver Gems – Week 10

Well, I was thinking I was early with this week’s post, but I completely forgot about the Thursday night game. Ah well, cest la vie.

Steve Breaston, KC, 42% (DEN): Well, I whiffed on Jonathan Baldwin last week while dismissing Breaston, so this week I will do the exact opposite, ala George Costanza. Stevie B hauled in 7 passes for 115 against the fish, and he gets the fairly lenient Denver pass D in this AFC West match-up (258 yds/game, 17 TDs). I don’t put much stock in previous year performances, but Matt Cassel did post his best fantasy game by far last year against the Broncos (469 yards, 4 TDs). Breaston could easily have another 100 yarder here: 95 yards.

Laurent Robinson, DAL, 41% (BUF): With Miles Austin out, Robinson slots into a starting role with a favorable match-up against the Bills (260.4 passing yards/game, 11 TDs). I wouldn’t count on a third week in a row with a TD, but the yardage should be there: 90 yards.

Michael Jenkins, GB, 29% (@GB): Jenkins had his best game of the year against Green Bay in Week 7. With the Packers still giving up almost 300 yards per game through the air and 16 TDs, combined with the likelihood that Minnesota will be playing from behind, this bodes well for Jenkins to catch a few deep balls, and maybe even a TD: 70 yards, TD.

Deep League Special:

Jason Hill, JAC, 6% (@IND): Indy is bad. Real bad. Everyone knows this. Their passing D is no exception (260.4 yards/game, 18 TDs). Jacksonville is not Air Coryell, but Jason Hill has scored a TD in 3 of his last 4 contests, all against tough defenses, and Blaine Gabbert seems to look his way often in and around the red zone. I foresee another solid game from Hill against the sorry Colts: 50 yards, TD.

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WR Waiver Gems – Week 6

James Jones, Green Bay Packers, 44% (St. Louis): JJ, coming off two straight productive performances, gets a great match-up with the Rams this week. Sure, St. Lou has actually been decent in the pass D (224 yards/game, 8 TDs), but they haven’t faced an offense like Green Bay’s yet, and they will be locked in on Greg Jennings and Jermichael Finley, leaving James plenty of single coverage. JJ is starting to live up to his upside as the deep threat from the slot, and I think he could be a WR2 this week, with a TD catch for the third straight week: 75 yards, TD.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, Oakland Raiders, 43% (Cleveland): Bey, a first round bust if there ever was one, has shown flashes of brilliance the past two games, going for 100 yards in each, with a TD catch last week. Cleveland is stingy in the passing game (195 yards/game, 7 TDs), but Bey should get decent yardage and possibly another score, as the Browns look to shut down DMC, leaving some openings in the secondary: 60 yards, TD.

Danario Alexander, St. Louis Rams, 11% (@ Green Bay): On the other side of this seemingly lopsided affair, Alexander could rack up significant yardage against the Packer passing D, which has not been that impressive (300 yards/game, 10 TDs), some of that owing to them playing well ahead much of the time. It is admittedly a crap-shoot as to which of the Rams’ receivers offer the most value for today, but I like Alexander to get the lion’s share over Brandon Gibson and Mike Sims-Walker (update: he’s inactive); call it a hunch: 90 yards.

(Really) Deep League Special:

Laurent Robinson, Dallas Cowboys, 3% (@ New England): Robinson looks likely to stay as the #3 WR for Dallas this week, and he could be a sneaky WR 2-3 against the lackluster Patriot’s passing D (327 yards/game, 9 TDs), as Dez Bryant and the now-healthy Miles Austin garner the most attention: 80 yards.

Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the NFL Season! Below you will see my picks to win for the week. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Point Spread”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of points. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. A “Point Spread” wager is made on either the favorite (-) or underdog (+) team. A wager on the favored team means that this team must not only win but also win by the specified point spread. A wager on the underdog means that this team may either win or lose, as long as they do no lose by more than the specified point spread. If the game ends on the teams meeting the spread exactly, the wager is a push. Example: If the Cowboys are favored by -3 and win the game by exactly 3 points, the wager is a push.

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NFL Week 1 recap

Here is the first installment of the weekly game result rundown, complete with a brief recap of the offensive (minus kickers, ’cause, who cares?) fantasy highlights and injury updates from the just-finished week. Yea, its long, but one stop shopping!

Packers v. Saints: This game was an aerial fantasy bonanza, as expected. Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees were the men: Rodg was good (312, 3 TDs), Drew Brees was better, fantasy-wise (419, 3 TDs). GB’s receiving corp was led by perennial elite Greg Jennings (7 catches for 89 yards, 1 TD), with budding WR2 Jordy Nelson (6 for 77, 1 TD) making his presence known. Jermichael Finley was solid; just the tip of the iceberg for the big fella (3 for 53). Rookie WR darling Randall Cobb caught and ran back kicks for TDs. James Starks was the main back for the Pack: 57 yards, 1 TD. As usual, Brees spread the ball around: Devery Henderson caught 6 for 100 with a TD to lead the way, but Robert Meachem (5 for 70, TD), Darren Sproles (7 for 75), Marques Colston (6 for 81), and Jimmy Graham (4 for 54, TD) all were heavily involved. Colston broke his collarbone though at the end of the game, so he will be out for at least a month. RBs Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas had about a 70/30 carry split in Ingram’s favor, with neither making much of an impact, partly due to New Orleans playing from behind all game.

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