Tag Archives: Milwaukee Brewers

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.
 
Today’s Games (4/10/11)
 
Florida Marlins (-114) @ Houston Astros (+104) My Pick: Marlins Money Line
I still like the Marlins lineup better than the Astros lineup even though Hanley Ramirez is out. You have to love the discount due to the injury. J.A. Happ was garbage in his first outing. 
 
Chicago Cubs +1.5(-135) @ Milwaukee Brewers -1.5(+115) My Pick: Brewers Run Line
Gallardo pitched a shutout the last time he pitched but the score still came out to 1-0. What swayed me here was the fact that the Brewers offense have been putting up a few more runs recently and all their wins have come at home.
 
New York Yankees -1.5(+140) @ Boston Red Sox +1.5(-160) My Pick: Yankees Run Line
It took me a while to pull the trigger on this one because Josh Beckett is on my fantasy team and I really need him today. But when you’re in a rut, you need to take advantage of every edge you can. Everyone knows of Beckett’s struggles versus the Yankees in his career (6.26 ERA, 1.56 WHIP) and he is going up against CC Sabathia.
 
Saturday’s Results
 
New York Yankees: WIN +134
I never thought I would say this, “THANK GOD FOR THE YANKEES!”
 
(Game 1) Texas Rangers: LOSS -100
It looks like I should have picked game 2.
 
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants (Over/Under): Loss -100
I will take the over on 6.5 runs almost every time.
 
Daily Total: -66
 
Brian “Killboy” Kilpatrick is currently up +302 imaginary dollars in 2011.
 
Any information provided by our company is for educational, informational and entertainment purposes ONLY. Use caution if you use our products and / or services and remember that all gambling carries risk and no liability is taken by 4thandhome.com.
Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. No guarantees are given as to the amount you will make from betting. Any liability from following any information given is completely waived by 4thandhome.com, and you are to understand that you follow it completely at your own risk.

 Disagree? Light me up in the comments.

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a certain amount. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.
 
Today’s Games (4/7/11)
 
 
Oakland Athletics (Even) @ Toronto Blue Jays (-120) My Pick: Blue Jays Money Line
With a price of -120, people are giving Trevor Cahill more respect than he deserves. He will not repeat 2011 but people are betting like he will. Cahill was also gave up 8 runs in 5 innings in his only start at the Rogers Centre in 2010. Jose Bautista probably won’t play but Ricky Romero has looked good thus far.
 
Atlanta Braves (-114) @ Milwaukee Brewers (-106) My Pick: Atlanta Braves Money Line
The Brewers have had trouble scoring runs as of late. Tommy Hanson was terrific in his only start at Miller Park Last year (8 IP, 0 ER, 8 K). Shaun Marcum wasn’t very sharp in his first start with the Brewers. It’s time to start picking on the Brewers before they heat up.
 
 
 
 Tuesday’s Results
 
 
Los Angeles Dodgers: LOSS -100
The Dodgers could not get anything going versus Jhoulys Chacin.
 
New York Yankees: LOSS -100
 Rafael Soriano just jumped from “Not Ranked” to “Number ONE” on my all-time hate list. 
 
Los Angeles Angels: WIN +87
I’m a huge Weaver fan and it looks like the Angels may now be able to close out some games!
 
Daily Total: -113
 
Brian “Killboy” Kilpatrick is currently up +568 imaginary dollars in 2011.
 
Any information provided by our company is for educational, informational and entertainment purposes ONLY. Use caution if you use our products and / or services and remember that all gambling carries risk and no liability is taken by 4thandhome.com.
Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. No guarantees are given as to the amount you will make from betting. Any liability from following any information given is completely waived by 4thandhome.com, and you are to understand that you follow it completely at your own risk.

 

Disagree? Light me up in the comments.

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

Yesterday’s Results

Milwaukee Brewers: LOSS -100

The Brewers needed at least one game in this series especially with the Braves coming to town.

Chicago White Sox: LOSS -100

After scoring 23 runs in the first two games, they only get one run off Justin Masterson?

Detroit Tigers: WIN +152

Hitting a dog on a bad day helps minimize your losses.

Daily Total: -48

 

Brian “Killboy” Kilpatrick is currently up +681 imaginary dollars in 2011.

Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season

4/3/11

Detroit Tigers (+152) @ New York Yankees (-162) My Pick: Tigers Straight Up

The Tigers put up 6 runs versus the Yanks’ yesterday. I think Max Scherzer is for real. He has faced the Yankees only once in Yankee Stadium and he two-hit them. We are getting a great value at +152. If you want to play it safe go with the run line at -145.

 

Chicago White Sox (-123) @ Cleveland Indians (+113) My Pick: White Sox Straight Up

Are you kidding me? When I woke up this morning, I was sure I would see the White Sox at -175. How are the Indians getting any action at +113?

 

Milwaukee Brewers (+115) @ Cincinnati Reds (-125) My Pick: Brewers Straight Up

With the Brewers being down two games, I expected better odds than +115 but this series has been evenly matched. Bronson Arroyo has been a slow starter for the past few years so keep an eye on the lines for his April starts.

 

Yesterday’s Results

 Minnesota Twins: LOSS -100

I’m done with the Twins for now…

Texas Rangers: WIN +87

WOW! We should have taken the Run Line at +165

White Sox: WIN +80

Too easy.

 

Disagree? Light me up in the comments.

Brian “Killboy” Kilpatrick is currently up +729 imaginary dollars in 2011.

 

Killin’ the Odds & Player Props

I picked out some prop bets from Bodog and posted my top 10. The players must start the season on the active roster. Hitters must play in 130 games for action, starting pitchers must start 25 games and relievers cannot spend any time on the DL. If any of these situations occur, the wager is a push.

Manny Ramirez (59.5 RBI) OVER -130: Manny is slated to be the Rays’ clean-up hitter. Don’t worry about the games played. You still win if he reaches 60 RBI in less than 130 games and it’s a push if he doesn’t.

Rickie Weeks (27 Home Runs) UNDER -115: Click here.

Carlos Santana (.262 Batting Average) OVER -115: He hit .260 last year with only a .277 BABIP. He also has a great eye with a 19.3 percent walk rate.

Carl Crawford (47.5 Stolen Bases) UNDER -115: Does anyone really think the Red Sox will need him to steal 48 bases?

Felix Hernandez (2.45 ERA) OVER -115: I would never project anyone to have an ERA under 2.45.

Freddie Freeman (19.5 Home runs) UNDER -115: He has never hit 20 in the minors so what makes you think he will hit 20 in his first year in the big leagues?

Ryan Braun (27.5 Home Runs) OVER -115: Braun only hit 25 home runs last year but he averaged 34 home runs in the three years prior.

Joe Mauer (.332 Batting Average) UNDER -115: Mauer has hit over .332 only twice in seven years. He is a great hitter but projecting anyone to hit over .332 is just crazy talk.

John Axford (28.5 Total Saves) OVER -115: Axford is legit and the Brewers will win lots of games.

Ichiro Suzuki (214.5 Total Hits) UNDER -115: Ichiro isn’t going to do it forever. This may be the year.

Disagree? Light me up in the comments!

Eric’s 2011 MLB Predictions

Like most of my fellow 4th and Home colleagues, I’m picking Boston to win the AL this year.  Utley’s injury makes the NL race a little more wide open and I’m going with the Brewers.   I’m also predicting that a MLB star will wind up on reality TV.

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Killboy’s 2011 MLB Predictions

No real surprises here. I like the Rays to fall off and the White Sox to win the Central. The Brewers will knock off the Reds but the Reds will still beat out the Dodgers and Braves for the Wild Card. I think the loss of Bobby Cox will hurt the Braves. Read more of this post

Killin’ the Odds & NL Futures

 

Welcome to Killin’ the Odds & NL Futures! It’s real simple, I analyze odds to win the 2011 World Series and tell you who to take. Now on with it! Read more of this post

2011 Fantasy Baseball Bust: Rickie Weeks

 

Rickie Weeks dominated in 2010.

His final stats of 112/29/83/11 and triple slash line of .269/.366/.464 were impressive to say the least.

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National League Central Previews: Brewers

Today’s Focus: Milwaukee Brewers

2010 Record 77-85, 3rd Place NL Central

The Brew Crew are looking to follow fellow cheese heads, the Green Bay Packers, into a world championship this season.  The Brewers made major moves in the off season to strengthen what was already a good team.  The biggest move was the trade with the Royals to bring in former CY Young Award winner Zack Greinke.  Greinke had a down season last year but you have to like his chances playing in the National League, on team that’s actually capable of winning games.  The addition to of Shaun Marcum to a rotation that already includes Yovani Gallardo makes much improvement to last season’s weak pitching staff.  The Brewers lost all-time saves leader Trevor Hoffman, but new closer Jon Axford played well in the role last year when Hoffman floundered.
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