Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season!
In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th,
2011 for more explanation and tips.
Today’s Games (4/26/11)
San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+115) @ Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-135) My Pick: Pirates Run Line
Anytime you see a home team underdog with a run line of +1.5 at -140 or better, you should take a closer look. The Giants are 13th in the National League in runs and Matt Cain has started the year slowly. Andrew McCutchen and Neil Walker have put together a few solid games at the plate. I also think a change of scenery will do Brandon Wood some good. Either way, I think this game will remain close.
Seattle Mariners (-119) @ Detroit Tigers (+109) My Pick: Mariners Money Line
It’s hard to argue against Felix Hernandez but it’s even harder to argue against Felix Hernandez when he’s playing the Tigers. In his past 5 starts against the Tigers, King Felix is 4-0 with a 1.87 ERA and 39:5 K:BB in only 33.2 IP. The Tigers are not great versus right-handed starters because their lineup is mostly right-handed. The last time Phil Coke has pitched against the Mariners was exactly one week ago and he gave up 6 ER in only 3.2 IP. King Felix will have to go a long way in this one but he is due.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-137) @ Florida Marlins (+127) My Pick: Dodgers Money Line
It’s no wonder why the Marlins are trotting around with a 14-7 record. Any lesser record would be a disappointment after facing teams like the Mets, Nationals, Astros, and Pirates. With Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers coming to town, it is time for them to come back to Earth. Kershaw’s last start in Sun Life Stadium was stellar with 7 innings of one-hit ball. Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp are still on a roll plus, Juan Uribe is expected back today. Volstad has given up 14 R in 15 IP this year. Hanley Ramirez is still slumping and Logan Morrison is still on the DL.
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