Denis Poroy/Getty ImagesTag Archives: Petco Park
2011 MLB Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League
Posted by on 7 August 2011
2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League
Posted by on 4 July 2011
David Freese, 3B St. Louis Cardinals ( 40 percent owned in Yahoo, 82.4 percent in ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .361 AVG / 15 R / 2 HR / 15 RBI / 0 SB
2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League
Posted by on 12 June 2011
Angel Pagan, OF New York Mets ( 45 percent owned in Yahoo, 74.8 percent in ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .242 AVG / 16 R / 1 HR / 13 RBI / 9 SB
Pagan’s season couldn’t have started out much worse. He started the year hitting .159 AVG through April 21st then suffered an oblique injury that caused him to miss more than a month. It seems like the time off just may have been what he needed. Since his return he has hit .339 AVG, 9 R, 7 RBI, 5 SB in 15 games. Right now he is hitting in the five-spot but a move to leadoff is possible if the Mets move Jose Reyes.
Projection: .275 AVG / 53 R / 7 HR / 47 RBI / 25 SB
Todd Helton, 1B Colorado Rockies ( 41 percent owned in Yahoo, 61.4 percent in ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .322 AVG / 28 R / 8 HR / 28 RBI / 0 SB
Todd Helton seems to be having a bounce back year. He has been slowed the past few years with injuries to his back but when he has been in the lineup, he has produced. As recently as ’09 he went .329 AVG, 79 R, 15 HR, 86 RBI. Helton has never been the “sexy” pick but I can’t understand this ownership level.
Projection: .318 AVG / 70 R / 17 HR / 72 RBI / 0 SB
Anthony Rizzo, 1B San Diego Padres ( 23 percent owned in Yahoo, 40.5 percent in ESPN)
Current Stat Line: .429 AVG / 2 R / 1 HR / 1 RBI / 0 SB
Before getting the call to San Diego, Rizzo was crushing the PCL. He put up a line of .365 AVG, 42 R, 16 HR, 63 RBI prior to the call. For those of you who don’t know, the PCL is extremely hitter friendly and Petco Park is the worst for left-handed batters. Rizzo is here to be the Padres 1B everyday.
Projection: .255 AVG / 37 R / 11 HR / 40 RBI / 2 SB
Dee Gordon, SS Los Angeles Dodgers ( 15 percent owned in Yahoo)
Current Stat Line: .304 AVG / 4 R / 0 HR / 0 RBI / 2 SB
Dee Gordon has stepped in nicely as the everyday SS and leadoff hitter for the Dodgers. He doesn’t project as a power threat but he has stolen 22 bases in the minors this year. The team does not have any better options because Furcal has been out since June 4 with an oblique injury.
Projection: .279 AVG / 50 R / 1 HR / 20 RBI / 26 SB
Tim Stauffer, SP San Diego Padres ( 39 percent owned in Yahoo, 17.8 percent in ESPN)
Current Stat Line: 2 W / 4 L / 63 K / 3.58 ERA / 1.31 WHIP
Tim Stauffer has pitched better than what his surface numbers would indicate. He currently owns a 7.27 K/9 and 2.31 BB/9 to go along with a xFIP of 3.07. He looked stellar against the Rockies and he gets the Nationals today so get him while you can!
Projection: 9 W / 10 L / 150 K / 3.50 ERA / 1.30 WHIP
Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season
Posted by on 25 May 2011
Welcome back to Killin’ the Odds & the Regular Season! In the “Today’s Games” section, you will see my picks to win for the day. I will post either the “Money Line” or the “Run Line”. The money line is always a “straight up” bet which means your team will never need to win or lose by a specific amount of runs. The money line odds represent what amount has to be wagered or what can be won. For example, if there is a minus sign (-) next to an amount, you have to wager that amount to win 100. If there is a plus sign (+) next to an amount, you will receive that amount for every 100 wagered. When you see a “Run Line”, that means a spread is involved. In Baseball, the spread is always 1.5 runs but you can find alternate run lines on some websites. When I post a run line of -1.5, that means our team must win by two runs. When you see a run line of +1.5, that means our team can lose by one run and still win the wager. Listen to our show from April 5th, 2011 for more explanation and tips.
Today’s Games (5/25/11)
St. Louis Cardinals (-112) @ San Diego Padres (+102) My Pick: Cardinals Money Line
Absolute no-brainer here. Chris Carpenter hasn’t been as sharp as he’s been in the past but, he also hasn’t been as bad as his numbers have indicated. Look for Carpenter to get back on track in Petco as the Padres are 8-20 at home and 12-24 against right-handed starters. The Pads’ have lost 5 straight (all at home) and the Cards’ have won 4 straight (all on the road).
Arizona Diamondbacks (+113) @ Colorado Rockies (-123) My Pick: Diamondbacks Money Line
Get ’em while there hot! The DBacks have been on fire as of late winning 7 of their last 8. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Rockies have been “Rockie Mountain Cold” while losing 4 of their last 5. Jason Hammel has been bad at home this year (5.17 ERA 1.37 WHIP) and Ian Kennedy has been superb on the road (1.78 ERA 1.07 WHIP). CarGo and Tulo are a combined 6 for 30 against Kennedy in their respective careers.
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Results from 5/21/11
Washington Nationals (+142): LOSS -100
I would do it again in a heartbeat! If you were to take five bets at around +150 and only win two of them, you still break even.
Daily Total: -100
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Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. No guarantees are given as to the amount you will make from betting. Any liability from following any information given is completely waived by 4thandHome.com, and you are to understand that you follow it completely at your own risk.
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems – National League
Posted by on 17 April 2011
Everyone knows you need to make a few moves throughout the season and it’s not all about the draft. This post is designed to help you rule the waivers!
2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems – National League
Posted by on 10 April 2011
Everyone knows you need to make a few moves throughout the season and it’s not all about the draft. This post is designed to help you rule the waivers! So when your league-mates are in an 11 team race to see who will acquire the next Willie Bloomquist, you can take your pick and laugh all the way to a fantasy championship!
Logan Morrison, OF Florida Marlins (38% owned in Yahoo, 37% in ESPN)
Current Stat Line – .333 AVG/ 5 R/ 2 HR/ 5 RBI
Morrison was penciled in at the 3-spot in the order with Hanley Ramirez out. He is the team’s best hitter right now as 5 of his 10 hits have gone for extra bases and he’s rockin’ a snappy 8:6 BB:K ratio. We could easily see a line of .280 AVG / 70 R / 20 HR / 80 RBI by season’s end.
Ben Francisco, OF Philadelphia Phillies (42% owned in Yahoo, 54% in ESPN)
Current Stat Line – .333 AVG/ 7 R / 2 HR / 7 RBI / 1 SB
Everyone seems to forget his time in Cleveland but he put up some useful numbers. He hit 15 HR in 447 AB in 2008. In the time split between CLE and PHI in 2009, he hit 15 HR and stole 14 bases in only 405 AB. I would like to see Ben Francisco batting 5th behind Ryan Howard. If he obtains at least 500 AB this season, we could see a line of .269 AVG / 70 R / 20 HR / 83 RBI / 10 SB.
Danny Espinosa, 2B Washington Nationals (10% owned in Yahoo, 6% in ESPN)
Current Stat Line – .304 AVG / 5 R / 1 HR / 5 RBI
Last year with the Nationals, Espinosa hit six home runs in 103 at bats. He has also shown an interesting combination of power and speed in the minors. In his last 955 minor league at bats he hit 40 home runs and stole 54 bases. That’s pretty fancy even though I don’t expect the .304 AVG to stick. My projection: .260 AVG / 69 R / 19 HR / 72 RBI / 12 SB
Chase Headley, 3B San Diego Padres (27% owned in Yahoo)
Current Stat Line – .280 AVG / 3 R / 1 HR / 7 RBI
Currently Headley’s BB:K ratio is 5:5 and he is hitting in an RBI friendly spot in the order. He has shown a bit more power in the minors so I suspect his low home run totals may be a product of Petco or maybe he is still adjusting to the majors. I still expect his home run total to increase and he also stole 17 bases in 2010. He could finish with a .270 AVG / 65 R /16 HR / 70 RBI / 14 SB.
Chris Narveson, SP Milwaukee Brewers (11% owned in Yahoo)
Current Stat Line – 1 W / 0 L / 0.0 ERA / 14 K / 1.00 WHIP
I’m not condoning you drop guys like Cole Hamels or Ryan Dempster for Chris Narveson but he could fit in nicely as an injury replacement. If he puts together a few more solid starts, he is someone you could also sell high on. Aside from the Reds, the NL Central has had some issues scoring runs as of late. With the Astros, Nationals and Pirates on the schedule for April, he should be a good option for a spot start or two. My Projection: 11 W / 11 L / 3.85 ERA / 165 K / 1.30 WHIP
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