Tag Archives: ryan zimmerman

07.18.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Heat wave is nto only affecting my writing, but Roy Halladay’s pitching!

Onto it…

4th and Home Player of the Day: Joe Mauer – 6/8, R, RBI…”Well played, Mauer.”

The Bats:
Mike Morse
– 3/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…First HR since 1978 for Morse.

Ryan Zimmerman – 2/4, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…Gosh it’s been a disappointing year for third basemen.

J.J. Hardy – 2/5, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI…A great year for Hardy and of course the O’s locked him up.

Carlos Pena – 3/3, R, HR, 2 RBI…Pena is having a Pena-type year. I really thought it he would’ve fared better in Wrigley.

Curtis Granderson – 2/3, 2 R, 2 SB…No homers since the All-Star game, but stop you’re pouting. He’s hitting .350.

Read more of this post

07.06.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Looks like slumps could be ending soon…

4th and Home Player of the Day: Nate Schierholtz – 3/6, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI…”Schier Holtz!” Remember his love triangle with Maebe and George Michael?

The Bats:
Evan Longoria
– 3/6, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI…Him and D.Wright should inject some roids so they live up to their draft position!

Hunter Pence – 3/5, 2 R, 2 RBI, SB…A lot of sites are calling for him to regress, which will probably happen, but that doesn’t mean he won’t put up stats like years previous. Love me some Pence.

Ryan Zimmerman – 3/4, R, HR, 2 RBI…RBIs no. 14 and 15. Look out!

Dan Uggla – 2/3, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…B2B games with a homer and Uggly is now batting .183.

Jordan Schafer – 4/5, R, RBI, SB…Seems like he is tearing the cover off the ball lately – but he’s not.

Austin Jackson – 0/1, 2 R, 4 BB…Four walks?!?!?! Throw it over the plate, he won’t hit it!

Read more of this post

Weekly Minor League Recap

AAA:

Jesus Montero, NYY, C, Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees (#3): Montero is still coasting (.265/.375/.294 his last ten), but he has shown an improved ability to draw a walk (4 in his last three games).  At this point, you would have to call his season a disappointment, given the expectations.  But he still has time to show people why he belongs in the majors – and recall that last year at this time he was not exactly lighting it up either.  The Yankees sure wouldn’t mind adding a powerful bat without having to make a trade, and fantasy owners wouldn’t mind either.  But the window for 2011 impact is surely getting smaller.

Brett Lawrie, TOR, 2b/3b, Vegas 51s (#40): Lawrie is on the DL with a broken bone in his left hand for an indefinite amount of time now.  It could be early August before he sees playing time again. Sucks.

Adrian Cardenas, OAK, DH, Sacramento River Cats (unranked): Cardenas slumped hard last week, going 3 for 20.  On the bright side, he continues to walk more than strike out.

Brandon Guyer, TB, OF, Durham Bulls (unranked): Guyer was 6 for 22 last week with 5 RBIs. Recall or no recall, he gives Tampa yet another young, potentially productive player.

-Yonder Alonso, CIN, OF, Louisville Bats (#73): Alonso was back on the field last week, but he is only at .200/.304/.350 his last ten games.  He did however hit another HR on 6/24 and had a 6/4 BB/K ratio.

Lonnie Chisenhall, CLE, 3b, Columbus Clippers (#25): Chisenhall returned from his concussion with a vengeance, as he went 9 for 21 with 2 HR and 14 RBIs last week.  Bus ride to Cleveland in the near future (if this continues)? Magic 8 ball says: “signs point to yes.” Update: Scratch the ‘if this continues’; Chisenhall is up. 

Jason Kipnis, CLE, 2b, Columbus Clippers (#54): Kipnis cooled off considerably last week, going 5 for 22, though he did walk 9 times in 7 games.

-Desmond Jennings, TB, OF, Durham Bulls (#22): Jennings stayed cool last week, going 6 for 21 with a HR and 2 SBs (he missed Sundays game with a sore wrist, nothing serious though).  The last few weeks have spurred many a Jennings watch, but still nothing.  The Rays are always tough to figure out, eh?

-Kyle Gibson, MIN, SP, Rochester Red Wings (#34): Gibson had two starts last week, with mixed results: 10 IP, 14 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 9 Ks.  He has been solid, if unspectacular.

Lorenzo Cain, KC, OF, Omaha (unranked):  Cain went 7 for 25 last week, with 7 RBIs.

-Julio Teheran, ATL, SP, Gwinnett Braves (#5):  Another week, another couple of gems: 8 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 8 Ks on 6/20; 7 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 4 Ks on 6/25.  Simply brilliant.

Matt Dominguez, Fla, 3b, New Orleans Zephyrs (#81): Dominguez continued his hot hitting last week, as he is now slashing .375/.405/.475 in his last ten.  Only 1 RBI and no HRs last week though.  He doesn’t figure to be a big power/average guy in the majors, and much of his real-life value resides in his glove, but he could still prove useful, especially in NL-only leagues, where the hot corner talent level is ‘meh’ at best behind David Wright and Ryan Zimmerman.

Collin Cowgill, OF, ARI, Reno Aces (unranked): Cowgill was only 8 for 30 last week, but has hit safely in 8 straight.  Lots of talk Goldschmidt and he could join the D’Backs very soon.

Read more of this post

04.30.11 Box Score Breakdown: Fantasy MLB News and Notes

Owners of Ryan Zimmerman and Pablo Sandoval received some bad news on Saturday afternoon. It appears Zimmerman’s slow recovery has been slow because he needs abdominal surgery. He may be out until All-Star Break. Sandoval has a broken hamate bone (a Ryan Zimmerman specialty) and will miss the next 4-6 weeks. Tough break (hardy har) for Panda owners, but maybe Brian or Killboy will have some replacement suggestions for you at corner infield.

Anyway, here’s what else I saw:

The Bats:
Matt Joyce 
– 2/4, 2 R, HR, RBI…Keep an eye (or both) on Joyce as he is now the clean-up hitter for the Rays.

Michael Young – 2/5, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI…His first homer? Really?

Mike Napoli – 1/2, 2 R, HR, RBI, 3 BB…I am done petitioning Ron Washington. This guy just clobbers lefties. I benched him because I thought Brett Anderson would contain him. Wrong. Benched Napoli and started Anderson. Doh!

Carlos Santana – 1/4, R, HR, RBI, 2 BB…Has homered in three straight games and is closing in on .200!

Miguel Cabrera – 1/3, R, HR, RBI, 3 BB…Another night, another homer.

Alex Gordon – 2/5, R, HR, 3 RBI…Gordo and the revolution!

Read more of this post

2011 MLB Spring Training Review: Week of February 27th

SPRING TRAINING QUICK HITS

There is still talk of Francisco Liriano being dealt to the Yankees within the next two weeks. Still not sure how this makes sense for Minnesota, but they’re not exactly doing anything to dispel the reports…Fausto Carmona has rightfully been named the Indians’ 2011 Opening Day starter, this after winning 13 games last year with a 3.77 ERA…Destined for the bullpen, Aroldis Chapman continues to electrify starting off the spring with 4K in 2 IP. And he’s also walked three…Just when it appeared time to worry about Domonic Brown‘s spring struggles, we now get to worry an additional 4-6 weeks as he fractured his hamate bone. Remember Ryan Zimmerman fractured the same one and it sapped his power for some time. Ben Francisco now has a great opportunity to do something with this opportunity…

Read more of this post

National League East Previews: Nationals

Today’s focus: Washington Nationals


2010 Record: 69-93, 5th Place NL East (14th in NL)

The Nationals have been on quite a roller coaster ride the past 21 months.  From the highs of drafting Stephen Strasburg, the most hyped pitching prospect in recent memory – to almost not being able to sign him.  Finishing last again, to drafting Bryce Harper, the most hyped high school position player in recent memory.  The excitement of Strasburg’s dominating debut to the crushing blow of losing him to Tommy John surgery.  The Nationals decided to make a big splash this off season by signing one of the biggest name free agents in Jason Werth.  They over paid him by $10’s of millions but such is the plight of a franchise that has finished no higher than 4th since 2002.

Read more of this post

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: THIRD BASE

Well, I’ve been called a lot of things but our 3B Fantasy Baseball Rankings have now earned me the taunting of being a Homer. Yes, I may be the only one ranking David Wright ahead of Evan Longoria this year, but my own projection system has them so close with a minimal edge given to Wright for 2011. I think their numbers will be similar with Wright getting a slight advantage in SBs. In a keeper, yes, Longoria is the clear #1. Let’s see where everyone else is ranked…

Longoria celebrates his 4th and Home Composite Rankings


RANK PLAYER Brian Mike Killboy Jesse Eric COMP
1 Evan Longoria – TB 1 2 1 1 1 1.2
2 David Wright – NYM 2 1 3 2 2 2
3 Alex Rodriguez – NYY 4 5 2 3 3 3.4
4 Ryan Zimmerman – WAS 3 4 4 4 4 3.8
5 Kevin Youkilis – BOS 5 3 6 5 5 4.8
6 Jose Bautista – TOR 6 6 5 7 6 6
7 Adrian Beltre – TEX 7 9 7 6 7 7.2
8 Michael Young – TEX 9 12 8 10 8 9.4
9 Aramis Ramirez – CHC 8 13 9 8 12 10
10 Martin Prado – ATL 10 11 12 11 9 10.6
11 Pablo Sandoval – SF 14 8 13 9 11 11
12 Mark Reynolds – BAL 11 7 11 13 13 11
13 Casey McGehee – MIL 12 10 10 14 10 11.2
14 Pedro Alvarez – PIT 13 14 14 15 14 14
15 Scott Rolen – CIN 16 20 18 12 15 16.2
16 Ian Stewart – COL 15 15 16 16 16.6
17 Chris Johnson – HOU 17 18 17 17 18
18 Chone Figgins – SEA 15 16 19 18.4
19 Michael Cuddyer – MIN 16 19 18 19
20 Chase Headley – SD 19 17 19.8

 

PABLO SANDOVAL

Kung Fu Panda is coming off a disappointing season and it seems to given him motivation to get his act in gear this winter.  He’s lost 38 pounds and dropped his body fat percentage by over 10%.  The 5′-11″ third baseman is down to a svelte 240lbs.  He’s also spent some time working on his hitting with Barry Bonds.  Expect his numbers to be closer to his 2009 debut than to 2010’s let down. .305/70/20/80/5

CASEY McGEHEE

McGehee silenced his critics by following up his 2009 career year with a very solid 2010 campaign. McGehee finished 9th among fantasy 3B in 2010 while improving his strike out rate. Expect more of the same from McGehee in 2011 unless Ken Macha moves him to 2nd in the order. This move would hurt his RBI opportunities and slightly diminish his value, but right now I have him at .288/79/21/96/1.

SCOTT ROLEN

Rolen’s career peaked in ’04. 2005 was a lost season, ’06 a bounceback and since a poor ’07 he has steadily improved to fantasy respectability. Call it the career death rattle, but FanGraphs career paths show a consistent spike leading to the Age 37 season – Rolen will be 36 in 2011. Just be sure you milk his production early in the season and sell high as he always fades in the later months. Another season of .280/70/20/80/3 would not be a surprise and it could be higher.

SLEEPER: MARK REYNOLDS

If you listened to The 4th and Home Show this past Saturday, you heard me talk about the drop in home runs across the league. That will not change, so jump on HR before you have to start paying a premium for them via trade. In that O’s lineup, Reynolds will kill the ball – along with your average so make sure you have some .300 hitters on your team. Reynolds is currently being drafted as the 11th 3B off the board (much like the jokers here!) and that is way too late for a guy who has averaged 35HR and 14 SBs the past 3 seasons. I have Reynolds down for .240/85/35/95/10.

BUST: JOSE BAUTISTA

16, 15, 15, 13, 54…which of these numbers don’t belong? He’s a career .244 hitter that had never had more than 16 home runs in a season. Even with his swing adjustments, expect pitchers to figure him out this year and those power numbers to come back to Earth. I think we’re looking at an upside of low 30’s in homers. .250/85/30/95/5

2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies: The Position Scarcity Effect

No doubt that all of us who have been playing fantasy baseball for at least a few years have heard of position scarcity. Over the last several seasons I think the popularity of this theory has become even greater. Prior to it getting a cool name, I think most players acknowledged the fact that there were few great shortstops to choose from, but I’m not sure how many people actually factored that into their draft strategy. Well, like many good ideas, once they get into the popular conscience they tend to be overblown and after time settle into a nice useful medium.

The basic premise behind position scarcity is that there are few elite players at some positions and therefore the elite players at those spots should have their value elevated somewhat to account for this fact. I agree with the logic whole-heartedly. Where I think we may have gone slightly astray is in determining the amount these values should be adjusted by versus those elite players at roles that have more depth. For example, when someone tries to convince me that Jose Reyes should be drafted ahead of Adrian Gonzalez because of position scarcity, I think we may have gone too far. While I would tend to classify them both as tier 2 players at their respective positions and admit that short stop is an extremely shallow spot, I don’t see the justification for the move when runs and average will be about a wash and Reyes only gets the edge in steals. Unless you have a dire need in steals, it seems to defy logic. Personally I believe the best available player in the draft will usually be the best player for your team. This won’t always be the case, but about 90% of the time this logic will serve you well.

Now for the 3 most scarce batter positions and their elite players (either tier 1 or 2):

Read more of this post