Tag Archives: Yahoo Fantasy Baseball

2011 Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Gems: National League

I know, we should have told you that Jesse owned Roy Oswalt before your draft. Our bad. I will now offer a few NL waivers to help compensate for your loss.

Jason Bourgeois, OF Houston Astros (19% owned in Yahoo, 40.9% ESPN)  

Current Stat Line: .407 AVG / 9 R / 0 HR / 7 RBI / 12 SB                              

I was worried about his playing time dwindling when Carlos Lee returned to the lineup but, it looks like the Astros are finding creative ways to get Bourgeois at bats. Bourgeois started at second base last night because of Bill Hall’s struggles at the plate. He has played second base for a few innings in each of the last couple years and he should also serve as a sub in all three outfield spots. He will continue to hit in either the first or second spot in the order and he is swiping bases at a unbelievable rate.

My Projection: .269 AVG / 78 R / 1 HR / 50 RBI / 39 SB

Carlos Pena, 1B Chicago Cubs (46% owned in Yahoo, 43% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: .196 AVG / 7 R / 3 HR / 9 RBI / SB 0

For those of you who drafted Carlos Pena and decided to hold onto him through his struggles in April, you have been rewarded in May. Since May 1, Pena has hit .316 AVG / 5 R / 3 HR / 4 RBI with a fantastic BB:K ratio of 5:5. Grab him while you can, Wrigley Field in the summer months is a hitter’s paradise.

My Projection: .220 AVG / 65 R / 32 HR / 85 RBI / 0 SB

Bud Norris, SP Houston Astros (47% Owned in Yahoo, 66.3% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 2 W / 2 L / 3.16 ERA / 52 K / 1.27 WHIP 

Bud Norris’ 52 K on the year, ranks him seventh in all of baseball. He has put up at least 6 K during every single outing this season. His first two outings of the year were a little shaky but since then he has a 1.65 ERA with 39 K in only 32.2 IP. This sounds more like a 90% owned pitcher.

My Projection: 13 W / 10 L / 4.05 ERA / 201 K / 1.29 WHIP

Brandon Beachy, SP Atlanta Braves (46% owned in Yahoo, 74.6% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 1 W / 1 L / 2.98 ERA / 45 K / 0.97 WHIP

Beachy is still flying under the radar and I’m not sure why. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff (91.6 average fastball) but he has been striking batters out at an impressive rate (9.57 K/9) and he is a control freak (2.34 BB/9). I would like to see him induce more ground balls (30.5) and a few more fly balls could have left the park (7.7 HR/FB rate) but, this kid is for real.

My Projection: 10 W / 8 L / 3.45 ERA / 149 K / 1.20 WHIP

Vicente Padilla, SP/RP Los Angeles Dodgers (28% owned in Yahoo, 36.7% ESPN)

Current Stat Line: 0 W / 0 L / 1.50 ERA / 5 K / 0.83 WHIP /  1 S

Vicente Padilla has been named the closer for the Los Angeles Dodgers while Jonathan Broxton is out. In many leagues, all closers should be owned. In leagues that require two or more starting pitchers daily, he is very useful because you can plug him in a SP slot when your thin. I have been known for chasing down the relief pitchers with SP eligibility who may get an opportunity to pick up saves. In the past four years I have owned Koji Uehara, Franklin Morales, Joel Hanrahan, and Kevin Gregg. Don’t be afraid to cut bait when Kuo or Broxton get back into the mix though.                                        

My Projection: 2 W / 2 L / 2.69 ERA / 55 K / 1.12 WHIP / 12 S

2011 Fantasy Baseball Sleeper: Luke Scott

Why all the hate on Luke Scott?

All of his 2010 stats are in-line with his career numbers, he has improved every year with the Orioles, he finished the 2010 fantasy season with a 115 ranking and he is only 32 years old. 

Yet for some reason, he still holds an ADP of 341 and a Yahoo ranking of 209. 

Let’s take a look at what he has done with his time in Baltimore:

Year HR BB% ISO OPS wOBA BABIP LD% HR/FB
2008 23 9.9% .215 .807 .343 .280 17.1% 14%
2009 25 10.9% .229 .828 .355 .283 17.1% 16.7%
2010 27 11.4% .251 .902 .387 .304 18.8% 18.6%

 

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Every year he has improved while registering no more than 475 AB. Imagine what he would do with 550 AB in an upgraded lineup.

The spike in BABIP is actually in line with his career BABIP (.300) and can be justified by his increased LD percent.

Since Luke Scott is a left-handed hitter, he will be cemented in the five spot, splitting up Baltimore’s right-handed hitters.

The middle of the order should look like this:

  • Three: Derrek Lee (R)
  • Four: Vladimir Guerrero (R)
  • Five: Luke Scott (L)
  • Six: Mark Reynolds (R)
  • Seven: Adam Jones (R)

This is great company if you ask me. He should get plenty of RBI opportunities and score plenty of runs.

Luke Scott is a very easy player to manage fantasy-wise. When he is hot, throw him in your UTIL spot and enjoy the ride. When he’s cold, spot start him versus right-handers, at home, at night or on grass.

See chart below:

Split AB HR AVG OBP SLG OPS
RHP 347 20 .297 .385 .550 .935
Home 228 19 .338 .419 .671 1.091
Night 322 20 .295 .378 .550 .928
Grass 397 24 .292 .369 .547 .916

 

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Luke Scott has always been an undrafted “wait and see” waiver wire type guy. Things will change after this year.

2011 Projection: 520 AB, .277 AVG, 29 HR, 85 RBI, 79 R, 2 SB

Fantasy Finds: Top 3 Underrated Second Basemen

The purpose of Fantasy Finds is to point out some names that have not been getting the attention they deserve on draft day. The focus of this article will be finding value at a thin position, second base.

1. Dan Uggla – Currently ranked #34 by Yahoo Fantasy Baseball


Last Season’s Statistics:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.287 100 33 105 4

Very impressive stat line for Uggla last year which left him at number 18 in Yahoo’s 2010 rankings. In addition to his finish last year, he has now moved into the Braves lineup where he should thrive. Plan on a finish closer to last year’s 18 than the 34 Yahoo has tagged him with this season.

2. Kelly Johnson – Currently ranked #98 by Yahoo Fantasy Baseball


Last Season’s Statistics:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.284 93 26 71 13

I think Johnson is getting a raw deal even from Yahoo. When it comes down to it, fantasy is all about offense. And the stats Johnson put up last year were very solid, especially for second base. The fact that he has his defensive liabilities, while soon to frustrate Diamondback fans on a regular basis, have not impact from a fantasy perspective as long as he keeps his job.

3. Brian Roberts – Currently ranked #104 by Yahoo Fantasy Baseball


Last Season’s Statistics:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.278 28 4 15 12

Admittedly, those stats are probably deserving of a much lower ranking. However, Roberts was injured much of last season and only played in 59 games. Coming into this season healthy and with an upgraded lineup around him, it’s not unreasonable to expect a stat line more along the lines of his 2009 season:

Average Runs HR RBI SB
.283 110 16 79 30

Those numbers were strong enough to find him ranked as the 47th best player in Yahoo. Not bad for a player you will likely be able to grab as late as the 10th round of your draft.